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Opinionista

Navigating new frontiers — AI and the future of political campaigns in Africa

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Glen Mpani is host and convener of the inaugural International Political Campaigns Expo 2024. IPE2024, set for 25 and 26 January in Cape Town, is the inaugural International Political Campaigns Expo, dedicated to advancing the innovative, transformative and ethical use of AI and big data in political campaigns.

There is a global crisis in democratic engagement, with nearly 45% of eligible voters opting out of the electoral process. As this crisis unfolds, artificial intelligence and other technological tools present a unique opportunity to enhance how political campaigns engage, target and mobilise voters.

At a time of growing voter apathy and enthusiasm for unconventional political change, especially among younger demographics, the International Political Campaigns Expo in Africa (IPE2024) is being held in Cape Town this week.

IPE2024 seeks to explore how different aspects of technology can be wielded during political campaigns and to what extent they can address the low levels of participation of citizens in elections.

We are witnessing a global crisis in democratic engagement, with nearly 45% of eligible voters opting out of the electoral process. This widespread disengagement reflects a deep-seated disillusionment with existing political mechanisms and a lack of trust in elected officials.

Alongside this apathy is a concerning rise – particularly among 18-24-year-olds – in positive attitudes towards unconventional and sometimes unconstitutional methods of political change. This demographic shift signals a critical juncture for political systems, emphasising the need to reimagine and revitalise how political campaigns are conducted.

As this crisis unfolds, the advent of artificial intelligence (AI) and other technological tools presents a unique opportunity to enhance how political campaigns engage, target and mobilise voters. However, the implementation of these tools across Africa is not uniform, affected by varying levels of infrastructure, connectivity and resources. The cost, internet connectivity and resource levels of each political party or candidate will significantly determine the feasibility and effectiveness of these tools.

In the era of rapid technological advancements, political campaigns have witnessed a transformative impact. From text manipulation to deepfakes and image generation, the use of various emerging technologies has fundamentally altered the landscape of electoral processes. However, with great power comes great responsibility, as these tools can be employed for either noble purposes, or manipulative abuse.

IPE2024 seeks to explore how different aspects of technology can be wielded during political campaigns and to what extent they can address the low levels of participation of citizens in elections. To date, political campaigns have remained stuck on rallies, posters and whistle-stops as tools for targeting voters, with less innovation and imagination and ultimately with decreasing levels of engagement.

What then are these AI tools that are being touted as game changers?

Text manipulation

Text manipulation holds the potential to tweak messages, exploit language nuances and sway public opinion. While skilful use of language can inspire and mobilise voters, unethical manipulation can distort facts and deceive the electorate, thereby undermining the democratic process. Stricter regulations and transparency standards are necessary to ensure the responsible use of text manipulation techniques in political campaigns.

Image generation

Image generation technologies have revolutionised the visual aspect of political campaigns. Candidates can employ visual storytelling to connect emotionally with voters. However, this tool can also be misused to fabricate images, manipulate appearances or spread false narratives. Initiating public awareness campaigns to foster media literacy and fact-checking can curb the potential abuses of image generation.

Speech recognition

Speech recognition technology brings the power of language to life, enabling candidates to communicate with diverse audiences. Authenticity and inclusivity are paramount here, since misusing this technology to generate artificial speeches or misrepresent candidates’ intentions can damage public trust. Maintaining accountability through rigorous fact-checking and source-verification mechanisms is crucial. Speech recognition technology amplifies candidates’ ability to reach out to wider audiences.

However, similar to text manipulation, misuse of speech recognition can distort candidates’ messages, misrepresent their proposals, or spread false information. Promoting authenticity in campaign communications, along with robust fact-checking practises, plays a pivotal role in preserving electoral integrity.

Deepfakes

Among the most concerning technological advancements is the rise of deepfakes. These AI-generated videos can convincingly depict individuals saying or doing things they never did. In political campaigns, deepfakes have the potential to sow discord, spread misinformation and undermine the credibility of candidates. It is imperative for policymakers to establish legal frameworks that address the malicious use of deepfakes to preserve truth and protect democratic processes.

Visual reasoning

By harnessing visual reasoning technologies, political campaigns have an opportunity to deliver complex messages and data-driven arguments effectively. However, caution must be exercised to ensure the fair presentation of facts and prevent the manipulation of data to fit predetermined narratives. Implementing transparency mechanisms and third-party audits can help maintain the integrity of visual reasoning tools.

Text summarisation

Text summarisation enables campaigns to distil complex policy platforms into digestible formats, promoting wider public engagement. Yet, the risk lies in oversimplification or selective summarisation, leading to a distorted representation of candidates’ positions. Encouraging comprehensive media coverage and promoting public access to detailed policy documents can mitigate any potential misuse.

Sentiment analysis

Sentiment analysis allows campaigns to gauge public opinion and tailor their messages accordingly. While this can enhance responsiveness to constituent concerns, exploiting sentiment analysis to manipulate public sentiment or employ divisive tactics is a genuine danger. Encouraging transparency in campaign messaging and facilitating open dialogue can help curb these abuses.

With the opportunity that comes with these tools, it remains to be seen how adept and flexible political parties will be in exploring their use.

Read more in Daily Maverick: Elections 2024 Knowledge Base

Read more in Daily Maverick: 2024 elections

As technology continues to shape political campaigns, it is crucial to strike a balance between using these tools for positive change and guarding against their potential abuses.

Stricter regulations, enhanced media literacy, open dialogue and accountability mechanisms can help create a political landscape that leverages technology responsibly, promoting fairness, transparency and informed democratic decision-making for all. DM

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