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RUGBY ANALYSIS

Rassie Erasmus’ brave selections have laid the platform for future Bok success

In a display of tactical wizardry, Rassie Erasmus has turned 2024 into a Springbok showcase of experimentation and excellence, fielding a whopping 50 players while still managing to rack up an enviable 85% win record.
Rassie Erasmus’ brave selections have laid the platform for future Bok success The Springboks celebrate with the trophy after winning the 2024 Rugby Championship in the game against Argentina in Mbombela on 28 September 2024. (Photo: EPA-EFE / Christiaan Kotze)

By every metric, 2024 has been a landmark year for the Springboks.

Past teams have recorded 85% win records, and have claimed Rugby Championship titles as well as clean sweeps of Europe. No South African team, however, has achieved all of this in a single season.

The stats show how the Boks have taken their game plan forward in 2024. Rassie Erasmus’ charges have averaged more points and tries scored, while their defence and tactical kicking numbers remain as formidable as ever.

Kurt-Lee Arendse (C) of the Springboks breaks free to score a try during a Rugby Championship match between the Australian Wallabies and the South African Springboks at Suncorp Stadium in Brisbane, Australia, 10 August 2024.  EPA/JONO SEARLE NO ARCHIVING, EDITORIAL USE ONLY AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND OUT
Kurt-Lee Arendse (centre) of the Springboks breaks free to score a try during a Rugby Championship match against the Australian Wallabies at Suncorp Stadium in Brisbane, Australia, 10 August 2024. (Photo: EPA / Jono Searle)

The big story of 2024, of course, is the fact that Erasmus has achieved these results and boosted the stats while building for the future.

50 players used in 2024

Earlier this year, Erasmus told the media to expect a few setbacks over the course of the 2024 season as he experimented with new combinations with a view to peaking at the 2027 World Cup.

Nobody could have predicted that he would rotate his team to such an extent over the course of 13 matches, or that the various combinations would combine for 11 wins and two narrow losses.

Now that the season is complete, it’s worth reflecting on those selections and what they tell us about Erasmus’ plans for the future.

Springbok flyhalf Sacha Feinberg-Mngomezulu in action against Portugal in the 2024 Castle Lager Incoming Series match at Free State Stadium in  Bloemfontein on 20 July 2024. (Photo: Muzi Ntombela / BackpagePix)
Springbok flyhalf Sacha Feinberg-Mngomezulu in action against Portugal in the 2024 Castle Lager Incoming Series match at Free State Stadium in Bloemfontein on 20 July 2024. (Photo: Muzi Ntombela / BackpagePix)

While upwards of 60 players have been invited to various alignment camps and trained with the Boks over the course of the year, an impressive number of 50 were used across the 13 Tests.

That figure includes 29 of the 35 players who featured at the 2023 World Cup – and Erasmus has gone out of his way to name-check other injured veterans such as Lood de Jager, Steven Kitshoff and Damian Willemse to remind all and sundry that they remain a part of his long-term plans.

At the same time, the Bok coach has made it clear that the age profile of the group needs to change over the next few years to ensure that a greater balance between youth and experience is struck at the 2027 World Cup.

Balance — Rassie’s secret sauce

Balance in selection has been the key to the Boks’ success in 2024.

Erasmus has blooded 12 new players over the course of the season and has given seven more fringe players – who had five caps or fewer at the start of the year – more opportunities to impress.

Significantly, Erasmus has never picked a completely old or young combination from one week to the next. The Bok coach has endeavoured to mix it up, with the aim of producing short-term results and finding some long-term answers.

While there have been one or two injury dramas along the way, most of the changes have been unforced.

When you break down the selections position by position, you start to understand what Erasmus has tried to build in terms of experience and synergy across the respective units.

A closer look at the numbers gives one a greater appreciation of how much the Boks chopped and changed and casts the winning ratio of 85% in a more impressive light.

Jesse Kriel and Damian de Allende started together eight times this season – more than any other combination. This is an example of Erasmus backing an experienced combo in one department and rotating various players around it.

The most used combination, in fact, was the reserve front row of Gerhard Steenekamp, Malcolm Marx and Vincent Koch, who played together nine times.

The aforementioned combinations suggest that Erasmus did strive for some stability over the course of the season. By and large, he rotated the players and altered the respective units – nowhere more so than at scrumhalf and flyhalf.

One can understand why Erasmus might use 11 different halfback combinations over 13 Tests with an eye to the future. For the first part of his tenure, the lack of depth at No 10 was a big concern.

That said, mixing and matching the starting combinations to such an extent was a bold move.

Most coaches may have opted for a more settled halfback pairing, especially during a period of tactical transition.

Somehow Erasmus managed to alter the game plan and win consistently while rotating his No 9 and No 10 on a near-weekly basis.

Bomb Squad evolution

Fans and media have come to accept that the starting XV is not the be-all and end-all in modern rugby and that the entire matchday 23 has a crucial role to play.

Erasmus has harnessed the power of his Bomb Squad to great effect over the past six years and has taken things forward in this department over the past 12 months.

The law tweaks that favour a high-tempo attack have led to a new approach by the Boks and some interesting selections on the bench.

There is still a time and place for the 7-1 and 6-2 splits that harness the set-piece power of a reserve tight five.

But in 2024, Erasmus has favoured two variations of the 5-3 split, with the aim of boosting his backline attack in the closing stages of a match.

Springbok Eben Etzebeth (centre) takes on Hunter Paisami (left) and Harry Wilson (right) of the Wallabies during a Rugby Championship match at Suncorp Stadium in Brisbane, Australia, 10 August 2024. (Photo: EPA / Darren Englane)
Springbok Eben Etzebeth (centre) takes on Hunter Paisami (left) and Harry Wilson (right) of the Wallabies during a Rugby Championship match at Suncorp Stadium in Brisbane, Australia, 10 August 2024. (Photo: EPA / Darren England)

Some of Erasmus’ changes and experimentations have yielded results, and some haven’t – at least not yet.

What’s been clear is that the Boks have more options than ever. They have the tools to employ a kick-chase strategy or an all-out attacking approach, and they have the means to bolster their bench with set-piece specialists or attacking impact players.

Spare a thought for the opposition coaching staff that attempts to predict who the Boks might pick or how they might play on any given Saturday.

While they still boast a large group of double World Cup winners, as many as 19 “fringe” players – new caps as well as those who were used sparingly prior to 2024 – have been successfully integrated into the squad. Aphelele Fassi, Elrigh Louw and Steenekamp – a trio that didn’t travel to the 2023 World Cup – were among the most used players in 2024.

Erasmus will continue to tinker with his team in 2025.

The nature of the never-ending South African rugby season will require careful management of the players, but as seen in 2024, Erasmus has developed his squad to the point where he can select two different teams on consecutive weekends without compromising the drive for results.

More youngsters will push for a chance in this squad over the next 12 months, while a few more veterans will return from lengthy injury layoffs.

The list of available options will grow, as will South Africa’s chances of another dominant season. DM

Comments (3)

Steve Davidson Nov 28, 2024, 07:00 AM

Rassie is a rugby genius. Nothing else needs saying.

Mortimer Lee Nov 29, 2024, 09:45 AM

What DOES need saying: I, for one, cannot wait for the rugby laws to dilute the impact of scrummaging, kick-and-charge and grinding brawn ... so that we might all realise that the Boks' new brilliance is largely due to Tony Brown and the skills of our black 'ball- players' - NOT to Rassie.

Johan Buys Nov 29, 2024, 01:14 PM

Mortimer: I too would like to see more running rugby. However, if the rules change, the opposition is in DEEP trouble. Look at what we have in the backline & loose forwards. Our only gap is depth at centers but I think oppo would be scared with any of our wings at 12 or 13.

Mortimer Lee Dec 3, 2024, 06:05 PM

Johan, I agree: we would win even more World Cups, if laws are introduced to dilute rugby's scrum/kick/charge components. And then the 15 Boks on the field at the end of the game would be comprised of 60% black players ... minimum. Neither Rassie ... nor SA rugby ... desires THAT development!!

Johann Olivier Dec 2, 2024, 07:43 PM

No talk of genii, but absolutely no doubt that both Brown & Erasmus are innovators - transformative innovators. Rassie, being an ex-player, understands that the demands of the modern game require an NFL-like roster (50+ players) & player flexibility. Brown, that everyone has an offensive role.

D'Esprit Dan Nov 28, 2024, 09:02 AM

Rassie's attention to detail is a thing of beauty - but we're also lucky that he's willing to gamble on a wider squad, and the fact that we have so many excellent players at the moment. Not all plain sailing - hooker is a concern as is midfield outside of de Allende and Kriel needs attention.

superjase Nov 28, 2024, 10:57 AM

at 13 kriel and am are both world class, and henco would've played for the boks this season had he not been injured - he is superstar material. at 12, de allende, esterhuizen is phenomenal and pollard covers 12 well. 3 options at each position - there is no concern for depth at centre.

D'Esprit Dan Nov 28, 2024, 12:59 PM

Our four 1st choice centres are all 30+:De Allende (33), won't play more than another year (2 max), Kriel and Esterhuizen (both 30), so should be around a bit longer. Am (31) and hasn't regained his form from a couple of years ago. Agreed on Henco. Hooker from Sharks too. But they need exposure.

megapode Nov 28, 2024, 12:33 PM

Importantly he has got the players to buy into this. Top players accept that may not start every match, may sometimes not even be on the bench. That's good HR right there. I wonder how the pay packets are structured?

Jo Van Nov 28, 2024, 11:03 AM

How can world rugby get it so wrong that they do not select Rassie as the coach of the year. They appear to have issues and their judgements can't be trusted. They should be sanctioned and brought to account. But who can do that? The injustice will just pass.

David Hill Nov 28, 2024, 04:51 PM

Jo, dont lets sweat the small stuff - everyone else knows who IS the best in the world

Heinrich Holt Nov 29, 2024, 10:49 AM

Agree, I feel for the what's his name French coach who knows he is not the best, and that everybody knows it.