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ROAD TO 2024 ELECTIONS

Signature fraud claims against Zuma’s MK party may imperil poll legitimacy

With elections looming, Jacob Zuma's uMkhonto Wesizwe party faces internal turmoil as key members are expelled amid allegations of forged signatures, but will these scandals be a stumbling block for the party's surprising rise in the polls?
Signature fraud claims against Zuma’s MK party may imperil poll legitimacy Former president Jacob Zuma addresses a rally in Durban on 27 March 2024. (Photo: Gallo Images / Darren Stewart)

With the national and provincial elections only 30 days away, fresh controversy has erupted around one of South Africa’s newest and most headline-grabbing parties, former president Jacob Zuma’s uMkhonto Wesizwe party (MK).

On Friday, 26 April, the party announced it had expelled five of its members, including Jabulani Khumalo, who registered the party with the Electoral Commission of South Africa (IEC) last year and was considered the party leader until Zuma threw his hat in the ring as the fledgling party’s presidential hopeful.

The party said that a National Core Leadership meeting revealed that the MK party had been infiltrated by external forces who sought to destabilise it. As such, Khumalo was expelled alongside treasurer-general Rochelle Davidson, Ray Khumalo, Bheki Manzini and Lebo Moepeng.

Three of the expelled members were high on the party’s election candidate list, with Jabulani Khumalo appearing second, Moepeng fourth and Davidson eighth.

Former president Jacob Zuma addresses uMkhonto Wesizwe (MK) party supporters in Durban on 27 March 2024. (Photo: Gallo Images / Darren Stewart)
Former president Jacob Zuma addresses uMkhonto Wesizwe (MK) party supporters in Durban on 27 March 2024. (Photo: Gallo Images / Darren Stewart)

The MK party did not reveal exactly what motivated the purge, but claimed it was in the name of “patriotic South Africans that want to see change”.

“We urge all MK members to be disciplined and trust the leadership as we work towards gaining support for a campaign that will emancipate the downtrodden people of our country,” the party said.

The Sunday Times quoted a source who said Jabulani Khumalo had been raising funds for the party, but those funds never reached its coffers.

Party spokesperson Nhlamulo Ndlela told the newspaper that Khumalo had recently acquired new cars and had gone from having one bodyguard to four. Sunday Times said Khumalo did not answer calls or respond to questions. Daily Maverick was unable to reach him at the time of writing.

Earlier in April, the party announced the “strategic redeployment” of its youth league leaders, including the league’s outspoken national coordinator Bonginkosi Khanyile, his deputy, Thapelo Maisha, interim secretary-general Gaan Cibane and Gauteng coordinator Philani Gazuzu Nduli.

Signature ‘fraud’

On Sunday, City Press reported on allegations that the MK party had forged thousands of signatures to register for the elections.

According to the publication, a former senior MK party official, Lennox Ntsodo, filed an affidavit with the Western Cape police claiming that the MK party embarked on a widespread campaign to forge signatures to meet the IEC’s 15,000 threshold to appear on the election ballot.

City Press reported that Ntsodo claimed that he recruited about 20 people to help in a mass drive to forge signatures after the IEC rejected the party’s initial application for registration in 2023 over concerns that signatures were fraudulent.

Ntsodo requested not to be prosecuted for his admission in line with section 204 of the Criminal Procedure Act and has asked that he and his family be placed in witness protection.

City Press reported that MK took ID numbers, names and cellphone numbers from a City of Cape Town jobseekers’ database and forged the corresponding signatures before submitting them to the IEC. The publication called 15 people on the MK party’s supporter list; 14 denied they had signed the list.

Signs of trouble for MK?

The purge of party members and the signature forgery scandal came as the MK party’s support has been growing, with the latest Ipsos poll showing that if an election were to be held tomorrow the party would garner 8.4% of the national vote, shooting up to fourth position and beating all other newly established parties.

Read more in Daily Maverick: Zuma’s MK party and unhappy voters whack ANC to 40.2% in latest Ipsos poll

Questions have arisen about whether the controversies will dent the party’s growing support.

Political analyst and Rivonia Circle director Tessa Dooms said the purge was unlikely to adversely affect the MK party’s prospects at the polls. Dooms said the MK party reminded her of the Congress of the People (Cope) when it was first presented as an alternative to the ruling party in 2008.

Dooms said that similar to Cope, the MK party was one of the big bona fide breakaways from the ANC.

“It’s eerily similar to the Cope moment in that Cope also had the leadership faction earlier on before they even went to the elections. To this day, Cope had the biggest showing in the first election for a newcoming party after 1994, with over 1.3 million votes and 30 seats in Parliament…

“Even with those factional battles, they still did something extraordinary in terms of their [showing]. I don’t think we should link what happened within the MK party and structures to the sentiment that might drive voters out. I think people who are voting for the MK party aren’t members; they are largely doing it because it’s a protest vote against the ANC,” Dooms said.

Read more in Daily Maverick: Elections 2024   

In a press conference earlier in April, the IEC admitted that it only checked whether the ID numbers on the party supporter lists matched those of registered voters, while it did not have the capacity to verify the authenticity of signatures.

Grave implications

If the allegations against the MK party are proven correct, they could have grave implications for the legitimacy of the elections, potentially bringing the elections into disrepute.

The IEC has remained mum on the issue, stating only that it would refer it to Parliament to determine whether the signatures had been obtained fraudulently.

This is not the first time that the legitimacy of supporters’ signatures has been questioned. Last week, Economic Freedom Fighter (EFF) leader Julius Malema questioned the authenticity of the signatures submitted by Mmusi Maimane’s Build One South Africa.

The EFF said it had approached the IEC about the issue.

Dooms said she was interested to see whether the IEC had responded to the Red Berets’ request to close the loopholes regarding unverified signatures. She called on the commission to be proactive in responding to the likelihood of fraudulent signature submissions. 

In the instance that the allegations are true, Dooms said, “The answer that the election is too soon to do anything about it is jeopardising the credibility of the election. That the election is free, fair and credible is more important than that the election is soon.”

Dooms added that according to the Constitution, the election could be held as late as mid-August and that the IEC could look at postponing the vote to deal with the issues.

“I really think it is important for us that it has to be credible because we don’t want a situation where after the election, there are questions raised about it. I think the IEC must respond to this question about why the idea of postponing the election or why [the electoral timetable] is used as a reason that we don’t have time when in reality we do have time,” Dooms said.

Daily Maverick asked the IEC for comment on the allegations of signature forgery levelled at the MK party, but the commission had yet to respond at the time of publication. DM

Comments (10)

Sydney Kaye Apr 29, 2024, 06:31 PM

Hilarious. Being expelled for being a destabiliser by the Great Destabiliser. And forged signatures to establish the Looter Party. What could be more apt.

ace00864 Apr 29, 2024, 07:08 PM

Well I think it will work best if IEC uses biometric system to verify membership eligibility as it is quick and accurate. I agree that elections may be delayed for at least two months in order to deal with those backlogs.

blaxx47 Apr 30, 2024, 06:18 PM

Two months?? Will need over 12 months to set up biometric voters rolls. Can we have a non-ANC government overseen by the CC, during the hiatus?

moss.phali Apr 29, 2024, 07:19 PM

I was once a member of ANC and stop being a member in 2007. But an ANC activist in my area told me that I am still a member of ANC in good standing...

ace00864 Apr 29, 2024, 07:24 PM

The issue of signatures is a thorn that may be not be proven or disproved because any party that is formed from the ANC can be infiltrated easily to distract it's smooth functioning. Biometric system can be authenticated

Mike Lawrie Apr 29, 2024, 10:43 PM

Does anybody REALLY believe that ANY politica, party got 15,000+ live and kicking individuals to sign the neccessary document for the IEC, and that the IEC actually checked that each and every signature was checked with the signatory by the IEC? Well I for one dont't live in Disneyland. Of course there are a huge number of forged signatures. Which dummo put together this requirement in the hopeless belief that there would be no cheating? Or that there was no corresponding absolute requirement that every last signature had to checked for legitimacy in order to prevent cheating? That checking is an impossible task. It's utter idiocity.

blaxx47 Apr 30, 2024, 06:22 PM

Sample, dear boy. And disqualify if over 1% of those carefully checked is faked.

Mike Lawrie Apr 30, 2024, 11:03 PM

My bet is that at the 1% level of faking no party would qualify. And how anyway do you check that a signature is legit? Is there a phone number of the signatory? Ie if you dont't have a phone then you are barred from being a signatory? If the person who phones to check gets no reply is that a cheat or just that signatory could not answer the phone at the time? How do you actually do the checking, and how do you handle the volume and cost even if you sample only 10% of the signatories of the many parties?

blaxx47 May 1, 2024, 12:16 PM

10% (1500) is impractical, but 1% sample is feasible, and will give a result with a very high level of confidence. We're not looking at a binomial distribution here, but the same problem as sampling from a large number of manufactured components submitted by a supplier for acceptance. SQC tells you how small a random sample can be drawn, and if the agreed (low) count of defectives is exceeded, the entire batch represented by the sample is rejected. But I do agree that the way IEC has set up this criterion is ridiculously impractical; knowing which, ALL start-up parties will take their chances and forge at least a few signatures.

Ephraim Mafuwane Apr 30, 2024, 09:57 AM

Everything he touches......

Mike Pragmatist Apr 30, 2024, 10:05 AM

Do all Parties not receive a copy of Voters Roll once registered? Or able to get one easily - even if out of date? If so they have access to names and ID Numbers, and who is actually going to confirm the authenticity of the signatures (and how) in any event? Being able to "register" a Political Party is way too easy, and potentially too "profitable" , which is exactly why we have such a ridiculous number of Political Parties. Given our voting system and the low bar needed for the "founder", as number 1 on the list" to become the recipient of a 5 year guaranteed high paying "job" (do not have to actually do anything for those big bucks) turns our electoral system into a joke

Mike Lawrie Apr 30, 2024, 11:04 PM

Spot on

blaxx47 Apr 30, 2024, 11:40 AM

Why is my comment, posted yesterday to explain his error to Bob Dubery, still awaiting moderation 18 hours later? Parties already represented in parliament are NOT required to submit ANY number of supporting signatures at all. They also are supposed to have full access to the IEC’s lists of registered voters, and I’m sure all major, organised parties have been working the phones, calling registered voters to try (by showing interest) to secure their votes. Reply

Jeff Robinson Apr 30, 2024, 04:11 PM

Surely the easiest thing to do is to crosscheck the City of Cape Town's Job Seeker's databse with the MK signature list. This would take very little time and would pretty much settle the matter if an inordinate number of ID numbers matched between the two data sets.

Mike Lawrie Apr 30, 2024, 11:06 PM

If you do this for one party and one list the. You must do so for all parties and all lists. Unless, of course, you are biased.

B M May 1, 2024, 09:12 AM

No. Investigating a fraud claim is not bias. Sure, if there are claims against all the parties, then investigate all the parties. But there is not a claim against all parties.

Andre Swart Apr 30, 2024, 10:21 PM

Election compromised!! The 2024 election is compromised and must be postponed. MK party officials STOLE innocent jobseekers' personal information from a database without their permission or knowledge. The stolen information included names, id's, addresses etc. and it was illegally submitted as MK member signatures, to the IEC. The innocent jobseekers weren't aware of the crime that was commited with their names, signatures and personal information. It's not only a case where signatures were forged, ... it's much more serious. It's a case of IDENTITY THEFT and misreprentation of the individuals as members of the MK political party! In South Africa, identity theft is punishable by fines of up to R10 million and a jail sentence of up to 10 years, depending on the severity of the breach. Postpone the 29 May election because it's compromised and won't deliver fair results. Postponement will provide time for the police to prosecute the identity thiefs FIRST and then proceed with the elections in August!