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South Africa and Trump — how we respond will come to define our country

South Africa finds itself at a crossroads, where the age-old adage of 'permanent interests over permanent friends' rings truer than ever, especially as we juggle the delicate dance of international relations while keeping our own house in order.
South Africa and Trump — how we respond will come to define our country President Cyril Ramaphosa. (Photo: Ziyaad Douglas / Gallo Images / Getty Images) | Union Buildings. (Photo: Flickr / GCIS) | Two boys with a Palestinian flag in the Gaza Strip. (Photo: Eyad Baba / AFP) | US President Donald Trump. (Photo: Chip Somodevilla / Getty Images)

The decision by the US government to declare South Africa’s former ambassador Ebrahim Rasool persona non grata because of comments he made about that government has sparked a huge amount of public commentary about how our government should respond.

While much of this is valid, useful and constructive, two eternal foreign policy principles should not be forgotten.

The first is that we do not have permanent friends, only permanent interests. The second is that foreign policy begins at home.

This means that how South Africa responds will be determined by our domestic politics and not just the rational dictates of economics.

The last two weeks have seen changes in international relations that were unthinkable only a month ago.

It took just one shouting match in the Oval Office for the EU to develop amnesia over what was previously presumed to be South Africa’s support for Russia.

Suddenly President Cyril Ramaphosa was hosting the two most senior leaders of the EU. Their motive was clear: they needed to bolster support for multilateralism and to find someone who could personify that.

Read more: EU and SA announce R94bn package for new investments in clean energy, vaccine manufacturing

South Africa may soon be seen by many other nations as “anti-Trump”. As previously pointed out, South Africa stands for diversity, equity and inclusion.

Trump hates all of those. And thus he hates what South Africa is and what it is striving to become.

The US has proven that there are “no permanent friends” for South Africa. We can presume that we will soon no longer benefit from the Agoa trade agreement and that Trump may act against us in other ways.

It is only because of the economic power of the US that this matters. Trump, and those around him, have done virtually nothing to make the US the economic power that it is, but they still swan about as if they are the lords of creation.

That said, the government’s job now is to work towards South Africa’s permanent interest, which is to create a better economy and more sustainable incomes for more people.

We need to find other trading partners (while 6.6% of SA’s exports went to the US — SA’s second-biggest trading partner — in January, this was overshadowed by the 11.7% that went to China).

This is why last week’s SA-EU summit was so pivotal. It suggests that we are looking for other trading partners.

This will not be easy and SA will have to find trade levers that can be used against the US.

While Mineral Resources Minister Gwede Mantashe has been castigated for his suggestion that Africa should perhaps ban the sale of its minerals to the US, his idea might look more attractive in the next few months.

SA’s limits

Then there is the “at home” that forms our foreign policy.

There are several principles which are non-negotiable for South Africa’s government and the majority of South Africans.

One of these is South Africa’s support of Palestine, engendered in part by the overlap between apartheid and Israel’s treatment of Palestinians.

More countries, including in Europe, are joining our genocide case at the International Court of Justice simply because of the sheer horror of Israel’s actions in Gaza.

Another non-negotiable principle is our belief in what Americans refer to as DEI — diversity, equity and inclusion. It is unlikely that there would be majority support in SA for the end of affirmative action.

The idea that everyone should be included is becoming hard-baked into our society — look at how often the line-ups of English-language broadcast media include people that reflect our major groups.

Of course, some things can change.

There is little evidence that many South Africans have a strong affinity for Russia. If it is presented that backing Ukraine means backing democracy, it would be relatively easy to change our public stance on this. (There is one party that supports both Russian leader Vladimir Putin and Trump. MK leaders routinely praise Putin, while the party released a statement welcoming the election of Trump).

Strength in diversity

That said, there are limits.

For example, several constructive voices have suggested that the government should appoint a person from a demographic that is acceptable to Trump to be our next ambassador to Washington.

In other words, a white man.

This leads to the suggestion that Tony Leon would be a suitable candidate. One can see why: he is a white man, he is Jewish, he is a former ambassador and he was Joel Pollak’s boss.

To Leon’s eternal credit, he can be trusted to stick to the government’s line. He can be very diplomatic, highly professional and incredibly disciplined. The government could trust him to do the job properly (if he chose to do it).

But — and it is a big “but”.

How is it that in 2025 we have to take into consideration the ethnic and racial identity of a possible candidate to be our ambassador to the US?

Just the fact this discussion exists is proof that Trump is winning. He is forcing us to do what he wants.

This is a sign of how difficult the next few years will be.

South Africa must stand up for the truth. While Rasool has been declared persona non grata for saying (correctly) that Trump is dog-whistling for white supremacy, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has done exactly what Trump has done.

Read more: How SA can avoid stepping on diplomatic toes while dancing the Rasool rumba

As Joel Netshitenze pointed out, Rasool is being punished for calling them out.

It is worth reiterating: the only reason the issue is so consequential is because of the economic and military power of the US.

We need to remember something else: when different people from different groups work together they are greater than the sum of their parts. The US has been proof of this for many years.

What is starting as the forced removal of foreign nationals from the US will almost certainly turn inward, into a debate about who is “more American”.

This will be very destructive.

The best possible outcome for South Africa is to show that diversity is strength.

This is our permanent interest. It begins here. At home. DM

Comments (10)

D'Esprit Dan Mar 20, 2025, 12:51 PM

Or what we could do is stop pretending that we're big players on the global stage and fix South Africa first - not just the potholes and streetlights on the route from ORT to the G20 Summit venue. Mostly, get rid of the policy people in DIRCO who think we're still living in the 50s and fighting the Cold War. The ANC must grow up, put South Africans first and fix our country. When we're living in a fabulous country where everything (and everyone) works, then indulge your whimsy, not before.

kanu sukha Mar 20, 2025, 04:34 PM

That 'fabulous country' is the mythical US, as in the minds of the maga cult ! "Land of the Brave, and Home of the Free" nogal. Even Bernie Sanders can see through it. Never mind the genocide of its indigenous people ! And now we have "overwhelming lethal force" to settle disputes, especially if they do not of white hue. Quite 'something' to aspire towards !

MG L Mar 21, 2025, 12:20 AM

I think that you are deluded. And by the way, DEI is exactly what has collapsed every SOE and many other BEE companies in SA. DEI can never be a substitute for time-tested meritocracy.

D'Esprit Dan Mar 21, 2025, 07:19 AM

I never said anything about aspiring to be the USA - please don't twist my words: I want South Africa to be a fabulous South Africa, with great infrastructure, universal employment in decent jobs and the freedom to live without fear of criminality. Why is that so difficult for ANC apologists to understand?

Pierre56 Mar 20, 2025, 01:05 PM

There is no inclusion in ANC SA, there is BEE, which is the opposite to inclusiveness. The ANC SA loves regimes that have absolutely horrendous human rights records, like China, Russia and Iran. And finds itself friends with a horrible terror group in Hamas. Yet, it will pretend to a moral high ground and be too "good" to make friends with the country that sends us more inbound tourism than any other and buys from us. This foreign policy is dark and dangerous for the future of the country.

kanu sukha Mar 20, 2025, 04:39 PM

Yes .. is that why the EU leadership just met with us for frank discussions ? Your 'education' from Trump University (you could bring it back to life) is revealing.

Fernando Moreira Mar 20, 2025, 03:04 PM

Rasool was out of line ! He is a Hamas apologist ( Hamas is an internationally deemed terrorist orginazation) anti-west rhetoric not gonna work anymore especially biting the hand that feeds you and then lambasting the US . oops

District Six Mar 20, 2025, 06:07 PM

We, the majority, certainly don't want Joel Pollak here! That would be the most spineless action. We can also choose who is persona non grata. Post it on X.

John Forbes Mar 20, 2025, 10:27 PM

It seems you have really taken a pasting from some of your readers. Personally, I think your article is pretty balanced. The ANC is far from perfect, they have screwed up over the years, they are arrogant, the ongoing BEE policy should come to an end etc. However, at the end of the day, we should not roll over to an incompetent and incoherent American President and his sycophant lackeys that are now in a position of power and are disrupting the world economy, not only ours. Zuma was an amateur.

Damian de Lange Mar 22, 2025, 06:36 AM

A balanced article. Maybe too balanced as history cannot forget the destructive role the USA has played across the globe and for decades (Vietnam, Cambodia, Nicaragua, Congo, Libya, Somalia, Syria - the list is endless). I hope we, by we I mean South Africans, keep to our principles and do not bow to the unwarranted and unjustified attack by the USA. It is not surprising that white readers jump to the defence of the USA, Trump and forget their minority view may not be that of the majority.

lisevanschaik@gmail.com Mar 22, 2025, 08:50 AM

Yes!!!

Eckart Schumann Mar 23, 2025, 08:11 PM

What amazes me about this debate is the concept that Afrikaners are 'white'. Some 14% of South Africans have Afrikaans as a home language, and since about 5% of our people are 'white' it means that some 2% of South Africans are 'white' Afrikaners. The rest are of mixed descent, including FW de Klerk and Paul Kruger's descendants. So these 'white' Afrikaners are a small group, and very likely only some consider their race important. So stop making an issue of it.

Yvette Taylor Mar 24, 2025, 02:07 PM

I have been toying with cancelling my subscription as I have become more aware of the Mavericks corporate media stance. I always supported because I felt that the investigative journalism is solid. But when I read this article, I realize it is just another government mouth piece. I do not believe Trump hates everyone, I do not believe our government have an ounce of honour in their stance. We are a communist country run by criminal politicians, there is no place for self righteous posturing.

Jon Quirk Mar 25, 2025, 07:44 AM

Rasool was playing, and talking to, his Iranian paymasters - certainly not on behalf of the SA, GNU-Government. He talks with forked tongue, and should quietly slip away.

A Rosebank Ratepayer Apr 2, 2025, 04:11 PM

SG appears stuck in 1990s progressive struggle activist dreamworld:… 1.) ANC elite interests drive SA’s flip flopping foreign policy, not SA’s, 2) ANC elites’ interests are COMPLETELY DIVORCED from the country’s (ie SA) interests. Truth speaks to ACTION NOT WORDS. If ANC’s interests were truly aligned with SA’s would they have allowed municipalities to collapse, land reform to fail, education and health services to decline so precipitously? No more lipstick on pig please!