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ANALYSIS

Mashaba’s 180-degree turn on working with the ANC reveals his post-election predicament

The decision by ActionSA leader Herman Mashaba to enter into a deal with the ANC in Joburg is a betrayal of his many promises over the years and an illustration of the difficult political spot he is in. While ActionSA made impressive progress in its first few years, Mashaba now confronts a problem other smaller parties might also face: knowing when and how to work in some coalitions and which ones to avoid.
Mashaba’s 180-degree turn on working with the ANC reveals his post-election predicament Illustrative image, from left: Johannesburg mayor Dada Morero. (Photo: Sharon Seretlo / Gallo Images) | ActionSA President Herman Mashaba. (Photo: Luba Lesolle / Gallo Images) | Illustration: Felix Dlangamandla

On Wednesday, as a result of support from the ANC and other parties, ActionSA’s Nobuhle Mthembu was elected as Speaker of the Johannesburg City Council.

This follows the vote last week in which ActionSA, the EFF and others elected the ANC’s Dada Morero as mayor of the city. Insofar as is known, this was the first time ActionSA had worked with the ANC in any assembly. 

This follows Mashaba pinky-swearing many, many, many times that he would never, ever work with the ANC. 

Over the years he has been arguably more insulting and more critical of the ANC than Floyd Shivambu has been of former president Jacob Zuma.

He has also stated repeatedly that his main aim in getting into politics was to remove the ANC from power. That he has turned his back on that promise is immensely revealing of his character as a politician and also of the situation in which he finds himself.

Immediately after the elections, during the weeks when the number of parties negotiating with the ANC to join the national government appeared to grow every day, Mashaba was resolute.

Even though parties as diverse as the PAC, the FF+, the DA and Rise Mzansi were working together, he refused to participate.

This new decision to work with the ANC in Joburg may be an admission that he made the wrong choice.

Mashaba has found himself out of power and unable to direct or control the public narrative. Like Bosa and several others, his party is too small to make an impact in Parliament and too powerless in other forums to make much of an impression.

In many ways, he has himself to blame for this.

While an often repeated promise can be satisfying to make and attractive to voters, our politics has changed. It is very difficult for any politician or party to make promises about who they will or will not work with.

So broad is the current national coalition that all bets on future combinations are off.

The fact that DA leader John Steenhuisen sometimes claimed he would never work with the ANC and at other times offered to work with them is an example of what could be called strategic ambiguity.

As frustrating as it has been for some voters (and the media…), it did mean the DA had its options open.

Failing to lead from the front

Getting back to Mashaba, after the election, he announced that he would not represent the party in Parliament and that the ActionSA caucus (of six seats) would be led by the DA’s former parliamentary leader Athol Trollip. Mashaba said he was doing this to focus on building the party.

While Trollip is an astute and experienced politician, Mashaba is the leader of the party and could be accused of failing to lead from the front.

This is the second time Mashaba has done this.

In 2021 he campaigned to be the mayor of Joburg as the first candidate for ActionSA. After being elected back into the council (where he was previously a mayor for the DA) he resigned just a few months into his term.

Again, the reason given was that he needed to concentrate on building the party.

At what point will Mashaba represent the people who have elected him?

He has laid himself open to the accusation that he finds Parliament boring and even beneath him.

Then there is the curious incident of his biography.

It was written by Prince Mashele, who claimed at the time that while he had access to Mashaba, it was all his own words and Mashaba had no control over the book.

In fact, Mashaba had paid Mashele R12-million to write it

(Disclosure: This writer was asked by Mashele to provide a quote for the book cover, which he did. This writer also chaired its launch at the Wits School of Governance. At no time did Mashele or Mashaba disclose that Mashaba had paid for it).

As was much discussed at the time, this is a huge amount of money to pay for the authorship of a single book — especially one that was never going to recoup anything like that sum. For someone who claims to be good with money, it was a strange investment.

Elective conference

Mashaba’s other problem is in building his party.

ActionSA has never held an elective conference. While it does have a senate and has held a policy conference (unlike at least one other party…) the party has never held a leadership election.

Mashaba has promised that it will hold such a conference soon (the original promise was to hold it after the election), but until such a gathering, it is difficult to assess whether it can form durable structures.

At the same time, there are likely to be questions about whether ActionSA can grow its constituency.

Its closest rivals appear to be Bosa (still outside the national coalition) and Rise Mzansi (which is in the coalition). These three parties have strong urban bases and are trying to appeal to people who have voted for the ANC and the DA.

Almost immediately after the election, there was at least one public suggestion that the three merge into one party. But, such are the personalities involved that this seems unlikely.

All of this makes Mashaba’s decision to now work with the ANC very curious.

He does not appear to be getting much in return and at his request his party is not represented on Johannesburg’s Mayoral Committee.

The real aim may be to try to use Joburg and the position of speaker to help drive the party’s narrative.

However, this is unlikely to work. While local government was often the driver of political trends in the past, so interesting and novel is the national coalition that attention is likely to remain focused on Parliament for some time to come.

In the end, this may mean that Mashaba’s decision to work with the ANC reduces his options. DM

Comments

Joe Soap Aug 22, 2024, 01:20 AM

One hopes Beaumont will cease his sniping at the DA now that ActionSA has found it appropriate to work with the ANC.

megapode Aug 22, 2024, 10:28 AM

I think it's personal for Beaumont.

Derek Taylor Aug 22, 2024, 04:07 PM

I have no doubt it is personal and for known reasons.

Richard Bryant Aug 22, 2024, 06:07 AM

It’s not so much as working with the ANC which is the problem, it’s working with the ANC/EFF cabal. Helping them to entrench their extortion system. Being speaker won’t change this a jot. They’re just being played.

Martin Neethling Aug 22, 2024, 06:35 AM

Mashaba has indeed shown himself to not like the hard work. One correction to Grootes’s piece though - ASA has not made ‘impressive progress’ at all. They got 1.2% in the national election, less than the FF+, and only 4% in Gauteng. At the DA’s expense. It’s an ego party, along with Rise and BOSA.

Izak Potgieter Aug 22, 2024, 08:33 AM

I find this notion of 'the ego party' really shortsighted. RISE, BOSA and ActionsSA have their own ideas and expertise. This isn't the US (dank die vader) With 2 limited options. This is SA where our politics must be as diverse as SA is. The ego party thing is transparently an (arrogant) DA ploy

Glyn Morgan Aug 22, 2024, 08:38 AM

The best thing ActionSA, Bosa and Rise Mzansi can do is to disband. For South Africa.

megapode Aug 22, 2024, 10:31 AM

This is straight out of the DA Big Book of Propaganda. The DA's successor (they would say, not wanting to be asssociated with the Nats) the DP polled 1.7% in 1994 and under 10 in 1999. You have to start somewhere.

Carol Green Aug 22, 2024, 10:13 PM

You do have to start somewhere but the problem with that argument is that we don't have 10 years to wait for small parties to grow. Our politics is also far more fractured now than it was in the first 10 years of democracy.

Old Man Aug 22, 2024, 06:47 AM

Flip flop

mkoortsen Aug 22, 2024, 07:46 AM

I am exceptionally disappointed to see Herman using votes for his own personal gain. Trust he checked in with voters as to their opinions about his newly found power grabbing policy and a Uturn on being the best opposition party.

Grumpy Old Man Aug 22, 2024, 07:52 AM

Stephen, I believe, is correct in his assessment that Mr Mashaba cornered himself strategically and now finds himself on the outside looking in. I am hesitant to be overly critical of Mr Mashaba because I think, on the whole, his intentions were noble. His problem though is himself. He is angry at being out maneuvered and has lost sense of all perspective. Once an Activist he has turned Colabarator in order to satisfy the demands of his own ego. Whereas there is still time for him to find himself and his inner conscience the path he is on at the moment is going to destroy his own legacy. It goes without saying that this path he is on will take ASA down with him

Aug 22, 2024, 07:54 AM

Mashaba is no match for astute politicians like John Steenhuisen, Athol Trollip or possibly even Fikile Mbalula. Mashaba has used his vast reserves of zero foresight to consigne himself to the same political rubbish heap as Floyd Shivambu. He won't be missed if he disappears completely from view.

Ren0112.f Aug 22, 2024, 08:18 AM

ActionSA was so busy politicking against the DA specifically leading up to the elections, that they forget to do any politicking for themselves. What was even the point of that moonshot pact they signed with the DA. And now look at ASA, wasted opportunities.

Fanie Rajesh Ngabiso Aug 22, 2024, 08:23 AM

When Herman started paying people to write "independent" commentary on him, he lost all credibility. And like all minnow parties, ActionSA wastes valuable votes and increases coalition complexity. As such it is destructive and would serve us all best by disappearing completely.

amuhnkuna Aug 22, 2024, 08:32 AM

Herman may turn out to be the biggest weather vane in recent South African political history, but his recent musings about possibly unseating the DA in Tshwane will only guarantee his party being mauled by the electorate in 2026. It's one thing to be a political prostitute, but nihilism is a no no.

The Proven Aug 22, 2024, 08:39 AM

In my view it is much simpler - he is very unhappy with the DA and the fact that they went into a coalition with the ANC/others, so this is simply his way of getting back at the DA. Never assume careful analysis and well thought-through actions where bungling idiocy would do.

Hilary Morris Aug 22, 2024, 10:11 AM

Love it! Bungling idiocy characterises many of the eeny teeny parties. And more so the MK.

phophi Aug 22, 2024, 09:21 AM

Mashaba is completely clueless and inexperienced hence his flip flopping. He now says that the DA's led administration in Tshwane isn't providing services to the townships. Really?? This is a clear hint that he now want to help in removing the DA in Tshwane and put in his now beloved ANC.

Johan Buys Aug 22, 2024, 09:53 AM

Never say never : things change and then you have to adapt. The real question is why the coalitions at parliamentary level do not play through at council and province level??? It does not bode well for the GNU and tough issues after the honeymoon.

Rama Chandra Aug 22, 2024, 10:14 AM

The DA also said it would not work with the ANC, but when there is no decent option, parties must do what they must do. The article fails to say what worthwhile alternative ActionSA had.

phophi Aug 22, 2024, 12:26 PM

Prior to the election the DA said it will only work with ANC under Cyril, and that's exactly what the did. Mashaba said categorically that he'll never work with ANC even in 300 years. Ironically he's working with ANC in just under 3 months. He's an inexperienced flip flopper.

megapode Aug 22, 2024, 10:38 AM

Mashaba never liked being talked about, now he is finding out that there's only one thing worse. He's also trying very hard to hedge his bets by casting whatever his arrangement with the ANC is as "oversight". So, he hopes, nothing will stick to him. As it is he's just being used by the ANC.

marionjpeters Aug 22, 2024, 11:08 AM

Mashaba seems to be an opportunist,

Hari Seldon Aug 22, 2024, 11:30 AM

Its a pity an experienced and good politician like Trollip went to ActionSA which is not democratic and built around one person - Herman Mashaba - not a good recipe. BOSA and Rise Mzansi seem much better options.

Colin Braude Aug 22, 2024, 11:57 AM

Occam's Razor applies: For personal reasons, the thin-skinned Mashaba and Beaumont hate their former DA colleagues far more than they dislike ANC or EFF (the latter which claimed Herman as its mayor), and will do anything to spite them. When it walks like a hadeda, flies like a hadeda, …

rcwatson Aug 22, 2024, 12:32 PM

I once thought Action SA would be a voting option. Have lost all respect, it cannot be trusted any longer. It's also become a flip flop party ready to self-implode.

ANDY DOTT Aug 22, 2024, 01:05 PM

Yes very sad but Action SA have obviously painted themselves into a corner and must get seriously punished by the voters in the next municipal election. Mashaba and Zille needed to make up, but the horse has bolted I'm afraid!

John Gerard Ingram Clarke Aug 22, 2024, 03:23 PM

Mashaba laments the state of affairs in the CoJ. But if he and the DA had acted with more maturity and foresight to sort out their differences, the DA would have kept control of the City, and the fragmentation could have been avoided. I hold him responsible for creating this mess. His fix will fail.

Freda Brodie Aug 22, 2024, 04:51 PM

Did anyone watch his interview on eNCA news yesterday. He was cringing and I think knowing what he is doing is wrong. A bungling idiocy..