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Far-right Le Pen and hard-left Melenchon seen reaching French presidential run-off, poll shows

French far-right candidate Marine Le Pen and far-left contender Jean-Luc Melenchon are seen reaching a run-off vote in next year's presidential election in each of five scenarios polled, according to a survey published on Monday.


Reuters
Candidate for the French presidency for Rassemblement National party Marine Le Pen atttends a debate at the French employers federation MEDEF Summer Conference, La REF 2026, at Roland Garros in Paris, France, 27 August 2026. EPA/TERESA SUAREZ

Candidate for the French presidency for Rassemblement National party Marine Le Pen atttends a debate at the French employers federation MEDEF Summer Conference, La REF 2026, at Roland Garros in Paris, France, 27 August 2026. EPA/TERESA SUAREZ


Le Pen, who leads the far-right National Rally (RN), is seen winning 35% to 36% in the first round, the Toluna Harris Interactive poll showed, up from 33% in an earlier poll published on September 14.

Melenchon, of the France Unbowed party, would join Le Pen in the second round, winning between 17% and 18%, according to the survey, which was conducted from September 22 to 24 for French TV channel M6 and Luxembourg-based media group RTL.

Leading centrist hopeful Edouard Philippe was seen winning 13% to 16%, not enough to reach the run-off.

Le Pen is seen beating both Melenchon and Philippe in the second round. She would win 69% of votes against Melenchon and 57% against Philippe, according to the survey.

(Reporting by Mateusz Rabiega in GdanskEditing by Gareth Jones)

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