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STATE CAPTURE ANALYSIS

SA’s ongoing capture — Mkhwanazi’s accusations and countering charges merge with past state sabotage

In a gripping sequel to South Africa's long history of manipulation, Lieutenant General Nhlanhla Mkhwanazi's explosive claims of a drug cartel infiltrating law enforcement have ignited a chaotic showdown within the police, revealing that our supposed protectors might just be playing a high-stakes game of “who can outsmart whom” while the nation teeters on the brink of chaos.
SA’s ongoing capture — Mkhwanazi’s accusations and countering charges merge with past state sabotage Suspended Deputy National Commissioner of Crime Detection Shadrack Sibiya arrives at the parliamentary ad hoc committee inquiry into alleged corruption and political interference in the criminal justice system on 13 October 2025. (Photo: Gallo Images / Brenton Geach).

Apartheid. State Capture. Now this. 

South Africa is back in the danger zone, where captors’ hands are either already crushing around us or gearing to grab.

We have been here before and what makes this particularly infuriating is that we often only realise in retrospect just how badly we have been manipulated.

Think power cuts, police officers channelling firearms to criminals, and the state’s inability to progressively deal with the most vulnerable around us because of intentional greed and misplaced entitlement.

Lieutenant General Nhlanhla Mkhwanazi testifies before the parliamentary ad hoc committee on 7 October 2025. (Photo: Gallo Images / Brenton Geach)
Lieutenant General Nhlanhla Mkhwanazi testifies before the parliamentary ad hoc committee on 7 October 2025. (Photo: Gallo Images / Brenton Geach)

Recurring capture

This country has obviously not yet recovered from apartheid that ended, on paper, in 1994 – the scars of that regime are there for all to see.

Stratcom was apartheid’s propaganda war against democracy.

In his book Confessions of a Stratcom Hitman, former police officer Paul Erasumus wrote: “We in Stratcom wanted to annihilate…

“We were trained to permanently neutralise – ideas or people or institutions – on behalf of the government of the day, using unlimited state resources to do so.”

Read more: Atrocious crimes: Apartheid hitman’s brutal confessions serve as a warning for South Africans

Moving along to State Capture that coincided with former president Jacob Zuma’s stint in office, from 2009 to 2018.

During that time a representative of the South African Revenue Service, a clear target of captors, referenced something reminiscent of Stratcom: “It has become commonplace for certain individuals with an interest in perverting the course of justice to compile dossiers, files and information which purport to uncover corruption but are in fact a concoction of some fact and much fiction…

“[We now have] significant and credible evidence showing incidents of spying, double agents, dirty tricks, leaking of false allegations and the discrediting of officials.’

The hangover from that State Capture era is still severe.

Paul Erasmus, the dirty tricks specialist has made few friends since spilling the beans on Security Branch tactics and atrocities. He said he was in court this week to tell the truth.  (Photo: Ufrieda Ho)
Paul Erasmus. (Photo: Ufrieda Ho)

The real state of South Africa

And while prosecutions related to apartheid atrocities, as well as subsequent State Capture crimes, are happening, several remain pending.

We have a backlog in dealing with past capture.

Violence, meanwhile, in the form of gang shootings and rival taxi group battles, kidnappings and orchestrated killings, persists.

Innocent children get caught in it.

This is the real state of South Africa. The state of the nation.

To top it off, we have a clearly fragmented police service.

Read more: Reality check as gang shootings mar Ramaphosa’s vision for a safer South Africa

This specific aspect has always been known, but the depth of the fragmentation is becoming more apparent by the day, and these elongating fissures threaten to directly and officially connect cops to street-level bloodshed.

On State Capture terrain, misinformation – or outright lies – is carefully stitched into truth so that the two merge almost seamlessly.

So, let’s try to unpick what is happening in South Africa.

  • On 6 July 2025, KwaZulu-Natal’s police commissioner, Lieutenant General Nhlanhla Mkhwanazi, held a press conference and made a series of astounding accusations that a drug trafficking cartel had infiltrated the country’s law enforcement, politics and private businesses;
  • Those accusations sparked the creation of the Madlanga Commission of Inquiry, as well as a parliamentary ad hoc committee. These parallel hearings began recently and are meant to test the veracity of Mkhwanazi’s accusations; and
  • So far, several key individuals have testified in these hearings. Through this it has become apparent that there are alliances in policing.

National Police Commissioner Fannie Masemola and Lieutenant General Dumisani Khumalo, who headed South Africa’s historically beleaguered Crime Intelligence unit, appear to be on Mkhwanazi’s side – based on their testimony.

On the other side are suspended Deputy National Commissioner of Crime Detection Shadrack Sibiya and sidelined police minister Senzo Mchunu.

They appear, based on their testimony, to be against Mkhwanazi.

PRETORIA, SOUTH AFRICA – SEPTEMBER 30: Head of intelligence Dumisani Khumalo at the Madlanga Commission Of Inquiry on Day 9 at Brigitte Mabandla Judicial College on September 30, 2025 in Pretoria, South Africa. President Cyril Ramaphosa established the commission to investigate and report on the veracity, scope, and extent of the allegations made on 6 July 2025 by KwaZulu-Natal (KZN) Police Commissioner Lieutenant-General Nhlanhla Mkhwanazi that South Africa’s criminal justice system was compromised. (Photo by Gallo Images/Frennie Shivambu)
Head of intelligence Dumisani Khumalo at the Madlanga Commission of Inquiry in Pretoria on 30 September 2025. (Photo: Gallo Images / Frennie Shivambu)

Mkhwanazi versus ‘mind games’

Mkhawanzi himself has portrayed himself as a champion of South Africa’s safety – and against Sibiya and Mchunu.

This is because, during his pivotal July press conference, he alleged that Mchunu disbanded a Political Killings Task Team and Sibiya removed critical dockets from it.

Mkhwanazi later asserted that this was done to protect crime suspects under the impression that the task team was investigating them.

Read more: Sibiya challenges Mkhwanazi amid growing tensions in South African police force

Mkhwanazi also alleged there were dodgy individuals operating in the country’s Crime Intelligence unit.

Mchunu told Parliament last week he was no criminal and had disbanded the task team for reasons including the tight police budget and because he wanted to avoid duplicate crimefighting operations.

Sibiya, meanwhile, told MPs: “General Mkhwanazi is playing the country and he’s playing a mind game [with] the country… because he knows how to play with words… in such a way that the country gets moved.”

The Madlanga Commission and Parliament’s ad hoc committee are meant to determine whether Mkhwanazi is “playing a mind game” or if he’s conveying reality.

Either way, someone in this arena is lying, thereby dragging us straight into State Capture turf.

And that someone is clearly one, or several, of South Africa’s highest-ranking police officials.

The Madlanga Commission heard claims that Vusimusi ‘Cat’ Matlala had police leadership on his payroll. (Photo: Luba Lesolie / Gallo Images)
Vusimusi ‘Cat’ Matlala. (Photo: Luba Lesolie / Gallo Images)

Drugs

While Mkhwanazi’s accusations are still being tested, some of the themes he referenced are linked to irrefutable reality – what is definitely happening in South Africa.

For example, he said a drug trafficking cartel has infiltrated law enforcement. Trafficking cartels are indeed operating in and through this country – intercepted drug consignments reiterate this fact. Daily Maverick has reported extensively on this for years, predating Mkhwanazi’s accusations.

Read more: SA’s Narcos Capture – the Mandrax trafficker and ‘wanted terrorist’ matrix haunting the ANC, Zuma, Guptas

In some of these narco corners, there are stubborn suspicions of political and police collusion that refuse to disappear.

This ties into the Mkhwanazi allegations of a cartel having infiltrated law enforcement and politics. In that matter, it has been alleged that a cartel known as the Big Five, with international connections, is behind the infiltration.

So far, two of the five have been named – Vusimuzi “Cat” Matlala and Katiso “KT” Molefe.

Read more: Big Five cartel’s dark web of political ties and criminal operations unveiled by Dumisani Khumalo

Matlala faces attempted murder charges and was previously awarded a R360-million contract linked to police health services that has since been terminated.

As for Molefe, he is an accused in a case involving the 2022 murder of Oupa Sefoka, better known as DJ Sumbody, in Gauteng.

Mkhwanazi has suggested that the murder may link to the 2021 theft of R200-million from the Hawks offices in Port Shepstone, KwaZulu-Natal.

Daily Maverick has reported that there are suspicions this was an inside job.

Cartel communications and optics

Outside of the Madlanga Commission and the parliamentary ad hoc committee, unofficial questions have been doing the rounds about who the true topmost Big Five cartel traffickers are.

This is a grey area because only Matlala and Molefe have been publicly accused of being part of it.

We do not know yet who the other three suspected key members are.

Global drug cartels generally run slick operations, given the cutthroat operations they carry out. Traffickers do not necessarily use ordinary cellphones and common apps to communicate with each other because this would leave a trail of rather easy-to-obtain information connecting them to narco crimes.

Daily Maverick has reported how crooks worldwide (and apparently some suspects in South Africa) once used devices from a communications encryption company called Anom. In that case, though, the US Federal Bureau of Investigation had been secretly operating Anom, giving the bureau access to the inner workings of drug cartels.

Read more: No business like blow business: Encrypted devices unravel knots of worldwide organised crime

Criminals have been known to use other tailored encrypted communication platforms to prevent law enforcers from learning what they are up to.

But in the whole Mkhwanazi accusation scandal, it has emerged that evidence in it involves WhatsApp messages.

The messages include ones that were sent to, and from, “Cat” Matlala. This means that Matlala, an alleged Big Five cartel member, was apparently confident enough to use WhatsApp instead of a special encryption service to discuss issues connecting him to alleged dubious dealings.

Matlala, in the run-up to his arrest this year, clearly lived a lavish lifestyle. A News24 article by journalist Jeff Wicks even said that Matlala and his family “lived in the lap of luxury, splurging on mansion rentals, a R9-million Rolls-Royce Wraith, cosmetic surgery and fashion”.

When looking into organised crime, it often emerges that top-tier crooks exercise discretion and tend to hide their wealth.

If Matlala is found guilty of criminality, it would suggest that before his arrest he was confident enough to show his wealth and to communicate with associates via WhatsApp, perhaps because he felt his connections, whoever they may be, would protect him.

That, of course, while feeding into the theory about who the true crooks heading the Big Five may be, is a mere hypothesis.

Past meets present 

Back to states of capture.

We do not yet know who is telling the outright truth in the whole Mkhwanazi accusations and counter-accusations scandal. What we do know is that not everyone is telling the truth, and in between all this there are claims of smear campaigns being conducted.

Character assassins and their proxies can now use social media to disseminate whatever disinformation they want, meaning they can employ Stratcom-like strategies on steroids.

Read more: JP Smith says unlawful office raid aligns with Mkhwanazi’s dirty politics accusations

South Africa is therefore on exceptionally dangerous ground.

Duplicitous local and international intelligence agents, and all sorts of thugs, thrive in this kind of environment. They sniff out and exploit law enforcement weaknesses.

During the Madlanga Commission and Parliament’s ad hoc committee, crime across the country (that is producing unquantifiable trauma) has been referenced several times.

But more focus is on the deep distrust and accusations of criminality in the police service itself – where the focus has been for decades.

A situation that we now know points to State Capture. DM

Comments (5)

Dave Martin Oct 20, 2025, 06:52 AM

While it is clear that Cat Matlala is a criminal, the much bigger question is who to trust between Mchunu and Mkhwanazi. It seems most people are accepting Mkhwanazi's allegations without question, without realising that there are very dangerous power plays happening in the background that put our democracy at genuine risk. If you want to understand what's happening, search for the YouTube interview with respected criminologist Dr Jean Redpath and Alec Hogg. This article is inadequate.

Michael Lake Oct 20, 2025, 12:01 PM

The heat is being turned up - for sure. It's got to be very difficult for the ANC to keep so many skeletons locked up in a cupboard. There must be space constraints by now!! DM - please keep digging and scratching and don't leave any couch unturned.

Richard Bryant Oct 20, 2025, 10:30 AM

And let’s not forget our Defence Force chief doing a frolic in Iran on so called official business. Unbeknown to Ramaphosa. Similarly Zuma going to Morocco on an ‘official’ visit standing in front of the SA flag. All the while we have blacklisted Russian planes landing in SA on military missions into Sudan and Libya. Ramaphosa needs to take control urgently. We are staring at a scenario of rogues taking over our entire security structure in what can easily turn into a political coup.

Glyn Morgan Oct 20, 2025, 12:39 PM

A N C for Dummies!

John Weinkove Oct 20, 2025, 04:08 PM

It is clear that, Mchunu closed down the investigation into political killings. It is clear that, he did not have the authority to do it. It is clear that, he kept the dockets the unit was working on on his desk.

Allen Russell Oct 20, 2025, 07:46 PM

Mchunu thought he was above the law and now he must face the law! Why was he allowed to keep the documents he is only the minister of police and has no qualifications in policing! ANC cadre deployment is coming to bite them properly