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ANALYSIS

Zuma all the way — 2024 elections, meet Stalingrad

The IEC has taken the dramatic step of appealing directly to the Constitutional Court in the ongoing saga of whether Jacob Zuma can stand in the upcoming elections, setting the stage for a legal showdown.
Zuma all the way — 2024 elections, meet Stalingrad Illustrative image, from left: Janet Love. (Photo: Gallo Images / Frennie Shivambu) | IEC barrier tape. (Photo: Gallo Images / Darren Stewart) | Former president Jacob Zuma. (Photo: Gallo Images / Rapport / Elizabeth Sejake) | Chief Justice Raymond Zondo. (Photo: Gallo Images / OJ Koloti)

On Friday, the Electoral Commission of South Africa (IEC) confirmed that it was lodging an “urgent and direct appeal to the Constitutional Court” over the Electoral Court’s decision allowing former president Jacob Zuma to be a candidate for uMkhonto Wesizwe (MK) in the upcoming elections.

As was widely reported, the Electoral Court’s decision came as a surprise and led to salient questions about how its judges came to the decision. For the moment, that is still a mystery as the court has not yet released its reasons.

MK, meanwhile, appears to be preparing to attack the IEC.

It has already called for IEC Commissioner Janet Love to resign, claiming that her comments during a press conference in January, in which she said Zuma would not be eligible to stand, showed she was biased.

While it is not entirely clear what will be argued at the Constitutional Court — if it hears the case — MK is likely to raise several preliminary issues that could create complications for the court.

It might well argue that the Constitutional Court does not have jurisdiction to hear the case.

The party’s media WhatsApp group has republished, with approval, a tweet citing a portion of the Electoral Act which says that decisions of the Electoral Court are not reviewable and cannot be appealed. 

However, the IEC may argue that other legislation suggests the Constitutional Court does have jurisdiction.

Even before the change that saw the Constitutional Court moving from hearing only constitutional matters to being the apex court in all matters, a ruling in 2004 saw the court’s judges ruling they did have jurisdiction in an electoral case if it was in the interests of justice for them to hear the case.

And, as Professor Omphemetse Sibanda has suggested, the IEC could well argue this is about the text of the Constitution itself and thus the Constitutional Court is duty-bound to hear it.

That may be one of many skirmishes to come.

The Zondo factor

Zuma and MK are likely to argue that the entire situation is the consequence of a ruling by the Constitutional Court in 2021 that Zuma must serve 15 months in prison.

The application that led to him being jailed was launched by the Commission of Inquiry into State Capture, which was chaired by now Chief Justice Raymond Zondo.

Zuma will surely argue that Zondo cannot sit in this case.

Of course, Zondo’s recusal would not end the matter.

Zuma could argue that the other Constitutional Court judges who imposed the prison sentence should also be removed from the case as no judge should rule on the same matter twice.

At present it is not clear which Constitutional Court judges will hear this application, should the court decide to do so.

But the latest judgment of the court, handed down last week, featured three of the judges who ruled in the Zuma case in 2021.

This means that four judges (including Zondo) may not be available.

Because of these factors, the court may take some time before deciding whether to hear the matter — in any case, it would be foolish to decide to hear it without getting the reasons for the ruling from the Electoral Court that is being appealed against.

Conspiracy claims

Of course, the judges might well decide that the interests of justice override those considerations and just go ahead and hear the case.

Then, Zuma would surely argue, as he has in the past, that there is a conspiracy against him, with the Constitutional Court and the IEC acting in concert.

MK has argued that the IEC is supporting or protecting the ANC.

However, this completely ignores the fact that just three weeks ago the IEC argued along with MK against the ANC in its bid to try to claim that MK was not properly registered.

Also, while MK and Zuma have consistently made these claims of conspiracy against the IEC, he did not do so when he was the leader of the ANC.

So, the IEC could argue that Zuma only attacks it when he believes he may not win an election, and was perfectly happy to accept its rulings when he was the leader of the party that won elections.

This is a continuation of a strategy Zuma has followed for many years — to keep applying as much pressure as possible on legal institutions until one of them breaks, in this case, either the IEC or the Constitutional Court.

Some have argued that the IEC was wrong to appeal against the Electoral Court ruling. BusinessLIVE’s Peter Bruce wrote he was “glad Zuma won” the Electoral Court case as, “You can’t run a democracy by lawyering your opponents away.”

A need for clarity

However, the role of the IEC is to ensure that South Africa’s elections are free and fair, and administered under the Electoral Act. As the Electoral Institute for Sustainable Democracy in Africa’s Ebrahim Fakir has noted, the IEC has been careful to point out it needs clarity about its role in allowing or disqualifying candidates from running.

It believes it was applying the law when it ruled Zuma was ineligible to run and that the Electoral Court then found it had not applied the law correctly — and it wants clarity on this.

While some have suggested the IEC should only have appealed after the election, this is simply not possible as judges do not hear cases that are deemed to be moot (never mind the problems that would be created if it turned out that someone had been in the National Assembly, voting on contentious legislation when they did not qualify to be there).

Also, as Fakir pointed out, the election timetable specifically provides a period for political parties to inspect the candidate lists of other parties and a mechanism for them to lodge objections. What is the point of having objections if the IEC cannot act on them?

Therefore the claim that it would be up to Parliament and not the IEC to bar elected candidates who are disqualified from taking their seats cannot be correct.

It is clear that once again Zuma is about to put our legal institutions under pressure — and that those who lead these institutions will have to think carefully about how to respond.

The goal of those in these positions should surely be to hold elections which are free and fair, and of which everyone accepts the outcomes.

This may turn out to be too much to ask. DM

Comments (10)

divin43 Apr 17, 2024, 09:54 AM

"Constitutional Court has not yet said whether it will hear an application from the Electoral Commission challenging former president Jacob Zuma’s eligibility to stand in next month’s general election". My understanding is that the CC has NOT been asked to make a call challenging the MK/Zuma judgement. It's simply been asked to give clarity on the portions of the constitution regarding who may or may not stand

Skinyela Apr 17, 2024, 11:38 AM

It is actually an appeal John, not just a request(from IEC to the CC) to clarify a section of the constitution. I, too, was hoping that their(IEC) application is not in a form of an appeal.

William Dryden Apr 17, 2024, 10:05 AM

I can just see Dhali Mpofu rubbing his hands together in anticipation of another great pay day from Zuma and MK. (Or who ever is backing them)

marke Apr 17, 2024, 10:15 AM

I thought Zuma was terminally ill, and needed to be granted Medical Parole. When will his extreme illness take its toll. Sooner than later hopefully.

violetsebueng Apr 17, 2024, 10:44 AM

He was apparently terminally ill to serve time yet healthy enough to cause this unnecessary headache? Power is indeed the biggest problem. If he really cared for the citizens he would safe us from himself. I am over this old dumb MF

langeraadt@yahoo.com Apr 17, 2024, 12:50 PM

The Judiciary seem to be afraid of this man. I honestly cannot see why so many people would vote for Zuma, he has just about alienated everybody with his behaviour. At 81 years old, I wonder just how much longer this man can cause chaos and waste the time of officials with his constant court cases

smot677 Apr 17, 2024, 02:05 PM

People love zuma, thats what you need to get into your head. people can see when justice is not served FAIRLY to everyone. people can sense that only the majority who hate Zuma is the same people who oppressed the majority, so that in its own would make any right thinking black person to see that Zuma must have been doing something that touched the oppressor so badly hence the hatred. people can nolonger be influenced by the mainstream media anymore. people can read altornative news to understand the political and economical situation that prevails. people want economic freedom. people long for unbiased media.

Alan Jeffrey Apr 17, 2024, 02:35 PM

Mandla- the colour of Zuma's skin has NOTHING TO DO WITH WHY HE IS HATED. He is hated (strong word yes) because he is a lying, cheating criminal who has stolen massive sums of money that should have been used to uplift the struggling masses of South Africa, and all but destroyed every major State enterprise in our country. If this man gets ANY say in our future then collapse is inevitable and guaranteed in our wounded country and you and those who believe in what you say will get the future you deserve.

Rainer Thiel Apr 17, 2024, 04:14 PM

"This may turn out to be too much to ask." That's a chilling thought.

Bradjame666@gmail.com Apr 17, 2024, 05:25 PM

There's a group in people in this country - Zuma included - who simply don't want law and order. It's too "Western" and "colonialist" for them. They want jungle and tribal law to rule the land. And that's exactly where South Africa is heading. In the words of Varys : Zuma would see this country burn if he could be king of the ashes.

ace00864 Apr 17, 2024, 06:25 PM

Well yes Zuma is a former President, and allergistions of corruption hangs over his head. In the Court of public opinion he has already be found guilty but we must be aware that the very same courts he is frequenting has never found him wrong on any crime be it corruption or fraught, except the 15 month sentence for contempt of court. His sentence was remissioned to 3 months, now the question is whether remission of 12 months means being outside the scope of those restricted to vote or being voted into parliament prior to 5 years elapsing after the sentence. Now as things stands except the IEC appeal he is iligible to stand. I think his aim is only to promote the party not necessarily being in parliament where he might risk his Precidential perks if the la stipulates so. So in conclusion he has a right to do all this this regardless of whether someone likes or not. Let us all respect the law and respect one another whether the darling of the media or not.

Meriel Rowbottom Apr 17, 2024, 08:12 PM

A sentence that is wholly suspended for five years is no sentence at all. The criminals must be made to pay for the damage they have done to society and not just be 'good guys' for five years. They MUST pay the full fine with possibly the prison sentence commuted to house arrest. Make it difficult for them, they have destroyed lives or nature with their activities.

Pet Bug Apr 17, 2024, 08:47 PM

Zuma and his courtiers have, surely unwittingly, probably done the country a huge service in clarifying important constitutional and judicial grey areas, that will in time strengthen our democratic rule of law. In the meantime, we must not take showers, as Hitchcock’s secretary so shudderingly stated in the movie, and Zapiro reminded us of …