Illustrative image | (Photos: EPA-EFE / Remko de Waal | Wikimedia | Gallo Images / Misha Jordaan) 
Many in South Africa have strong feelings about the situation in Gaza and the Middle East. This is partly because our diverse country is home to people who have strong ethnic, religious and family ties to Palestine and also people who have similar ties to Israel.
In many an office, there will be people on opposing WhatsApp groups — people whose loved ones are among the thousands dead and two million trapped in Gaza, and those whose loved ones were victims of the Hamas attack or live in fear of Hezbollah rockets (with similar fears afflicting people in southern Lebanon — from Israeli rockets).
Additionally, for a large group of people with no ties to either side, the resonance with apartheid has been painfully felt in the way Israel treated Palestinians over the decades.
These elements give the ANC and the government it runs a strong voice in the Palestine-Israel conflict.
Politically, the ruling could not have come at a better time for the ANC.
It’s hardly a secret that the party has been divided on many core issues for many years — even now, the national body is unable to properly discipline provincial and regional structures.
Just last week, the provincial treasurer of the ANC in Mpumalanga, Mandla Msibi, was suspended from his position for an attempt to disrupt President Cyril Ramaphosa’s speech at the January 8th Statement two weekends ago.
Still, this perceived victory at the ICJ and on the international stage will remind many people why they support the ANC now or why they supported it in the first place.
Ramaphosa was quick to drive the point home. Addressing the nation just hours after the ruling, he said:
“We are also a people who were the victims of the crime of apartheid. We know what apartheid looks like. We experienced and lived through it. Sadly, many people died and were exiled like our beloved leader Oliver Tambo and others, others were jailed like the father of our democracy, and others were maimed.”
While voters will make up their minds at the polling booths based on multiple factors, including corruption and poor service delivery, this is a strong reminder of an older, morally stronger ANC.
In the past, many of our elections were fought on the issue of race.
Whether it was then ANC Youth League leader Julius Malema telling party members who gathered for a final 2011 pre-election meeting at Soweto’s FNB Stadium, “The DA is for white people; the ANC is for you”, or Jacob Zuma saying in 2016 that he could not understand black people who voted for the DA, race has been a dominant narrative.
While there is some evidence that this is becoming less effective, more political parties are trying to attract the vote of people based on their linguistic, ethnic and class identities than ever before.
As a result, the ANC has to try to give people a reason to unify under its banner. The Palestinian cause and its resonance with apartheid may well help it in this.
This can be expressed in more complex terms.
Racial proxy
Up until this ruling, most of the West supported Israel. Some in the ANC may suggest that the West is doing what it did during apartheid: supporting a racist country. Because many people in South Africa feel that at least part of their identity is culturally Western, frustration at the West for its support for Israel may be expressed as a racial proxy.
This will put immense pressure on the main opposition party, the DA.
Because of its diversity and the fact it receives votes and support from people of the Islamic faith and people of the Jewish faith, the DA is in a difficult position. Its leadership is well aware it could lose voters or support from a large group of people should it go too far or not far enough in either direction.
It is for this reason that the DA has banned almost all of its members from speaking publicly on the issue, with only its leader, John Steenhuisen, and its international relations spokesperson, Emma Powell, allowed to do so. (However, in
style="font-weight: 400;">an interview two weeks ago, DA spokesperson Solly Malatsi said he was allowed to talk about Gaza, but then refused to answer a direct question of whether Israel was guilty of genocide. And, as Rebecca Davis has noted, DA Nelson Mandela Bay councillor Renaldo Gouws has expressed his strong support for Israel regularly on X).
There are limits to how far this goes, and how much of a proxy it can be.
Some parties, like the Patriotic Alliance, have members and leaders who feel a strong religious kinship with Israel. Its leader, Gayton McKenzie, has said:
“The religion I follow, the religion of Abraham, Isaac and Jacob, commands me to bless and pray for Israel. Even if I get one vote or two votes, I will not listen to the ANC … I am a Christian and I will listen to the Bible.”
McKenzie has claimed that his party is prepared to lose important positions in Joburg and other metros rather than give in to the ANC’s demand to change its stance.
They are not the only ones: former Chief Justice Mogoeng Mogoeng famously expressed his “love” for Israel in 2020. He believes that he will be President after the election