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ANALYSIS

New mayor – The ANC is cooking its goose for Joburg in 2026

Following the resignation of mayor Kabelo Gwamanda, the ANC says the City of Johannesburg will be governed by a broad coalition. The party would better serve the city with a smaller coalition of larger parties and fewer patronage demands.
New mayor – The ANC is cooking its goose for Joburg in 2026 Joburg has a new mayor, Sello Dada Morero, after the resignation of Kabelo Gwamanda. (Photo: Gallo Images / Papi Morake)

Johannesburg will have a new mayor by Friday, and he is likely to be the current Finance MMC, Dada Morero. This follows the resignation of Al Jama-ah mayor, Kabelo Gwamanda, who jumped before he was pushed, as Nonkululeko Njilo reported here.

Morero is a seasoned politician and a safe pair of hands. But, it is the party’s coalition choice that will cook its goose and likely deepen its losses in the 2026 local government elections.

On Tuesday 13 August, the ANC Johannesburg regional office said the city will be governed by a broad coalition representing 192 seats of the 270-seat council. 

The ANC has 90 seats, and its government of local unity will include the EFF (29 seats), possibly Action SA (44), the Patriotic Alliance (8), IFP (7) and a host of minor parties, including Al Jama-ah. Gwamanda is hoping for a mayoral committee position in return for stepping down. 

The coalition will exclude the DA, FF+, and ACDP, the ANC’s deputy regional secretary for Johannesburg, Loyiso Masuku, said. 

By choosing such a broad-church coalition, the ANC says it is following the instructions from its headquarters to create a united government that will be able to fix the city and win back its support.

But this coalition will do the opposite. Since 2021, the ANC and EFF have been the primary partners holding power in the city, along with minority parties. The character of their administration has been deeply rooted in patronage politics, and it has seen services hit the wall.

This patronage model means that the annual R20-billion contractor budgets, along with positions on the boards and executive committees of entities like City Power, Johannesburg Water, and Johannesburg Roads Agency, are the bounty of holding government. These positions are dished out among cadres of the current coalition partners. 

As Daily Maverick has reported here, the result is a city poised to fail.

Read more: Joburg is too big to fail. It’s time to give it back to its people

By expanding its existing coalition and including additional smaller parties, the ANC will expand the patronage net further into the service’s budget, which is already throttled by high staff, contractor and tender costs. This is because it will have to give positions in the mayoral committee (the political engine room of the city) and the service entities to a much more comprehensive range of minor parties.

For example, the City Power and Johannesburg Water boards are so stacked with cadres from across the existing coalition that there isn’t space for a single engineer on them. So, services worsen and more voters are alienated from the ANC and its partners.

The ANC would better serve the city in a smaller coalition of larger parties with fewer patronage demands and more accountability to the citizens who elected them. Minor parties like Al Jama-ah, many of which are in Johannesburg, are run by one-person political entrepreneurs and are primarily populist and extractive.

The ANC lost the 2024 election in Gauteng and in the metro’s three cities, where its traditional voters either stayed away or turned to newcomers. The party’s history of resistance is written in Johannesburg – it’s where Nelson Mandela and Walter Sisulu had their eponymous law offices; where the Defiance Campaign was launched, and where the ANC’s armed wing uMkhonto weSizwe struck at apartheid’s structures.

It is also where its endgame can be written.

By refusing to share power in Gauteng (see this report) and choosing a coalition in Johannesburg, the party is writing its epitaph in 2026 when it must contest an election whose trajectory was shaped in the May 2024 general election. DM

Comments (10)

William Kelly Aug 14, 2024, 08:06 AM

And we, the citizens, are utterly powerless to stop the rot. One vote once every 5 years is not power. It's endorsement. And already the stay aways are by far the largest majority. No. It's time for a money power discussion. Starve the Beast theory.

ANTHONY MCGUINNESS Aug 14, 2024, 11:41 AM

Amen to "Starve the Beast".

Grumpy Old Man Aug 14, 2024, 08:15 AM

The replacement of Gwamanda will not solve anything other than perhaps place the ANC more directly in the firing line. The situation for the residents of Johannesburg will get progressively worse and for two simple reasons. Firstly, the City is essentially bankrupt (and should be placed under administration) and secondly because the Clusterfcuk of people we have to manage the situation and drag us out of the crisis we find ourselves in, would be out of their depth in a puddle! The problem we have in Johannesburg is an ANC factional issue playing itself out and we, the residents, are paying for it!

Brian Algar Aug 14, 2024, 09:50 AM

"would be out of their depth in a puddle!"...... Classic

Kevin Venter Aug 14, 2024, 10:05 AM

And that is exactly why the DA wasn't willing to be a token member. Unfortunately that doesn't help the people of Gauteng but rather let the ANC self destruct instead of the DA propping up a sham allocation. The voters are still too ignorant to realize that you get what you vote for.

Kevin Venter Aug 14, 2024, 10:05 AM

“would be out of their depth in a puddle!" - funniest thing I have read all day so far.

George 007 Aug 14, 2024, 08:34 AM

This is essentially the same as a committee. As we all know, committees are the worst way to do anything and the best way to spread the blame when it fails.

Marianne McKay Aug 14, 2024, 08:47 AM

"boards are so stacked with cadres from across the existing coalition that there isn’t space for a single engineer." Would be hilarious if it wasn't so depressing. Good luck, Jozi.

MT Wessels Aug 14, 2024, 09:08 AM

This coalition makes up 70%+ of voter wishes. The DA simply didn't get enough votes, no matter how disgruntled residents were/are - instead spread thin over a host of small parties. Lamentable perhaps, but as it stands a true reflection of what most JHB inhabitants think. More cycles required.

Brian Algar Aug 14, 2024, 09:48 AM

An interesting statistic would be to see what percentage of financially contributing ratepayers and payers of services like electricity and water voted for the miscreants currently in office. I am sure there would be a noticeable increase in the percentage of votes for good governance.

Con Tester Aug 14, 2024, 09:13 AM

The ANC/EFF League of Seedy Gentlemen is not about to have a Damascene moment. Their only interest is circumventing any disruptions to the gravy train’s running schedule.

Middle aged Mike Aug 14, 2024, 10:40 AM

100%. Keeping the DA out of any meaningful positions was about maintaining control of the flow of funds. They are going to be stealing as hard and heavy as they possibly can for the time that remains. R5 says there will be a number of mega procurements that will spring up soon to tie in some of the flows in preparation for their exit.

Michael Thomlinson Aug 14, 2024, 10:12 AM

What frustrates me is: where are the voices of big business? Surely they have a vested interest in preventing Jhb from slipping into decline? Maybe what the taxpoayers should be doing is to threaten withhold rates. Time to speak to the private Jhb action committees?

Rae Earl Aug 14, 2024, 10:13 AM

Want to design a product that won't work and will fail continuously in operation? Give it to a committee. Shitty ideas from the collective will prevail and stuff the whole project up. Good bye Joburg, you're now in the hands of a 'committee' and your demise is on the cards. The DA could rescue you

ANTHONY MCGUINNESS Aug 14, 2024, 11:38 AM

What are the possibilities of boycotting the payment of Rates and Taxes and other services that are non-existent and rather paying into some other account? Asking for a friend.

rosand95 Aug 14, 2024, 12:47 PM

Been saying this for ages Anthony and Michael! Let's stop paying rates and taxes! Same as was done with e-tolls! Where are our rates and taxes going anyway!

megapode Aug 14, 2024, 01:00 PM

So the only change seems to be that the party that said they would never work with the ANC is now joining a coalition with the ANC. And for that party there is only one problem: foreigners. So the number of xenophobes involved in the City management increases. Otherwise, business as usual.