Asian Stocks Boosted by Hong Kong; Treasuries Drop: Markets Wrap
Stocks got a boost on Monday from a rally in Hong Kong spurred by China’s move to ease a dispute with the US over audits. Treasuries fell on the prospect of sharp Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes to fight inflation.
Chinese technology shares in Hong Kong rose more than 2% after regulators removed a key hurdle that impeded full US access to audits. The spat imperils the Wall Street listings of Chinese companies unless it can be resolved.
S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures edged lower as traders weighed the prospect of stiffer sanctions on Russia over the war in Ukraine. Some European Union governments are pushing for new penalties following reports that Russian troops executed unarmed civilians in Ukrainian towns.
Oil fell, extending a drop sparked by a U.S. announcement of an unprecedented release of strategic reserves to fight elevated energy costs. A worsening Covid outbreak and lockdowns in China also pose a threat to demand.
The Treasury yield curve is flashing more warnings that economic growth will slow as the Fed raises rates to tame inflation stoked in part by commodities. The two-year U.S. yield has exceeded the 30-year for the first time since 2007, joining inversions on other parts of the curve.
The Fed minutes later this week will shape views on the odds of a half percentage-point rate increase in May and provide key details on how the central bank will shrink its balance sheet.
“It would not be surprising to see yields rise further from here and it is very hard to know where they will land,” Angela Ashton, founder and director of investment consulting firm Evergreen Consultants, wrote in a note. “Markets are volatile and there is every chance they will overshoot.”
New York Fed president John Williams said on Saturday a “sequence of steps” can get rates back to more normal levels. Mary Daly, president of the San Francisco Fed, said in an interview published Sunday that rising inflation and a tight labour market strengthen the case for a half-point May hike.
A strong jobs report on Friday bolstered the case for the Fed to push up borrowing costs. The US added 431,000 jobs in March while the unemployment rate fell to 3.6%, near its pre-pandemic low.
Key events to watch this week:
- Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision, Tuesday
- Fed Governor Lael Brainard speaks, Tuesday
- Federal Reserve minutes, Wednesday
- China Caixin composite and services PMI, Wednesday
- EIA crude oil inventory report, Wednesday
- Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker speaks, Wednesday
- St. Louis Fed’s James Bullard, Atlanta Fed’s Raphael Bostic, Chicago Fed’s Charles Evans speak at separate events, Thursday
- Reserve Bank of India rate decision, Friday
Some of the main moves in markets:
- S&P 500 futures fell 0.1% as of 10:56 a.m. in Tokyo. The S&P 500 rose 0.3%
- Nasdaq 100 futures declined 0.2%. The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.2%
- Japan’s Topix index rose 0.1%
- Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index rose 0.5%
- South Korea’s Kospi index added 0.2%
- Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index rose 0.8%
- The Japanese yen was at 122.55 per dollar
- The offshore yuan was at 6.3680 per dollar
- The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was steady
- The euro was at $1.1050
- The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced about three basis points to 2.42%
- Australia’s 10-year bond yield was at 2.83%
- West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.7% to $98.59 a barrel
- Gold was at $1,923.51 an ounce