Dailymaverick logo

Business Maverick

BUSINESS REFLECTION

After the Bell: The electricity pricing farce continues, but something’s about to give

I’m sure there are going to be all sorts of grand promises over the next few months about power prices. But one simple fact remains: our electricity tariff system is creaking because we just can’t afford it anymore. Something’s about to crack, big time.
After the Bell: The electricity pricing farce continues, but something’s about to give Illustrative image | Civil rights group #NotInMyName organised a march to Nersa in protest against the electricity tariff increase. (Photo: Felix Dlangamandla) | An Eskom coal-fired power station in Mpumalanga. (Photo: Waldo Swiegers / Bloomberg via Getty Images) | Flickr | Adobe Stock)

When I lie in bed during one of those Gauteng thunderstorms, I can often hear creaking in the ceiling. You know the scene: the lightning is flashing, the buckets are filling and the cats and dogs are raining. 

In those moments my wife almost always believes the entire roof has been blown off and we are about to die. 

For some reason, my usual reply – a grunt – is not considered acceptable.

But I can hear something else creaking – it’s one of our systems, which I think is about to crack, big time.

I’m sure you’ve noticed how our electricity tariff system, literally all of it, just doesn’t work. There is a the hollow ritual in which the regulator, Nersa, holds public hearings and makes a decision, before Eskom goes to court, beats Nersa and gets what it really needs to keep things going.

Of course, Nersa has messed it up so much that Eskom’s victories are piling up. And that bill is being piled on you.

Read more: Consumers to bear the brunt as Nersa bungles push up Eskom tariffs 

As Business Leadership SA CEO Busisiwe Mavuso put it quite nicely a couple of weeks ago, this has the “farcical effect of allowing Eskom to charge tomorrow’s customers for yesterday’s costs”.

I have no evidence for this at all, but this has happened so often that I wonder whether someone will claim one day that Nersa has been giving in to pressure from some politician somewhere. Why does it always get it wrong?

It’s either that or its people are just so incompetent that they cannot do their jobs.

Electricity Minister Kgosientsho Ramokgopa has said the government wants to change the entire system. Basically, they need a new system to work out what you should pay for power.

I know you deserve a lot better than you have been getting from Eskom, Nersa, City Power and all of the others over the years. But I think you know better than to get your hopes up.

Ramokgopa is going to kick this all off with a period of public consultation next year, but all there is to say, really, is that we can’t pay more for electricity, and in fact we are already paying too much. That is a simple fact that even Ramokgopa gets. The minister himself has said electricity is unaffordable.

Some unions have suggested that many people are going back to burning wood in their gardens to heat water because electricity is simply too expensive. Imagine that – growing up with electricity, having electricity, but not being able to use it simply because you can’t afford it.

I’m sure there are going to be all sorts of grand promises and claims and gestures over the next few months about power prices. We do, after all, have an election soon. But in the end you, and I, and Ramokgopa cannot get around one simple fact: Eskom needs more money than we can afford.

Nothing about process and consultation and democracy and thunderstorms is going to fix that. The only way we can really sort out Eskom is radically increase its tariffs for those who can pay, or to get the taxpayer to carry the can. As it happens, it’s probably the same group of people. Which means you can either pay for Eskom through tax or through the tariff.

In the meantime Eskom seems determined to do everything it can to lose friends and its ability to influence people. It still insists on the ridiculous requirement of some kind of “registration fee” for your solar installation. It clearly feels that it’s being magnanimous in suspending that fee for a period.

And then, all of the roleplayers involved, including Eskom and, somehow, the South African Bureau of Standards (SABS), still want you to pay about R20,000 for an engineer to sign off on the safety of your installation.

All people are going to do is cut themselves off from the grid, invest more in solar and get an old-fashioned diesel generator for those three wet weeks in February.

Now, having watched all of the people in our power sector over the years, I’m sure Eskom will spout some nonsense about the law and the SABS and how their hands are tied. I don’t care. They’re the ones charging the fee. And they’re the ones who will lose out the most.

Which means they should sort this out ASAP.

Eskom is also taking Nersa to court over its decision to license five companies as energy traders. That’s an entire decade after the regulator issued its first trading licence.

Read more: Eskom’s court challenge to electricity trading licences is a dangerous reactionary strike against reform

So much of this is about yesterday’s battles. In the end everyone who can afford it will get solar. Electricity trading will bring down prices.

And yet, here we are, as always, stuck somehow in the 20th century.

I can hear the creaking. And this time it’s going to require more than a grunt in response. I think something is about to crack. DM

Comments

Mike Lawrie Sep 9, 2025, 07:18 AM

The large bit about stolen electricity and the lack of doing anything about (other than raising prices) it has has been omitted.

megapode Sep 9, 2025, 10:40 AM

The Minister is putting in place the framework to allow mutiple providers who will offer their own tariffs. I wish I could share the optimism about this. It hasn't driven prices down in the UK. And in this scenario we end up with a floating price that can change unexpectedly and usually, from the consumer's POV, for the worst. Folks who think they want the free market might not like it when that invisible hand moves.

Sep 9, 2025, 05:27 PM

I'm sorry to say that the UK seems to have cocked up the privatisation of several previous monopolies. As a die-hard liberal (small "L'!) I didn't think that I'd be the one saying this. Electricity, water and rail remain "natural monopolies". This means that totally floating prices are liable to be abused. The role of a regulator (NERSA in the case of electricity) is to set maximum prices. When I was at ICASA we forced the MNOs to accept a reducing ceiling on interconnection rates.

Carl Metelerkamp Sep 9, 2025, 11:55 AM

New solar installations have become way more affordable. Go big if you can, put as many panels up as possible and don't skimp on batteries. We upgraded solar at a property that had already been on solar for 11 years in 2023 and then also installed a new system in 2024 here, difference in component pricing was at least 40% lower than in 2023 and still is that way We also selling power back to City of Cape Town, payback on the new 2024 system could be as soon as 3 years and 7 months

Rod McLeman Sep 9, 2025, 01:12 PM

Last paragraph. 20th century prices were affordable!

Robinson Crusoe Sep 9, 2025, 01:37 PM

Remind us too about the stats on illegal connections?

Gregory Scott Sep 9, 2025, 08:50 PM

The elephant in the room is that Eskom has no reason to be efficient. On the contrary, the need for ineficiency needs to continue for the next level of looting and the continued payment for a bloared staff compliment. Can someone provide a list the looters and criminals at Eskom that are serving jail time, for how long and how much did they steal from the tax payer?

Gregory Scott Sep 9, 2025, 09:15 PM

Eskom is an example of a successfull transformation. Yip, once a world class producer and supplier of electricity with competent leadership and competent employees transformed into an ineficient relic with a bloated staff compliment and incompetent leadership all thanks to the ANC's cadre deployment program and comfort with criminal behaviour with no inclination towards accountability Now an