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The electricity debate is split into antagonistic camps – we won’t solve the power crisis this way

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Dr Imraan Buccus is a senior research associate at the Auwal Socio-economic Research Institute and a postdoctoral fellow at Durban University of Technology.

In the geopolitics of energy a clear line must be drawn between ­evidence-based arguments and conspiracies. But equally important is the need to understand that people can legitimately hold different views.

The electricity crisis is going to shape our future. It will almost certainly cost the ANC an outright majority at the 2023 election. It is already driving skilled emigration and doing terrible damage to our economy and the national morale.

Unlike most crises, this one affects the middle classes as well as the poor. Even when the middle classes are able to solar up, they are still affected by traffic jams, closed businesses, dark and unsafe streets and children who want to move overseas.

As with all issues of urgent national importance, we need an open and rational public discussion on the way forward. But in South Africa that is never easy.

As in the US, Brazil and India, our public sphere is often split into antagonistic camps, and it is full of charlatans too.

A clear line must be drawn between ­evidence-based lines of argument and conspiracy theories. We have often failed to do so. But that is only part of the battle: equally important is the need to understand that people can legitimately hold different views.

As the liberal camp has grown in confidence in the wake of the collapse of the moral and political credibility of the ANC, it has sometimes started to dismiss people with diffe­rent views as unethical, as shills for vari­ous forces. Liberalism has become often shrill, self-righteous and polarising.

We see this all the time in debates about global geopolitics, where critics of the West have often been smeared as being patsies for the regimes opposed by the West.

The electricity debate has also become polarised. There are certain facts that any rational actor must agree on. These include the fact that burning coal is an environmental disaster, that there has been massive underinvestment in maintenance at Eskom for decades, and that Eskom has been and continues to be looted.

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However, there are also different views held in good faith. Some people think a massive programme of renewable energy can quickly solve our problems. Others think it will take years to get there and that we will have to keep using coal in the medium term.

Some people are certain that the renewables roll-out should be driven by private business while others think that, as a national good, electricity should be publicly owned.


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There are also good-faith disagreements on the geopolitics of energy. Some argue that we need to do all we can to stop burning fossil fuels. Others argue that the vast majority of the carbon in the atmosphere is due to the actions of the West, which must, therefore, make the biggest sacrifices and fund the sacrifices that will be made in the Global South.

We have to stop presenting all those who support publicly owned electricity, who are concerned about workers, and who feel that the West should be taking the biggest hits as we move towards renewables, as being in hock to the “coal lobby”.

Of course, there are people who are connected to pro-coal or pro-renewable lobbies. Where this is the case, it should be noted.

But it is perfectly legitimate for people to have different views. For as long as one side of the electricity debate is misrepresented as illegitimate, if not corrupt, we will never move beyond the current gridlock.

We can and must do better. DM168

This story first appeared in our weekly Daily Maverick 168 newspaper, which is available countrywide for R25.

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  • chulleyrsa says:

    The problem is that the politicians are so corrupt that there is no trust in whatever they might propose. There is more trust in the private sector to deliver. The private sector also has its problems, but nowhere near as many as anything controlled by the state.

  • Cunningham Ngcukana says:

    The problem lies when a crisis takes an ideological and racial dimension and it becomes difficult to separate fact from fiction. Energy has certain realities that cannot be wished away that is base load and energy availability factor. The need for to transition from fossil fuels to be done at a pace and cost that the country can afford in terms of finance and jobs. We have a lot of scarecrows in the debate when we actually ought to be focused to ensuring that we end load shedding and ensure that Eskom gives the country what is expected of it. We are told stories as if renewables will be cheap and quick which is very far from the truth. Eskom is expected to invest in transmission lines to bring the renewable energy to the grid and this does not come cheap. The estimate range from R150 billion and more to just build transmission lines for renewables to connect to the grid. You have an Eskom CEO with no confidence in the coal fleet of the company he is supposed to run. The question is how do you keep such a person in such a position in the first place. He does not believe in the Eskom coal fleet and will therefore not maintain it properly. He is walking disaster for the company period.

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