Our Burning Planet

THE JUST TRANSITION?

‘Fundamentalist’ Gwede Mantashe sticks to his guns, promises ‘a lot of coal generation by 2030’

ANC chairperson Gwede Mantashe. (Photo: Julia Evans)

Mineral Resources and Energy Minister Gwede Mantashe has assured South Africa’s coal producers that there’ll still be a lot of coal generation by 2030, adding that the country’s acceptance of a R131-billion climate financing pledge from the European Union, Germany, France, the UK and the US is not a done deal.

‘Many think that there will be no coal generation by 2030. I can assure you that there’ll be a lot of coal generation by 2030… because I’m a coal fundamentalist,” said Mineral Resources and Energy Minister Gwede Mantashe at a Coal Colloquium on Tuesday, making light of the nickname the media has given him.

At the colloquium held at the Council for Geoscience in Pretoria, which aimed to engage with South African coal producers and the media about the sector, Mantashe talked up the economic importance of coal and discussed the just transition from a high-carbon to a low-carbon economy.

Why Mantashe is a ‘coal fundamentalist’

In his address at the colloquium, Mantashe highlighted what he called the three paramount realities of coal: 

  1. South Africa has a large resource in coal;  
  2. South Africa is dependent on coal for its baseload and energy security; and  
  3. Coal brings in massive revenue and employs thousands of workers. 

Mantashe said that he’s described as a “coal fundamentalist” in the media, a label he accepts.

He said coal is the second-most important energy source in the world, after oil. It is also one of the cheapest and most abundant energy carriers.

Coal was the highest earner in South Africa’s total mining revenue, contributing 21.4% – R130.57-billion – in 2020.

“For me, as a curious young man,” joked Mantashe, “when you generate R130-billion in one year… we are being offered R131-billion to close coal mining. [A reference to the climate finance pledge made to South Africa at COP26]. And I’m saying, you are making that money in one year.” 

This was met with scattered applause from an auditorium of coal producers. 

Mantashe pondered: “But how do you sell your product, for what you do in one year? Now, I’m not a rebel, I’m just raising the reality that must be in the analysis that we’re making.”

What about our global commitments to lower emissions?

“There is no debate about climate change, we see the consequences of climate change,” said the minister. “There is no debate about the desire to move from high carbon emissions to low carbon emissions. The debate is about how, and coal miners must be part of determining the context of that how.”

Mantashe said he acknowledged the South African government’s commitment to the Paris Agreement, and subsequent commitments to address climate change, saying the 2019 Integrated Resource Plan has the country’s trajectory from a high-carbon to a low-carbon economy covered.

He said that getting to a low-carbon economy while still favouring coal entails basing all new coal power projects on high efficiency, the use of low-emission technologies, and the introduction of a carbon tax, carbon budgeting system and compulsory greenhouse gas reporting.

When asked how our continued use of coal past 2030 lines up with the global commitments made at COP26, Mantashe said that every country is only committing to net-zero emissions by 2050, not 2030, and that we cannot compare our transition to other countries because we are not at the same stage of development. 

“We are at the level below China and India in terms of development. But we pretend to be at the same level as Europe. It’s a mistake that will cost us, definitely, in the long term.”

Mantashe added that if it were not for the countries that replaced the phrase “phase out” with “phase down” of coal in the Glasgow Climate Pact, we would have committed to an exit from coal.

Climate finance deal

At the COP26 finance negotiations in 2021, the European Union, Germany, France, the UK and the US pledged R131-billion to support South Africa’s climate action goals, in the form of grants, concessional loans and investment and risk-sharing instruments. 

Tseliso Maqubela, who is responsible for mineral resources and petroleum regulation, addresses coal producers during the Coal Colloquium at the Council for Geoscience in Pretoria on 1 February 2022. (Photo: Julia Evans)

Mantashe said South Africa has not yet accepted the deal and that it is still up for debate. 

“There’s still a debate on what of that R131-billion is a grant, how much of that is concessional funding, how much of that is a straightforward loan. Until we understand that, there’s no acceptance of R131-billion. There’s a debate about accessing that money if it makes sense to us. 

“It must make sense for the programme of this country,” said Mantashe, referring to the energy transition programme. “If it does not, it becomes a carrot.”

Tyrone Seale, acting spokesperson for the Presidency, told Daily Maverick: “Government finalised a political declaration with partner countries and the European Union in November 2021. The detail of the way forward is being attended to at ministerial level among the various partners.”

Mantashe told a media conference after the colloquium: “Funding will always be a dynamic issue. And in the majority of cases, it’s a space that I avoid.

“I know that there will be a lot of options looked into. Last week our Treasury was attacked for taking a loan from the World Bank. We were attacked for that, nobody took to the content of that law. But that is the World Bank, therefore, ideologically, it should be bad. And I think that’s a very short-sighted view in terms of managing the finances of the country. But I leave that to my colleague [Treasury Director-General Dondo Mogajane].” DM/OBP

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All Comments 8

  • Sure, South Africa will still use a lot of coal in 2030. But also a fair less per year than now. To reduce CO2 emissions from 450 to 350 Mt/yr, coal use for power generation would have to drop by 50 Mt/yr, from the current 115 Mt/yr. Can we try to plan for this properly, so that we do have a just transition?

  • Coal mining is money for jam, very little effort required to make vast amounts of money, hence it’s popularity globally, whether you are a miner, transporter, seller, buyer or consumer. The coal mining fraternity care nothing for people, communities and the environment, which is out of step with the changes happening to society around the world in the 21st century.
    The citizens of South Africa appeal to all the coal producers to change strategy and invest in renewables for the future. This will create many more jobs in communities and will improve their health through better air quality, whilst still providing decent profits to company executives.
    Climate change will affect us all if we do not change over time, including the families and loved ones of the coal mining fraternity.
    The ‘coal fundamentalist’ time is over. The world, including India and China are already putting renewables upfront and moving away from coal, so let’s be ahead of the curve.

    • Agree, 100%,the race for money(profits)no matter the cost is what is causing this, when you say the word “sustainable developement,taking the climate and earth’s welfare into considerations they read “sustainable development as regards profits. Stinking rich companies have only 1 aim PROFITS!!!!Conservation and health is not in there vocabulary

  • Given what Zondo says about the role of Ministers in state capture, we should worry the future of the R131 billion is being “attended to at ministerial level among the various partners”. The Government has yet to wake up to the fact that we don’t trust any politicians and for Billions of reasons we need to know more about motives/ strategy than we do.

  • When will Mantashe – and South Africa – realise, that our country’s future lies NOT in coal – but in renewables? It’s easier to generate them, sun and wind are free and readily available. And their negative environmental impact is minimal – whilst ensuring the creation of many new jobs! Really a no-brainer!

    Maybe someone should sit down and explain this to the Minister… 🙂

  • The minister is in for a surprise when the clients buying all his coal suddenly evaporate. Then the time will have run out for a just Just Transition. Unfortunately his crystal ball shows him what he wants to see and not the real future.

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