Biden leads Trump in would-be 2024 election rematch in NBC poll

Joe Biden and Donald Trump. (Photos: Jim Lo Scalzo / EPA / Bloomberg; Al Drago / Bloomberg)

President Joe Biden led Republican frontrunner Donald Trump in a hypothetical 2024 election rematch in an NBC News poll, though his edge is within the survey’s margin of error.

Biden has 49% support in the poll of registered voters and the former president garnered 45%. Biden’s widest edge is among Black voters, while Trump’s biggest advantage is among rural voters, according to the poll published Sunday.

Trump’s support among Republican primary voters in the June 16-20 poll increased to 51% from 46% in April, suggesting that he’s weathering his federal indictment for allegedly mishandling classified documents for now.

More respondents were concerned about Biden’s physical and mental health to be president than about Trump’s – by a margin of 68% to 55%, according the NBC News.

In the 2020 presidential election, Biden defeated Trump 306-232 in the Electoral College, with a 4 percentage point lead in the popular vote, according to Pew Research Center.

Both parties are affirming their stance on hot-button policy topics such abortion ahead of 2024. Trump appeared to toughen his public position during a speech to evangelical Christian voters on Saturday, saying there’s “a vital role for the federal government in protecting unborn life”.

Democrats are embarking on an abortion rights messaging campaign, capitalising on a Republican vulnerability as voters largely denounce the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v Wade.

Among Republican primary voters, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis trailed with about 22% backing. Support for each other GOP candidate was in the single digits.

The June 16-20 poll of 1,000 registered voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.


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  • Latest polling has shown Republican Joe Biden favoured to win the 2024 US elections ahead of Donald Trump. Biden enjoyed a 49% edge over Trump’s 45% in the NBC poll that canvassed registered voters. But polls – as we learned in 2016 – do not a president make, in the US electoral system.

    This how it came in my email…. obviously not a republican.
    But how can such an old man run a country I guess his handlers will.

    • Johann Olivier says:

      Point one, well-taken. Point two, so very empirically wrong. The ‘Old Man’ is running the country the way it should be. He knows what he believes in, has been around long enough to understand government (how it works in the trenches) better than almost anyone, and surrounds himself with smart like-minded individuals … whom he allows to get on with HIS vision. Exactly how all smart & able executives operate. (SA would dream to have a Biden running the country rather than the most aptly named kakocracy it has.) As an aside, for any number of reasons, he has been recognised, in the US, occasionally even on FOX, as the most successful president in at least 50 years. Empirical data. Go Joe!

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