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ANALYSIS

Five ways Floyd Shivambu’s defection from EFF to MK could harm Malema’s party

Former EFF deputy president Floyd Shivambu’s decision to leave the Red Berets for uMkhonto Wesizwe will leave a leadership vacuum in the EFF when the party has been deemed to be at its weakest since its formation in 2013.
Five ways Floyd Shivambu’s defection from EFF to MK could harm Malema’s party Illustrative image, from left: EFF leader Julius Malema. (Photo: Gallo Images / Papi Morake) | Former deputy president of the EFF Floyd Shivambu. (Photo: Gallo Images / OJ Koloti)

Addressing a press conference on Thursday, EFF leader Julius Malema expressed his disappointment at Floyd Shivambu’s departure from the party and his decision to join uMkhonto Wesizwe (MK). He attempted to put on a brave face, calling for the party’s “ground forces” to remain steadfast and saying this was not the end of the road for the EFF.

Shivambu’s departure comes just months after the EFF was dislodged as the third-largest party in South Africa. MK overtook the EFF in the 29 May general election and is now the official opposition in the National Assembly after the DA joined the Government of National Unity.

The EFF deputy president’s departure puts the party in an even tougher position leading up to its elective conference in December and the 2026 local elections.

Here are five reasons:

  1. The EFF has lost one of the brains behind the party 

Shivambu was key in drawing up the party’s founding documents — its constitution and seven cardinal pillars.

He has been the EFF’s first and only deputy president since its formation in 2013 and was an important figure in shaping its policy. The popular EFF Students Command was his brainchild and has given the ANC-aligned South African Students Congress a run for its money in universities across the country.

In his role as EFF deputy president, Shivambu was the party’s head of governance and oversaw its strategy in local government. He leaves the party in the lurch just two years before the next local government elections, which are expected to be highly contested.

Shivambu, alongside Malema, led coalition negotiations and his role gave him power to deploy members internally and in government.

As chief whip of the party, he ran the show for the EFF in Parliament.

According to the EFF’s constitution adopted at the second People’s Assembly, the deputy president’s role includes “assisting the President whenever such assistance is required. In the absence of the President, [he will] represent the EFF and represent the EFF at important domestic and international forums…”

  1. Shivambu’s close allies could be next

At the press briefing held to announce Shivambu’s departure, Malema said EFF MP Mzwanele Manyi had also tendered his resignation on Monday and was joining MK. He acknowledged that other members would be likely to follow because of their alignment with Shivambu.

The EFF’s head of political education, Mbuyiseni Ndlozi, is a close ally of Shivambu and speculation is rife that he will depart.

Daily Maverick understands that the party’s national chairperson, Veronica Mente, and deputy secretary-general, Poppy Mailola, also have strong ties with Shivambu, which could cause rifts among the party’s top brass.

Shivambu also had plenty of support in the Eastern Cape, where he led the party’s election campaign.

  1. There’s an EFF leadership vacuum

The party will elect new leadership in December and Malema has said he will stand for re-election. It had been expected that Shivambu would again contest for the deputy president position.

With Shivambu’s resignation, the party will head to its third People’s Assembly without a deputy president, unless the party appoints an interim leader.

Malema has revealed he was blindsided by Shivambu’s decision to leave, which probably means there was no succession plan to replace him.

It will be an extremely tough task for the EFF to find a member who can fill Shivambu’s shoes and also be trusted by the party’s leader.

Many in the party are said to feel alienated because of Malema’s leadership style, which has been described as domineering and harsh.

Read more: ‘We must punish laziness’, Malema threatens EFF leaders who underperformed in elections

Malema has publicly reprimanded leaders of the party, which in some instances has led to them ditching the Red Berets.

It’s been reported that Shivambu tried to mobilise support to contest against Malema at the upcoming conference. This was, however, dismissed by Malema, who said the matter had not even come up in informal talks behind the scenes.

  1. Malema has lost one of his most trusted members

Although they have both spoken about their deep working relationship and the brotherly love they have for each other, Malema has not shied away from challenging Shivambu publicly. This has often been characterised as a sign of fractures in their long-standing friendship.

At the party’s 10th-anniversary gala dinner, what started as a tribute to their brotherhood ended in a threat to Malema’s detractors, including Shivambu. The two leaders were removed from the ANC in 2012 which led to the formation of the EFF.

“He [Floyd] has always shown maximum respect to me and always shared his views with me. There has never been a day where I felt Floyd and I will not see each other the following day,” Malema said at the dinner.

“We complement each other. We are not in competition with each other. I have made it clear to Floyd, the day you get tired of me, don’t go and organise against me, just tell me, ‘I think you have served your term, it is time to go.’ ”

Read more: ‘Ruthless’ Malema warns EFF members against betrayal at 10-year celebration gala dinner

The two have been embroiled in several controversies.

In his explosive affidavit, the former chairman of VBS Mutual Bank, Tshifhiwa Matodzi, stated that Malema and Shivambu were paid off not to use the EFF’s political muscle against the financial institution.

According to Daily Maverick’s Pauli van Wyk, Malema and Shivambu claimed some of the millions they got from VBS were for the party’s benefit, while the facts show that they used almost all the money to enrich themselves.

Read more: Ex-VBS chair lifts the lid on how Julius Malema and Floyd Shivambu grabbed R16.1m from dying bank

  1. Shivambu could help address MK’s turbulence which would harm the EFF

Former president Jacob Zuma’s MK party stands to benefit from the EFF’s woes.

The party garnered 14% of the national vote in the 29 May election and has the most support in KwaZulu-Natal. But its path forward has been turbulent, with the party not having leaders with sufficient political muscle to steer the ship.

The MK party’s manifesto launch this year was held at the Orlando Stadium, which was filled to capacity. The party has since struggled to articulate what it stands for.

With his experience of 11 years in the EFF, Shivambu can assist MK in shaping its policy and developing a working party constitution.

Read more: Zuma’s MK party ousts 15 MPs in rapid shake-up, sparking allegations of cronyism

It has been rumoured that Shivambu could be MK’s next secretary-general, a role which would see him handle the party’s administration. MK booted out its secretary-general, Arthur Zwane, last month for a second time, meaning the job is open.

If appointed, Shivambu will be tasked with building the party’s structures, especially its branches, and being a prominent figure, will relay its objectives to the public.

Shivambu has, however, been criticised for weaknesses when it comes to groundwork. He was deployed to KZN to canvas for the EFF in the 29 May elections, but was unable to gain traction. Malema then recalled Shivambu and replaced him with the party’s secretary-general, Marshall Dlamini. DM

Comments

Wing Nut Aug 16, 2024, 05:36 AM

This one sentence suffices for the whole article; *Malema has revealed he was blindsided by Shivambu’s decision to leave*, which probably means there was no succession plan to replace him.

Sydney Kaye Aug 16, 2024, 07:18 AM

I think, when referring to the stolen VBS money, you should say "R16M, that we know about.

Sydney Kaye Aug 16, 2024, 07:23 AM

Trump and Malema have hubris then collapse in common. Malema rose out of the EFF rally literally on top of the world ready to be deputy President after the election while Trump came out of his convention, surviving an assassination attempt, coasting to a November win. Then a few weeks later....

Malcolm McManus Aug 16, 2024, 08:42 AM

Ja, strange that. The DEM now running for president has been VP for the last few years and is making lots of promises about things she should have already done, whilst in the 2nd most powerful position in the US. Go figure.

Colin K Aug 18, 2024, 07:59 AM

Apart from breaking ties in the Senate she has no congressional vote (like the President) and unlike the President has no veto Executive Action power. Separation of power. She is part of the executive. Congress (legislative) has enough obstructive GOP to make achieving anything a miracle.

George 007 Aug 18, 2024, 09:49 AM

As an American living in Cape Town I can tell you the VP has no real power at all. The president has it all. VPs go to funerals when the president doesn't want to and cuts ribbons, but only the small ones. The 2nd most powerful politician in DC is the Speaker of the House.

Malcolm McManus Aug 16, 2024, 07:55 AM

I don't know who funds these guys, but I would be cautious about giving them any more funding. I wonder what the EFF financial situation looks like.

Just another Comment Aug 16, 2024, 12:23 PM

Agree. How strong is the friendship between the CiC and the tobacco dude?

Ed Rybicki Aug 16, 2024, 08:18 AM

Basically, Shivambu’s jumping ship just means rearranging deckchairs on the little boats, while the larger ones sail on unperturbed. I am surprised the EFF has lasted as long as it has; I can see it doing a Bantu Holomisa and quietly disappearing. Followed by the MKP, hopefully!

Rae Earl Aug 16, 2024, 08:29 AM

This whole thing stinks of collusion and possible political party manipulation. The EFF is a broken entity. MK is unable to do anything coherent and appears to be crumbling. Malema and Shivambu (a close knit team), could pull off a major possible pre-planned coup involving both parties. Hmmm?

robynheathfiel Aug 16, 2024, 10:50 PM

My first thoughts on this precisely. This may just be the two rabble rousing parties agreeing there is power in numbers, and Floyd is just the recce moving ahead to see how EFF could position themselves in a coalition. To be continued.

Malcolm McManus Aug 17, 2024, 07:27 AM

I had similar thoughts. One thing is for sure, if this isn't the case, I think the EFF could end up like BLF. Julius would have to find a job, but I do have a feeling Gucci is going to be less prominent in his wardrobe. He might become less of a useful idiot and lean more towards useless idiot.

Ajay San Aug 18, 2024, 10:45 AM

Well said.

berneleuvennink Aug 16, 2024, 09:00 AM

Amidst comments on the end of the EFF, sinking ship, etc, lets not forget that they provide an outlet as a party to a LOT of angry, unemployed youth. Even if they fold, another will rise to take its place. The country's fight is not with the EFF, it's with unemployment and socio-economic disparity.

Alan Jeffrey Aug 16, 2024, 11:09 AM

Well said

Odirile Moalafi Aug 17, 2024, 03:22 AM

Well-said indeed.

Tim Bester Aug 16, 2024, 09:08 AM

Who really cares what the fighters do, especially their internal fighting?

Michael Thomlinson Aug 16, 2024, 10:07 AM

EFF or MK they are all the same - just a bunch of pseudo marxists/socialists thieves who have no interest in making SA a better country. Their only aim is self enrichment. I am sure that MK rose on the back of a tribal vote and Floyd will therefore not find a comfy home there.

Alan Jeffrey Aug 16, 2024, 11:07 AM

To be honest, how could it help MK either?

superjase Aug 16, 2024, 11:27 AM

julius wants MK. they will merge at some point.

Just another Comment Aug 16, 2024, 12:18 PM

A large Zulu contingent in Gauteng will make MK feel confident about contesting the local government elections and give Shivambu a better future. That remains to be seen. EFF is dead in the water. Flipping & flopping and no true loyalty to alliances has come back to bite Malema. Will more jump ship?

Noelsoyizwap Aug 16, 2024, 12:20 PM

Politics of race and prejudice: Judging by the number of registered voters for recent elections, it appears the IEC did a good job at 27ml. IEC cannot faulted for the 58% turnout. In established democracies the onus for increasing voter turnout is on the contesting parties, SA gives side shows time

Arnold O Managra Aug 16, 2024, 11:01 PM

The onus for voter turn-out is belief in the colonial system of government - western democracy. Without going into the good and bad, I honestly believe that this is the cultural crux of SA today. MK is just another Zuma throwback to tribal existence, which to be honest, is human existence.

Matthew Quinton Aug 16, 2024, 12:26 PM

.."The EFF has lost one of the brains behind the party"... Don't you mean they lost one of the brain cells?

Malcolm McManus Aug 17, 2024, 07:30 AM

They have those things??????

roelf.pretorius Aug 16, 2024, 01:21 PM

Maybe Shivambu's move will also benefit the EFF in the long run. He stands accused of embezzling money from VBS through one of his family members. The EFF also needs a serious moderation change because the public does not want offensive rhetoric and actions; they want respect for the law & customs.

Esskay Esskay Aug 16, 2024, 03:07 PM

FS was most probably offered President of MK - watch that space.

Charlie Victor Aug 17, 2024, 07:52 AM

Nahh bud. MK is a Zulu stokvel. Floyd isn't Zulu.

Mark Chapman Aug 17, 2024, 04:26 AM

I was wondering when Carl will join MK, but then perhaps he sees himself as a good replacement for Floyd.

Malcolm McManus Aug 17, 2024, 07:35 AM

Eeeeish, that dude is an oxygen thief. A waste of meaningful existence.

Arnold O Managra Aug 17, 2024, 06:29 AM

Does anyone remember the Bushman or the Khoe-khoe. "San" is an anglicisation of a derogatory term of the Khoe-khoe towards the Bushman. Why mention this? The Bantu eradicated almost all Bushman, and most Khoe-khoe. I am English and Bushman and proud of both heritages. British+bushmen Vs bantu

ttshililo2 Aug 17, 2024, 01:24 PM

This is a lie! Disease from the settlers, rapist tendencies from the settlers and plain genocidal tendencies helped reduce Khoi/San.

Ian Gwilt Aug 17, 2024, 08:32 AM

I can not see hard core Zulu traditionalists flocking to Floyds banner. The Assegai's will be out for him when he looks like stealing somebody's lunch.

Malcolm McManus Aug 17, 2024, 09:49 AM

Unless its to help gather support from another tribe to steal from. But if its about free lunch, I have a sneaky suspicion Julius is involved and there's a deeper plot. I am intrigued. Its not like Julius not to be vindictive if betrayed. Somethings up.

Colin K Aug 18, 2024, 08:06 AM

Indeed. Moper-in-Chief is not Malema's style. If a shampoo advert can drive him so crazy, where's the chest-pounding over such a "betrayal"?

ttshililo2 Aug 17, 2024, 01:12 PM

There is nothing ‘intellectual’ or ambitious abt what Floyd has done here. The EFF/ Malema will escape the VBS saga, bt not Floyd. He is looking for the correct political shield from the MK. The NPA won’t get malema but Floyd is low hanging fruit. That’s all.

Bob The Builder Aug 19, 2024, 08:31 AM

Can the NPA please hurry up and put all these looters in court once and for all and get them into jail. Enough of wasting of the courts time with Stalingrad tactics. SA needs its own version of the untouchables the USA used to deal with organized crime bcoz that is what SA is dealing with here.

Lawrence Sisitka Aug 19, 2024, 09:32 AM

It's probably a lot more simple and cynical that we think. Malema will never give way to Shivambu as leader in the EFF and the old skellem heading the MK is on his last legs, with no obvious successor, unless of course for Duduzile or Hlope - G forbid either! So an obvious move for FS.

tigers67agu Aug 20, 2024, 08:07 AM

Interesting ignorance when people forget that this is a South African discussion and expose blunt ignorance about US politics. Anywhere the reality seems to be that as long as there is no will to deal with corruption, Africa remains stuck and no liberation party can address corruption

langeraa Aug 22, 2024, 02:13 PM

Shivambu a Finance Minister, can you imagine, all that experience he gained at VBS!!!