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ANALYSIS

US joining war on Iran creates major political headache for SA

With the world on tenterhooks following the US bombing of Iranian nuclear sites, South African politicians have been notably cautious in articulating their initial positions.
becs-sa-iran Illustrative image: President Cyril Ramaphosa. (Photo: Deaan Vivier / Gallo Images / Beeld) | South African flag. (Photo: Nic Bothma / EPA-EFE) | An anti-US and anti-Israel demonstration in Tehran, Iran. (Photo: Abedin Taherkenareh / EPA-EFE) | US President Donald Trump. (Photo: Shawn Thew / EPA-EFE) | A pro-Israel protest outside Parliament in Cape Town. (Photo: Nic Bothma / EPA-EFE)

By sunset on Sunday, 22 June, as news of the extraordinary US bombing of Iran’s nuclear facilities at Israel’s behest continued to ricochet globally, barely a single South African politician seemed willing to come out publicly with a position on the matter.

Fikile Mbalula. Gayton McKenzie. Herman Mashaba. These are hardly shrinking violets when it comes to making their views known on forums like X — yet on the matter of the Iranian bombing, at the time of writing, there was a deafening silence from them.

Neither was there yet an official statement available from either the DA or the ANC, suggesting that SA’s two biggest political parties were to some degree agonising over what, exactly, to say. From Parliament’s committee on international relations: niks.

The Department of International Relations and Cooperation (Dirco) was mute on Sunday too, and a Daily Maverick query to its spokesperson, Clayson Monyela, went unanswered.

Ramaphosa issues mild reprimand of US

By mid-afternoon, President Cyril Ramaphosa had grasped the nettle — kind of — and released a statement that said relatively little.

“President Cyril Ramaphosa and the South African government have noted with a great deal of anxiety the entry by the United States of America into the Israel-Iran war,” it read, followed by a weak rebuke of the Trump administration.

“It was South Africa’s sincerest hope that President Donald Trump would use his influence and that of the US government to prevail on the parties to pursue a dialogue path in resolving their issues of dispute.”

The statement concluded, as is on brand for Ramaphosa, with a call for “peaceful resolution”.

Despite the fact that Tehran and Pretoria enjoy warm diplomatic relations, Ramaphosa’s statement revealed the diplomatic egg dance that the situation presents to the South African government.

South Africa cannot risk alienating the Trump administration further, with the relationship still on life support from the buildup to the Trump-Ramaphosa Oval Office showdown in late May.

The Israel factor is a significant complication

The difficulty for Pretoria is that the Iranian strike was overtly carried out at the behest of Israeli President Benjamin Netanyahu. Trump’s brief televised announcement, confirming that US fighter jets had targeted multiple nuclear research sites in Iran, ended not only with “God bless the Middle East” and “God bless America” but also, specifically, “God bless Israel” — a closing flourish that left little doubt about whose interests were being prioritised.

(Screengrab)
Trump and Vice-President JD Vance campaigned on a pro-peace ticket, which the US bombing of Iran has shown to be another lie.  (Screengrab)

South Africa has positioned itself internationally as one of the staunchest critics of Israel’s conduct, culminating in its landmark International Court of Justice case accusing Israel of genocide in Gaza. Pretoria has also publicly cut diplomatic ties with Israel, formally downgrading the embassy. In the face of this new regional escalation, it must now consider how to balance that principled commitment with its allegiance to Iran, a fellow BRICS member — while simultaneously avoiding direct confrontation with a still-dominant United States.

With that in mind, the silence of the political class on Sunday was, frankly, understandable.

BRICS buddies band together?

South Africa and Iran have shared membership of BRICS since an invitation was issued to the latter at the 2023 Johannesburg summit.

Other BRICS states were less hesitant in responding to the bombing. The Chinese foreign ministry issued an unambiguous condemnation:

“China strongly condemns the U.S. attacks on Iran and bombing of nuclear facilities under the safeguards of the IAEA [International Atomic Energy Agency]. The actions of the U.S. seriously violate the purposes and principles of the UN Charter and international law, and have exacerbated tensions in the Middle East. China calls on the parties to the conflict, Israel in particular, to reach a ceasefire as soon as possible, ensure the safety of civilians, and start dialogue and negotiation.”

Saudi Arabia, whose new BRICS membership sits awkwardly with its often-fraught relationship with Iran, struck a more guarded tone. Its official English-language X account posted:

“The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is following with great concern the developments in the sisterly Islamic Republic of Iran, represented by the targeting of Iranian nuclear facilities by the United States of America.”

The United States, meanwhile, was vocally backed by a handful of close allies. UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer offered a firm endorsement of the bombing, posting on X:

“Iran’s nuclear programme is a grave threat to international security. Iran can never be allowed to develop a nuclear weapon and the US has taken action to alleviate that threat.”

But from other corners of the West, the reaction was unease rather than celebration.

Carl Bildt, co-chair of the European Council on Foreign Relations, called the bombing a “clear-cut violation of international law”. UN Secretary-General António Guterres said he was “gravely alarmed” by the use of force by the US.

A massively unpopular war

Complicating the picture for South Africa is the fact that this conflict is likely to be widely unpopular across the globe — including among Western populations. Comparisons are already being drawn with the disastrous US invasion of Iraq in 2003, and social media suggests a growing generational divide in how such conflicts are understood as the post-World War 2 political consensus crumbles.

Young people in particular are questioning why Israel, which has not signed the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and possesses undeclared nuclear weapons, is held to a radically different standard than Iran, which remains under international inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency.

This is also a moment when support for Israel is at an all-time low. Tens of thousands of protesters flooded European capitals over the weekend, voicing opposition to the ongoing bombardment of Gaza.

In June, a YouGov poll showed support for Israel in Western Europe had sunk to its lowest levels ever recorded. In Germany, France and the UK, only between 13% and 21% of respondents now hold favourable views of Israel, compared to 63% to 70% expressing negative sentiments.

As South Africa mulls its response, the stakes are particularly high. The government has sought to portray itself as a champion of the Global South, a defender of international law, and a broker of multipolar diplomacy. The entrance of the United States into open hostilities against Iran, with Israel applauding from the wings, tests every aspect of that narrative. DM

Comments

D'Esprit Dan Jun 23, 2025, 07:07 AM

I hope the silence thus far is a sign that we will get considered statements from our politicians, not the usual bombastic garbage. South Africa really, really cannot afford to stir the pot right now. Even better would be if they focused on building a better South Africa than tilting at windmills in faraway lands.

kanu sukha Jun 23, 2025, 01:52 PM

Have you forgotten about those 'windmills' causing cancer ?

D'Esprit Dan Jun 23, 2025, 09:17 PM

No idea what you're saying!

Allergic-to-ignorance - Jun 24, 2025, 11:22 AM

Don’t worry. I don’t think he does either.

Hylton Mckenzie Jun 23, 2025, 10:40 PM

I think the less air given to Don T the better, it's what he thrives on

Barrie Lewis Jun 23, 2025, 07:28 AM

The real difference is that Iran has repeatedly stated that it is totally committed to the completely annihilation is Israel. 8 nuclear bombs would achieve that with ease. But none of this excuses the continued genocide of Palestinian people, currently in Gaza. What puzzles me is why the world has prevaricated on declaring Palestine an international country with the right to exist behind secure borders.

Stephen Cranston Jun 23, 2025, 01:25 PM

Recoginising Palestine would be purely symbolic. The Palestinian Authority is deeply corrupt and has no mandate as it has not held elections since 2006. Jordan was the original Arab Palestine anyway after the mandate was split in the 1920s.

libby Jun 23, 2025, 08:12 AM

It is possibly a good idea to stop thinking our opinion counts where these atrocities happen. Our people too are poor, helpless, futureless, hungry and desperate. Crimes against humanity are happening on a daily basis without bombs.

Jun 23, 2025, 08:49 AM

The successful destruction of nuclear facilities with conventional, non-nuclear weapons has proven that the possession, pursuit, and threat of nuclear weapons have finally become obsolete. That's the good news! No country in the world needs nuclear weapons. Those with intelligent systems and a technological edge can defend themselves, even if the enemy appears overwhelmingly powerful. In this respect, this is also good news for Ukraine.

roelf.pretorius Jun 23, 2025, 01:11 PM

All the really relevant info that came my way indicates that, if the idea reallly was to damage the nuclear facilities, that it was a complete FAILURE; even the surface equipment seem to be still undamaged because the "bunker-buster" bombs were aimed at underground facilities, which they did not even nearly reach. I am really amused at the reaction of the USA government; the only success was the Trump government showing off its military capacity. Seems that is what they are celebrating.

kanu sukha Jun 23, 2025, 02:04 PM

BUT .. 'failure' in the Trumpian cult ... is 'winning' ! So ... they never lose ! Its all about 'marketing' .. and hoping the customer/s is/are none the wiser ! The mainstream media (and their spokespeople - the independent ones get 'fired' for real - unlike the fake ones on the Apprentice) are complicit in this task.

Peter Dexter Jun 24, 2025, 09:18 AM

Read “Nexus” by Yuval Noah Harrari, which deals with exactly that. How information is used. “Truth” is flexible to populist politicians.

Jun 24, 2025, 01:04 AM

The visible extent of the destruction is not relevant, but rather the probability of how permanently the capacity for further enrichment has been disrupted. It cannot be ruled out that enriched material was transferred to an unknown location. Iran had announced its intention to do so, which would also explain the surprisingly short notice of the operation.

Jun 23, 2025, 09:04 AM

The hesitation of South African politicians is entirely appropriate; a little reflection would do us all good.

Roddwyn Samskonski Jun 23, 2025, 09:38 AM

The next little egg dance that our politicians are going to have to do is over India and Pakistan. Trump is claiming repeatedly that he negotiated peace between the two (and therefore, among his many self-identified reasons, deserves the Nobel Peace Prize - oy vey). India says he had nothing to do with it. SA is part of BRICS and therefore friends of India's. But it also needs to nurse its relationship with Trump. What a conundrum!

kanu sukha Jun 23, 2025, 02:41 PM

Conundrums .. make the world go round ! Paradoxes too ! And what about double talk and speaking out of both sides of the mouth - Trump style ?

kanu sukha Jun 23, 2025, 02:44 PM

Actually .. he wants the 'noble' prize .. because a brown skinned US politician got the Nobel before him !

Fanie Rajesh Ngabiso Jun 24, 2025, 09:04 AM

Yawn. Your position is so reliably mono-dimensional.

Allergic-to-ignorance - Jun 24, 2025, 11:23 AM

Can we expect data, reliable information, etc. from you at any point? Or just the usual low value, superficial, often puzzling and unrelated anti-Trump chirps?

Jubilee 1516 Jun 23, 2025, 09:43 AM

The morally correct thing to do would be for the ANC to applaud the destruction of nuclear capability in the hands of a regime continuously stating that their aim is to obliterate Jewry, annihilate Israel and Death to America. A regime with nothing for their people the ANC claimed they once fought for, like democracy, freedom of religion, freedom of sexual orientation, equal rights for women, freedom of speech. I find it sickening that SA has all these kinds as partners in BRICs. Goose, gander

Penny Philip Jun 23, 2025, 10:06 AM

The US never learns that bombing a country very rarely results in a better situation....Vietnam became a Communist state anyway, 30 trillion dollars & 20yrs later the Taliban took back power in Afghanistan, Iraq was decimated in the US/British/Israeli desire to topple Saddam....they killed over 1 million Iraqi civilians doing it & were surprised the Iraqi's weren't more grateful. Continual US interference & regime changes in Iran, & they still can't understand Iranians hate the US/Israel.

kanu sukha Jun 23, 2025, 02:38 PM

Pertinent ! Any explanation or expansion would result in the 'rejection' without explanation.. as happened with the original .

Balekatou Jun 23, 2025, 10:09 AM

I support the one who is acting in self defense, who didn't start the fight but simply retaliates to the attacks on it's citizens. If Trump supports Israel' it would be a decision based on intelligence , not on emotions and the same goes for picking the targets. I don't base my support on the amount of pro-Palestine riots in Europe or America. I know how this is manipulated to swing public opinion by the Commies.

Esskay Esskay Jun 23, 2025, 10:43 AM

Great answer

roelf.pretorius Jun 23, 2025, 01:14 PM

What makes you think that the USA is not swinging public opinion so they can still (falsely) be admired as the worlds' dominating country? Because all my info says that that is what is going on here. And my info does not come from the "commies", of that I can assure you.

Fanie Rajesh Ngabiso Jun 24, 2025, 09:12 AM

...have you considered that no one in power cares what you or I think? And neither should they, as we each constitute a single ill-informed, emotional, biased little bag of flesh, with our views and commentary mostly ignorant, destructive and irrelevant.

Stephen Paul Jun 24, 2025, 02:15 PM

Finally. A rational comment. Give the man a Bells.

Robinson Crusoe Jun 23, 2025, 10:41 AM

The fullest way to grasp the situation is to view the broad pattern of the length of the 20th century. The unavoidable question of the costly policing of the globe to protect nations from rogue states, dictators, nuclear threats and so on. International law rose from that policing but is easily disregarded. Then there is an unavoidable reversion to global policing-powers and that is never seen as popular. But it's unavoidable. It is why NATO exists beyond the Cold War.

Robinson Crusoe Jun 23, 2025, 10:45 AM

PS my point is that 'history' has unbundled into so many differing narratives that we have given ourselves the licence to underrate the need for global policing - which a fortiore is all the more needful now that there are so many narratives. And our dear ol' South Africa has got tangled up and can't read or write the kind of global upland narrative that is needful in the long run.

Paul (Teacher) Jun 23, 2025, 10:50 AM

Netanyahu's been very adamant that Iran is months away, maybe weeks, from getting a nuclear bomb. And he has been saying this since at least 2012. Now it's 2025 and they still don't have one. North Korea, on the other hand, is safe from any attack because they have nuclear weapons. Iran - and any other prospective nuclear power - will draw the necessary conclusions. When Trump wiped his bum on the (actually pretty good) 2015 Iran nuclear deal, he did not do the world any favours.

Fred Lightly Said Jun 23, 2025, 10:53 AM

The author has clearly stepped into the void to share her position on developments. Her bias is not balanced reporting. "Iran remains under international inspections from the IAEA" - and what does that actually mean? Iran is enriching to near weapons grade (in violation), has clandestine parts in its nuclear development program, prevents IAEA inspection at sensitive sites, and is openly committed to the destruction of Israel. Hold both sides to account if the reporting is to remain neutral.

MT Wessels Jun 23, 2025, 11:25 AM

Mmmm. Let's see what it means: Israel has nuclear weapons, but no inspections for their "sensitive sites". But Israel want Iran destroyed despite the fact that mutually assured destruction should prevail if Iran ever gets to a point of acquiring a bomb. The message in all of this compels rogue states to withdraw from the non-proliferation treaty and quietly get on with acquiring their own "get out of being attacked" by the US card - much like no-sanctions Pakistan and North Korea.

MT Wessels Jun 23, 2025, 11:25 AM

Mmmm. Let's see what it means: Israel has nuclear weapons, but no inspections for their "sensitive sites". But Israel want Iran destroyed despite the fact that mutually assured destruction should prevail if Iran ever gets to a point of acquiring a bomb. The message in all of this compels rogue states to withdraw from the non-proliferation treaty and quietly get on with acquiring their own "get out of being attacked" by the US card - much like no-sanctions Pakistan and North Korea.

Fred Lightly Said Jun 23, 2025, 12:57 PM

Thr assumption in your argument is that Israel wants the destruction of Iran. I would argue that Israel would like Iran to stop threatening its existence, either directly or through proxies. Israel does not deny Iran's right to exist. Fundementalist difference. Mmmm...

Guy Wuytack Jun 23, 2025, 11:12 AM

Good response having in mind that it is not SA fight: the fight is on turning the economy around and SA needs the US for that.

bertus Jun 23, 2025, 12:41 PM

So Clearly Trump is testing the resolve of BRICS regarding their members. Seems BRICS are all talk with very little else regarding the member countries BRICS did not come to the aid of China during Trump's trade war, also seems to offer little more than words as backup for the members in conflict.

Stephen Cranston Jun 23, 2025, 01:22 PM

This story glosses over the fact that Iran has been in a proxy war with Israel and that the October 7th atrocities would not have been possible without Iran's say so. Ramaphosa is between a rock and a hard place after his foolish decision to recommend the rogue state of Iran, which is deeply unpopular with its own people, to join BRICS. Typical and predictable anti Israeli reporting from DM.

Michael Clark Jun 23, 2025, 11:46 PM

Our gutless leaders have no idea how to play the foreign affairs game, complicated by the fact that no doubt Iran slipped a few bucks into Lootfreely House back pocket. By the by who the "young people" concerned about Israel Nuclear capabilities, who dreamt that nonsence up? In this country "young people" just want jobs and thats what the ANC are systemically destroying.