Le Pen, who leads the far-right National Rally (RN), is seen winning 35% to 36% in the first round, the Toluna Harris Interactive poll showed, up from 33% in an earlier poll published on September 14.
Melenchon, of the France Unbowed party, would join Le Pen in the second round, winning between 17% and 18%, according to the survey, which was conducted from September 22 to 24 for French TV channel M6 and Luxembourg-based media group RTL.
Leading centrist hopeful Edouard Philippe was seen winning 13% to 16%, not enough to reach the run-off.
Le Pen is seen beating both Melenchon and Philippe in the second round. She would win 69% of votes against Melenchon and 57% against Philippe, according to the survey.
(Reporting by Mateusz Rabiega in GdanskEditing by Gareth Jones)

Candidate for the French presidency for Rassemblement National party Marine Le Pen atttends a debate at the French employers federation MEDEF Summer Conference, La REF 2026, at Roland Garros in Paris, France, 27 August 2026. EPA/TERESA SUAREZ
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