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ANALYSIS

Kamala vs very, very old Trump – with Biden gone, it is now a real race

Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the US presidential race on Sunday ended a weeks-long agonising struggle by Democrats to convince him to take one for the team after his disastrous debate performance against Donald Trump on 27 June.
Reuters-Kamala Harris-Democrats ISS-Harris-in-Africa US Vice-President Kamala Harris (Photo: Drew Angerer / Getty Images)

What a difference a day makes.

Those who had worked to see him gone are now showering Biden with praise for what all Democrats agree has been a transformative Presidency.

Biden’s determination to hang on drove the New York Times editorial page to desperation. Star columnist and fellow Catholic, Maureen Dowd, writing her fourth major piece in as many weeks insisting that he step down, almost screamed in frustration on Sunday: Lord Almighty Joe, let it go!

Ironically, the architects of this unprecedented switch at such a late stage in the election cycle to the much younger candidate are two 84-year olds: Nancy Pelosi, the House Speaker Emeritus whose great strength always was that she knew how to count the votes; and Jim Clyburn, the Congressman from South Carolina who saved Joe Biden’s faltering campaign in 2020 by mobilising the black vote behind him, having figured out that the then leading candidate, Senator Bernie Sanders, was not the man to beat Trump.

Once again, this duo worked behind the scenes not just to get Biden out of the race in a dignified manner but to do it in a way that minimised damage, ensuring that the party would come together and be unified around one crucial aim – to beat Donald Trump.

At this late stage of the game, it is unlikely that the torch will be passed to anyone other than Harris, and the pundits have instead moved on to speculating who she will pick as her Vice President.

What a difference a day makes, indeed.

From the depths of division and despair, a new and exciting prospect emerged: a black woman president Kamala Harris – and a candidate to lead the country into the middle of the 21st Century who was born just after the Second World War.

Joyce Alene, the former US attorney for Alabama, wrote: “For Donald Trump to be taken down by a black woman, a prosecutor, is the poetic justice the country has been waiting for.”

The biggest source of contention within the party was over the fate of Harris if Biden stepped down. Those most supportive of Biden, such as Congresswomen Alexandria Ocasio Cortez and the Congressional Black Caucus, suspected wealthy donors were not just trying to dump a progressive president but to bypass the black woman who was next in line.

Make no mistake, doubts over Harris were genuine. She ran a lacklustre campaign for President in 2020 and Biden never afforded her the kind of platform where she could be allowed to shine. There was also a sense that she didn’t always come across as authentic.

These concerns have receded in recent weeks as she has looked increasingly impressive on the campaign trail and moving up to be the nominee will force people to re-evaluate her.

The progressive wing of the party did not warm to Harris in 2020 because of her record as a tough-minded prosecutor in California, but 2024 is a very different political landscape.

Being tough on crime is now seen as an asset and her debate skills might convince Trump not to show up for the second presidential debate in September.

What is extraordinary is how quickly things have turned around. Just a week ago pundits were declaring that the assassination attempt on Trump had settled the election.

Now, there is a palpable mood of excitement, even joy, among some Democrats, who see this election as a real contest.

Democratic strategists were already starting to feel better after Trump’s snoozer of a speech last Thursday night at the Republican National Convention.

All week long, Trump sat like a plump Caesar occasionally nodding off as he watched with amusement at the circus in the convention hall as the once great GOP, the party of Abraham Lincoln, prostrated itself before the rapper Kid Rock and the former professional wrestler Hulk Hogan screaming about Trumpamania.

The subtext of the whole week was that the election itself was a formality: Trump had won already. His movement was an unstoppable force.

And he had the biggest endorsement of all: God himself had spared his life only days before so that he could continue his divine work on behalf of the Almighty in the White House.

Having whipped up the Maga faithful with their hundreds of fake bandaged right ears into a crescendo of excitement, he rose to deliver what is regarded as the most vital speech of any presidential election cycle, when tens of millions of viewers beyond your usual base are waiting to see what you got.

But he blew it.

He delivered a boring 90-minute ramble that began well enough with a description of his near-death experience shooting and calls for unity, but soon descended into its usual dark themes, bald-faced lies, mad raves against “crazy Nancy Pelosi” all while continuing his weird obsession with Hannibal Lecter who “likes to have his guests for dinner.”

Trump picked the shape-shifting 39-year-old J D Vance to represent the new generation of Maga. Not to be underestimated, Vance brings much greater intellectual heft, and he seems to be an effective messenger of the new economic populism that the Republicans are rolling out to expand their base.

But for all his claims to siding with the workers and the rural poor, Vance owes his political career to the backing of right-wing Silicon Valley billionaires, three of whom spent at least part of their childhoods in South Africa, though they are better known as the PayPal Mafia.

Peter Thiel spent $15-million to get Vance elected to the Senate for Ohio in 2022; Elon Musk announced that he will be contributing $45 million a month until the election to get Trump elected; while the most influential of all, David Sacks, a boy from Cape Town whose pro-Putin speech on the first night of the convention was adjudged by the New York Times’ conservative columnist David French to be one of the worst prime-time convention speeches he had ever seen.

Mark Cuban, the entrepreneur, and former owner of the Dallas Mavericks, had his own theory of why much of Silicon Valley, once assumed to be a stronghold of libertarian and socially liberal views, now leaned towards Trump.

“It's a bitcoin play,” he says. “Not because Trump is a far stronger proponent of crypto. It makes it easier to operate a crypto business because of the changes that Trump will make at the Securities and Exchange Commission.”

He says Trump’s lower tax rates and tariffs will be inflationary which will drive the price of bitcoin higher.

Some of the biggest financial backers of Trump are not the CEOs of Fortune 500 companies but Bitcoin investors.

The more general point is that this shows that Trump and his entourage, Vance and the faux populists, and their backers in Silicon Valley, are grifters. Biden’s weakness is that he was not able to communicate this effectively.

It took Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, a close ally of Harris,

five minutes on the Bill Maher’s Real Time on Friday night to dismantle the alliance between Trump, Vance, and Silicon Valley.

“I think we’ve made it way too complicated and it's super simple. These are very rich men who have decided to back the Republican Party that tends to do good things for very rich people.”

If Kamala Harris can communicate more of this in the months that remain before the election this will be a real contest, because the majority of the American people actually favour Democratic policies on abortion, climate change, reform of the Supreme Court, building the care economy, global alliances, rebuilding industry and taxing the rich, to name just a few.

Having Kamala Harris at the top of the ticket could also be an inspiration for the one crucial group of voters who have been ignored by the GOP for years, and especially after having had their rights taken away by Trump’s Supreme Court: the women.

Which is why it was fitting that hours after Biden’s announcement, making Trump now the oldest presidential nominee in history, E Jean Carroll, the woman he was found to have been sexually assaulted by him in the dressing room of a New York department store, was able to point out:

“Suddenly he is looking very, very old.” DM

Comments

once.off.address Jul 22, 2024, 06:06 AM

What I find amazing in all of this from the NY Times articles and 'desperation' to this DM article's headline is the very clear Un-journalistic bias. I thought journalism was all about professionalism, neutrality, reporting the events and leaving it to the reader to reach their own conclusions.

Andrew Ruck Jul 22, 2024, 06:51 AM

It’s an opinion piece

quinton Jul 22, 2024, 11:27 AM

Yes, but a bias opinion at that!!! Since Biden is out all of a suddenly Trump is "very very old" Trump gas as much staying power and energy as a 40 year old. Fact!!

Steve Davidson Jul 22, 2024, 12:44 PM

Trump 'gas'? Talk about a Freudian Slip. But you're right. Apparently the oke smells something awful, which is why the MAGAmorons were all wearing diapers some weeks ago. But now 'Diaper Don' has become 'Demented Donnie' if you see even a few minutes of his latest 'speeches'. Could be syphilis tho'.

Tim Venediger Jul 23, 2024, 08:39 AM

I love it!

Nikiking Jul 28, 2024, 03:20 PM

You nailed it Steve Davidson. Facts are facts

Michael Thomlinson Jul 22, 2024, 01:17 PM

What you are ignoring is that Trump is a politician who tried to pull off a coup and should actually be on trial for treason. He also has massive debts and people like him will always be prone to bribery (and taking money from Putin) and that is besides being very very old (that has not changed).

D'Esprit Dan Jul 22, 2024, 02:26 PM

Actually, it has changed. He's even older now than he was a week ago and will be even older come November, and older than Biden if he finishes his term (assuming the unthinkable!)

vermaak.andr Jul 23, 2024, 09:42 AM

really michael, pull of a coup. I see you are taking the same medicine as biden and harris or do you have Trump Derangment Syndrome?

D'Esprit Dan Jul 22, 2024, 02:24 PM

An opinion, by its very nature, has bias.

Paul Rodda Jul 22, 2024, 04:54 PM

'tis a sad moment that it is necessary to explain this to anyone! Well said, sir.

Rodney Weidemann Jul 22, 2024, 04:46 PM

Now that Sleepy Joe has withdrawn from the race, Trump is quite literally the oldest man ever to stand for the US presidency...

Malcolm McManus Jul 22, 2024, 06:56 AM

Agreed. One thing I cant understand. Abortion comes up in every election. This always seems to be the cornerstone of every election. Why? So much else more to worry about. Besides Trump has repeatedly said he would leave each state to vote on this topic. And why tax the rich. They create the jobs,

John P Jul 22, 2024, 08:17 AM

Abortion is a topic of extreme interest to at least 50% of the population, of course it is part of every election. Trump's cop out of "leave it to each state" just does not cut it. Why not tax the rich? Tax everyone, just keep it fair and equitable.

Malcolm McManus Jul 22, 2024, 08:34 AM

300 Characters to make a full argument. Sure abortion is an issue but its surely not the biggest issue. Perhaps trying not to get a nuke dropped on your head is a bit more important. Fentanyl from mexico and illegal migration surely more pressing. USA citizens have disjointed priorities.

Rodney Weidemann Jul 22, 2024, 10:11 AM

I think you will find that most women (and many men) take serious issue with having rights TAKEN AWAY from them, in what is supposed to be the most free country on earth...

Malcolm McManus Jul 22, 2024, 08:37 AM

We are talking about Bidens policy of unfairly and disproportionately wanting to tax the rich. Everybody currently gets taxed. The rich make their money just as fairly as the poor. 300 characters is too short to elaborate on this point. Succesful businesses grow and increase employment in general.

Andre Fourie Jul 22, 2024, 10:15 AM

Many of the super wealthy billionaires that would be taxed more heavily at Biden's suggestion do not make their money fairly. Just look at Musk: grabs a $55bn pay package in the same month as he announces 10% cut to Tesla workforce. Taking from the poor to give more to the richest man alive. Fair?

langeraa Jul 22, 2024, 01:50 PM

They tried that before and the rich overwhelmingly said that they want to pay taxes. About 10 years ago as I recall.

Philip Machanick Jul 22, 2024, 08:17 AM

Because the rich don’t use money they save by lower taxes to crest jobs. There is absolutely no evidence for this claim. Abortion: the right is about treating women as chattels.

Malcolm McManus Jul 22, 2024, 08:45 AM

Capitalism has been a very big part of the American dream. Financial success has been the evidence of hard and clever work making USA what it is for all. Thats the evidence. Take away from the rich for their success seems more like a page out of the socialist manifesto. Abortion is democratic in US

r Jul 22, 2024, 10:02 AM

Capitalism is not been such a great financial model. Just look at the state of the USA and UK, rich getting richer, everyone else poorer. There has to be a better way. As a South African I am disappointed by Elon Must, who could help humanity, not just look to get more. How many billions is enough.

megapode Jul 22, 2024, 08:30 AM

The myth of trickle down economics started in the Thatcher/Reagan era. It hasn't worked. The wealth doesn't tricklet down. When you do things for the rich they get richer, the poor get poorer, and the folks in the middle get squeezed harder.

Andre Fourie Jul 22, 2024, 10:16 AM

"I have a joke about trickle-down economics, but 99% of you won't get it."

Bruce MacDonald Jul 22, 2024, 02:15 PM

Try us . . .

Glyn Morgan Jul 22, 2024, 03:43 PM

Sure, here's a joke about trickle-down economics: "Why did the millionaire install a waterfall in his mansion? So he could watch his money trickle down to the peasants!"

luyanda2k21 Jul 22, 2024, 11:01 PM

Hilarious.

cremdelacrem c Jul 29, 2024, 02:12 PM

love it!

megapode Jul 22, 2024, 08:35 AM

Abortion is a proxy for all sorts of social & moral issues. If you allow abortions then young folks are less responsible, women will have sex other than for reproduction, there will be less white child children and so replacement will happen. And God will be displeased and withdraw his protection.

Malcolm McManus Jul 22, 2024, 09:13 AM

Absolutely agreed. The Biden administration pushes the abortion politic, but nevertheless, what you and I agree on, is of no consequence in what happens in US politics. But obsessing on abortion seems odd and distinctly American politic. It is not the norm globally for this to be a political issue.

Loreen Webber Jul 22, 2024, 11:00 AM

Wow only a male could ever think that the right of all woman to have access to abortion is an unnecessary obsession

Rodney Weidemann Jul 22, 2024, 04:51 PM

That is because in most other Western nations, women have the right to make their own health choices about their own bodies. It's only in the US (the so-called 'land of the free') where what was previously a constitutional right has been taken away.

megapode Jul 23, 2024, 11:29 AM

I was trying to be sarcastic. Both sides make a big deal of abortion, partly because it's a proxy for all sorts of things, including the reach of Supreme Court decisions. And a good chunk of the US population are women, and so have an interest.

Rob Martin Jul 22, 2024, 09:19 AM

Seriously, what planet are you from?

paatisoo Jul 22, 2024, 11:55 AM

So basically you're arguing that abortion should be illegal because it will result in fewer white children, and because some imaginary God will withdraw his "protection"? So banning abortion results in more whites and a happier God, who will continue to bless us with whatever protection means?

Robert Vickers Jul 22, 2024, 01:11 PM

Good to hear common sense!

sean20 Jul 22, 2024, 01:18 PM

Eloquently put. I like

D'Esprit Dan Jul 22, 2024, 02:29 PM

I think (hope) that Bob is summarising the rightwing position on abortion, not stating it as his view.

megapode Jul 22, 2024, 03:54 PM

My apologies for the poor expression of ideas (though this 300 character limit doesn't help). I was trying to say that abortion is a proxy for various other issues and I listed some examples. I don't endorse any of them, but there is a lack of sanity in the debate around women and bodily autonomy.

Karen G Jul 22, 2024, 02:26 PM

You have got to be kidding me? "Women will have sex other than for reproduction"? You sound like you're from the dark ages.

Karen G Jul 23, 2024, 01:40 PM

Withdrawn - apologies - posted this before I saw the comment about sarcasm.

Carsten Rasch Jul 22, 2024, 09:41 AM

The rich providing jobs is a myth I’m so sick of hearing. Just like that ol’ “trickledown” story, a load of hogwash. And when they on the odd occasion do create a few jobs, it’s an afterthought, if it’s a thought at all. The rich create one thing only - more money for themselves.

P C Hem Jul 23, 2024, 04:18 PM

Gushing up, trickle down.

superjase Jul 22, 2024, 11:53 AM

if you consider the premise that many people consider a foetus to be a human being, then suddenly it makes a lot of sense. reframing the question to "should a woman be allowed to kill (or dispose of) a newborn" gives insight into why it's such a big deal to so many.

Andre Fourie Jul 22, 2024, 12:20 PM

A foetus is not a "newborn" - and men claiming rights over women's bodies belongs in the dark ages from whence it came, not in the midst of our period of unparalleled knowledge, progress and human rights.

D'Esprit Dan Jul 22, 2024, 02:31 PM

Except a foetus isn't a newborn?

John P Jul 22, 2024, 03:07 PM

From when? The moment of conception, 6 weeks, 6 months?

Geoff Young Jul 22, 2024, 07:56 PM

That the precise moment a human life is created can be equated to any "arithmetic of cells" is patently absurd. Which is presumably why anti-abortion zealots try to claim that sacrosant life begins arbitrarily at conception - in other words: 1 successfully fertilised egg cell.

dexmoodl Jul 23, 2024, 02:59 PM

It is no so much about abortion ,but womens rights...

Johan Buys Jul 22, 2024, 09:54 AM

John, should people go to Fox if they want unbiased news and analysis?

Scott Gordon Jul 23, 2024, 08:45 PM

Hmm , would certainly give you a look at the other side . Gutfeld is number 1 late night , not for the faint of heart , satire, comedy and insight . The Five always has someone from the left :-) Jesse Waters is a fun watch too . MSM is in meltdown , have you watched the View ? :-)

cremdelacrem c Jul 29, 2024, 02:23 PM

As a matter of interest where do I go to see Fox's unbiased view? Serious question, thanks.

Johan Buys Jul 22, 2024, 09:54 AM

John, should people go to Fox if they want unbiased news and analysis?

Johan Buys Jul 22, 2024, 10:04 AM

End of the day, the way the electoral college works, the winner will be determined by what happens in 4 to 6 swing states. So the trick to beating Trump lies in best ballot for Democrats in those states. PLUS get Kennedy to withdraw and endorse the Democratic ticket.

Rodney Weidemann Jul 22, 2024, 10:10 AM

So you've clearly never watched Fox News then? Or in South African terms, read anything from Independent Media?

Steve Davidson Jul 22, 2024, 12:48 PM

Well said. Hoping I don't get banned, I have to say I call it 'Fux News', because it does!

Scott Gordon Jul 23, 2024, 08:52 PM

My thoughts exactly , you are what you are fed :-) Gutfeld is number 1 for a reason :-) No holds barred . Even Trump gets hit :-) Friend worked for CNN ages ago , thought Ted Turner should have been in therapy from 12 . Was a presenter , BBC , CNN , Al Jezeera for a time .

Yousuf Vadachia Jul 22, 2024, 11:44 AM

See Andrew Ruck's reply below. You need to be able to distinguish between reportage and opinion.

Fanie Rajesh Ngabiso Jul 22, 2024, 12:37 PM

The comments here are as humorous and biased as the election. Take a breath people. I guarantee, the world will keep turning.

D'Esprit Dan Jul 22, 2024, 02:33 PM

Ja, Fanie, except it's slowing down as the polar caps melt and Trump will ensure they melt even faster if he's back in office. Maybe it won't be turning when he's done with it!

Fanie Rajesh Ngabiso Jul 22, 2024, 06:21 PM

Possibly, but another thing I guarantee is none of these polarised comments will make the blindest bit of difference. So again, my recommendation is: breathe people.

D'Esprit Dan Jul 22, 2024, 08:42 PM

Touché

Clive Dunbar Jul 22, 2024, 06:06 AM

Very biased article anti Trump. I expected better.

J vN Jul 22, 2024, 06:27 AM

Par for the course for the Daily Soros, methinks. In Afrikaans we have a saying: "Jy soek nou wors in 'n hondehok." You'll never find anything but rabid TDS where it comes to Orange Man, here on the Daily Soros, as evidenced by the infantile, twelfth-rate drivel above.

Ari Potah Jul 22, 2024, 08:30 AM

Totally agree with this comment!

Andre Fourie Jul 22, 2024, 10:17 AM

It's really hard to hear what you're saying over the loud crinkling of that tinfoil hat. Take it easy man!

1theocloe Jul 22, 2024, 11:46 AM

Yes Sir!

BillyBumhe Jul 22, 2024, 08:44 AM

What is it with white men and loving Trump?

Malcolm McManus Jul 22, 2024, 09:19 AM

I think its called democracy. A numbers game. What is it with all races and genders in minority obsessing with Biden. What is it with cognitive decline denial with the left. Now they have an uphill battle with themselves at this very late stage. The future seems to be red at this critical juncture.

Stef Naude Jul 22, 2024, 01:19 PM

Actually, Trump lost both elections he stood in if you only count the number of votes - by 3m to Clinton in 2016, and by 7m to Biden in 2020. It's because of their antiquated electoral vote system that you have a handful of swing states that determine the outcome. Democracy? Not so much.

Harold Porter Jul 22, 2024, 09:32 AM

According to PEW, 52% of men support trump; 56% of whites support him; 44% of hispanics and 36% of Asians...so I'm not so sure that your knee-jerk identity-based comment is accurate

BillyBumhe Jul 22, 2024, 09:39 AM

I'm talking about outside America. Every tech bro and middle-aged pub bore loves Trump -- even though his policies will make you poorer and less safe if you're not an American billionaire.

D'Esprit Dan Jul 22, 2024, 09:58 AM

Spot on.

Steve Davidson Jul 22, 2024, 12:55 PM

Good one. Without getting too basic, I really can't believe that any intelligent human would support someone who has hair(?) like that and wears his tie down around his nether regions! And you know what they say about a guy with small hands...

Middle aged Mike Jul 22, 2024, 02:05 PM

Wasn't the US doing rather well when he was in office? I seem to remember the lowest rates of unemployment, especially amongst minorities, since the 1950's and they were net energy exporters. No concentration camps were setup either and public hangings were rare.

Middle aged Mike Jul 22, 2024, 02:24 PM

If it's tech bros and midde aged pub bores for trump who's for Harris? Interested as I'm middle aged, a mad pub enthusiast, boring as hell and I can't stand either of them.

Johnny Kessel Jul 22, 2024, 06:23 PM

What's with people obsessed with identity? Shocker from the Washington post Washington Post "Across five high-quality polls that have broken out non-White voters in the past month, Trump is averaging 20 percent of Black voters and 42 percent of Hispanic voters." and white women?

Sydney Kaye Jul 22, 2024, 09:25 AM

Now who's the old contestant that can't finish a sentance. The voters can choose the Prosecutor or the Prosecuted.

D'Esprit Dan Jul 22, 2024, 10:20 AM

Ha! Love that!

Kid Charlemagne Jul 22, 2024, 09:26 AM

It's an opinion piece. Some would agree and others like yourself would disagree. But, you can't say, "I expected better"

henkc27 Jul 22, 2024, 11:37 AM

It’s not an opinion piece. If look carefully it states “Analysis “. None of that in this article. So yes would expect better.

D'Esprit Dan Jul 22, 2024, 11:30 AM

Thank you ever so much, Donald!

M J Jul 22, 2024, 12:48 PM

It's an opinion piece not an article.

firstgraham Jul 22, 2024, 05:30 PM

Agreed Clive, I thought I was listening to CNN, and like the biased Gaza reporting forced me to withdraw my contribution.

Lawrence Sisitka Jul 22, 2024, 06:24 AM

I just can't imagine how anyone with more than one brain cell can be pro-Trump - either here or in the US. Amazing! Let battle begin and may the best woman win!

Malcolm McManus Jul 22, 2024, 06:43 AM

Being objectively doubtful Biden can run a country in his current mental state doesn't necessarily make you pro Trump. But only one thing can be more damaging than a Biden administration is a Kamala one. This woman always sounds like she is high on weed with all her giggling and weird rhetoric.

henkc27 Jul 22, 2024, 11:39 AM

Agreed. She is not the ideal choice. Obama’s and Pelosi have not endorsed her. And they carry a lot of stick in the party.

Scott Gordon Jul 23, 2024, 08:56 PM

Insider trading Pelosi is now on board, Obama , not !

Jennifer Hughes Jul 22, 2024, 06:47 AM

Right? It's hard not to be 'biased' when Trump comes up. What does anyone see in that lying, self-serving nutter?!

Sydney Kaye Jul 22, 2024, 09:29 AM

Exactly. "Biased" implies a partisan position whereas to consider Trump unsuitable to be President is a distinctly rational one.

D'Esprit Dan Jul 22, 2024, 10:22 AM

Syd, I'm with you on this!

Jennifer Hughes Jul 22, 2024, 06:47 AM

Right? It's hard not to be 'biased' when Trump comes up. What does anyone see in that lying, self-serving nutter?!

drieslg Jul 22, 2024, 08:12 AM

If Camilla Harris is the best candidate the Democrats can select then they are indeed in deep trouble. I think it is rather a strategic choice by other stronger Democrats to stay out and save theit reputations.

John P Jul 22, 2024, 08:19 AM

Kamala not Camilla.

Malcolm McManus Jul 22, 2024, 06:48 AM

The writing was on the wall for about two years now. Only the democrats, the captured media such as CNN and those in denial have themselves to blame for this predicament. Its very late in the race to achieve a victory with the list of poorly rated alternatives. Handing a win to Trump on a platter.

megapode Jul 22, 2024, 08:38 AM

The lesson I've learned in the last 20 odd years is that not everybody thinks like I do, even when things seem crystal clear to me. Brexit? Who'd vote for that. Well... I also think that Trump V Biden is a pair of bad choices. Some folks will vote for Trump on a "least worst" basis.

Malcolm McManus Jul 22, 2024, 09:33 AM

Bob,Probably the most balanced comment so far. How on earth did USA arrive with these two individuals as their best candidates. The democrats in 2 year denial now have to contend with even lesser rated candidates. They "woke" up far too late. So your right. The least worst will probably win.

megapode Jul 22, 2024, 03:55 PM

When it was Bush V Gore, Fidel Castro observed that this was the worst pair of choices the American people had ever had. Turns out he hadn't seen nothing.

D'Esprit Dan Jul 22, 2024, 10:27 AM

Some probably will vote for Trump as 'least worst candidate'. Of course they'd 100% wrong.

Harold Porter Jul 22, 2024, 09:35 AM

Here are some reasons (from someone who is not a fan of his): Under his presidency, the wealth of the poorest 10% increased in real terms for the first time in over 40 years. His policies on NATO, China and the southern border have eventually all been quietly adopted by Biden's administration.

lesk Jul 22, 2024, 06:50 AM

Biden was gracious enough to condemn the attempted killing of Trump but on the announcement of Biden's withdrawal the crass vile sociopath of Trump described Biden as the worst President ever. For that alone he deserves to loose

Karen G Jul 22, 2024, 02:52 PM

"lose" not "loose".

John Forbes Jul 22, 2024, 07:10 AM

Hard to understand anyone with half a brain being supportive of Trump, who if he is finally elected will turn America and large parts of the world into total chaos. The spill over will also impact the "shit hole" countries of Africa, including the one on the Southern tip! Well done Daily Maverick!

Malcolm McManus Jul 22, 2024, 07:40 AM

I doubt we will see any meaningful effect here in SA, certainly not short term. Our exports to USA are not much more than what we export to Mocambique. Doubt it will change much with the orange man in power. Too much internal issues to worry about in the US. We are way off their immediate radar.

D'Esprit Dan Jul 23, 2024, 09:03 AM

Our exports to the USA are about 33% more than to Mozambique, which also happens to be one of our largest export destinations. We export billions of high-value goods (cars, machinery electrical goods) to the USA, along with minerals, food etc, whilst to Moz there is a focus on lower-value goods.

Wilhelm van Rooyen Jul 22, 2024, 07:55 AM

Hardly any point in DM convincing us how bad Trump is - we're not going to vote...

Craig King Jul 22, 2024, 11:12 AM

Like he did last time?

Sindhu Bhogal Jul 22, 2024, 11:45 AM

And our neighbour "Nambia" ;-)

megapode Jul 22, 2024, 04:03 PM

Well it seems to me that Trump has had a lot of influence all over the place. Him and Farage, actually. Or they were the first wave. Suddenly nationalism is on the surge all over the place, though, and I am happy about this, the overtly nationalist parties didn't do so well in our elections.

Erik van Heerden Jul 23, 2024, 03:10 AM

Yet, Biden has succeeded in turning the whole world into CHAOS with his weak and woke pathetic leadership very fast...

John P Jul 23, 2024, 08:09 AM

Really? How?

Rod MacLeod Jul 22, 2024, 07:51 AM

Trump will make it, not that he is worthy - but because he appeals to an ageing electorate of frustrated failures. Comments like “For Donald Trump to be taken down by a black woman, a prosecutor, is the poetic justice the country has been waiting for” will only fuel the flames for these failures.

Philip Machanick Jul 22, 2024, 08:18 AM

No one in the US whose vote could thus be swayed reads DM.

Rod MacLeod Jul 22, 2024, 10:46 AM

The statement was actually made in the US by former Alabama State Attorney Joyce Alene - so, lots of Trump supporters, even if they can't read, will have at least heard it.

dexmoodl Jul 23, 2024, 04:13 PM

may not agree with Trump ...but calling his supporters " failures " is uninformed

Jul 22, 2024, 07:56 AM

I've never had much time for the selfish land of the less than free and their historic isolationism. The archaic and non-sensical electoral system, the monied power brokers and a people still as divided as the civil war will undoubtedly get the president that the popular vote did not elect!

superjase Jul 22, 2024, 11:58 AM

the US is a republic, not a democracy. it is far more like the EU than it is like any one country.

Skinyela Jul 22, 2024, 07:58 AM

The is over and has been over for a while, long before the calls for Biden to step aside. Even if they replaced Biden with Obama, Trump was always going to win. If I was Netanyahu I was going to skip the meeting with Biden, because he is outgoing and his party will not retain the white house.

pmswanepoel Jul 22, 2024, 08:49 AM

The fact that people think Harris has a better chance than Biden is mistaken.

D'Esprit Dan Jul 22, 2024, 11:35 AM

Quite possibly, but can you imagine if it happened? It would be beyond hilarious!

alastairmgf Jul 22, 2024, 08:57 AM

Trump will win by a landslide. I have no sympathy for the despicable Democrats. They had the perfect candidate in RFK Jnr. a lifelong Democrat who would have beaten Trump by a country mile but instead they rejected him and now have a cackling hyena as a candidate.

Werner Stoop Jul 22, 2024, 03:04 PM

You mean that crazy guy with the brain worm who recently had to go on national TV to deny that he ever ate a dog?

Rodney Weidemann Jul 22, 2024, 04:57 PM

RFK Jnr? If the Dems wanted to vote for a conspiracy theorist, they could just as easily have switched sides and voted for Trump and his Q-Anon contingent, like Marjorie Taylor Greene....

alastairmgf Jul 22, 2024, 05:39 PM

There are so many misconceptions about what RFK Jnr. stands for. I suggest you spend some time researching him. He is a breath of fresh air. Intelligent, educated and erudite.

Rodney Weidemann Jul 23, 2024, 10:03 AM

He is anti-science and thus anything but intelligent - he still bases his vaccine stance on a single, thoroughly discredited scientific paper relating to autism - I think he and his foundation have caused enormous damage to the youth of the US, by convincing parents not to vaccinate their children.

bronco.buttons0a Jul 22, 2024, 08:58 AM

Why are the words "battle", 'war" and "fight" always used in political campaigns? At best it's a verbose debate between two or more inarticulate egomaniacs. There aren't even any casualties as it's virtually always a two party affair anyway. Politicians aren't capable of battle.

ttshililo2 Jul 22, 2024, 08:59 AM

Great analysis here Mr Van Niekerk. Although I am never shocked by the DM comments sections, however today it has been latrine of filth: from anti-semitic Soros tropes, asinine racist conspiracy and frankly just plain lies. What is the matter with some DM readers. Sies!

D'Esprit Dan Jul 22, 2024, 11:09 AM

Hear hear! I wish some here would hear, but I fear they're mentally neither here nor there!

Cape Town Jul 22, 2024, 09:14 AM

While I appreciate the enthusiasm that this event might strengthen the case for democrats, I fear the sad truth is that America is still not ready to vote for a female president and not one who is a late entry. As sad of an indictment it is, I think they'll choose a convicted fraudster over Kamala.

Francoise Phillips Jul 22, 2024, 09:14 AM

Women are the majority in the world. We are not prepared to let a bunch of old republican men make decisions on our behalf regarding our bodies. Thank you.

Harold Porter Jul 22, 2024, 09:38 AM

And despite constituting the majority of the electorate, women routinely vote for old men...so it seems that a significant proportion of women are, in fact, prepared to let a bunch of old men make decisions about them....

Julian Chandler Jul 22, 2024, 11:09 AM

They aren't really given much of a choice. Female delegates are few and far between. Hilary won the popular vote...

troyelanmarshall Jul 22, 2024, 09:33 AM

I remember Barack Obama's inauguration speech. Classy. Not once did he vilify or speak ill of the previous president. A polar opposite to a Trump speech. Michelle Obama is intelligent, articulate and popular. I suspect she is going to be nominated at the Democratic convention. A nightmare for Trump.

Pete Farlam Jul 22, 2024, 09:48 AM

I'm amazed people believe Michelle Obama wants to be President. She does not. I agree with Phillip van Niekerk's analysis. The Dems can still win this although Trump is starting this new race as the favourite.

troyelanmarshall Jul 22, 2024, 10:04 AM

I didn't say she necessarily want's it. I have been following this on American based news sites. There have been polls (Michelle Obama polled very well) and there is talk. The Democratic Convention is in August.

Beverley Roos-Muller Jul 22, 2024, 10:12 AM

Oh dear. Men who don't understand why abortion remains the central issue for the majority of women...perhaps it's because it will never be your issue, with lifelong consequences...or perhaps it's because it is because it's one area that you can't control. My generation won that fight. Stay strong.

Rob Kirk Jul 22, 2024, 10:40 AM

Becoming a father is not a life-long consequence? Please explain.

Barbra Buys Jul 22, 2024, 12:35 PM

Many men walk away; literally leaving the woman holding the baby. Surely this is well known...

Middle aged Mike Jul 22, 2024, 02:45 PM

In fairness many me don't. Overall I support womens right to abortion because just as there are men unfit to be fathers so there are no shortage of women who shouldn't be mothers.

Karen G Jul 22, 2024, 02:57 PM

You need to add more "many"s - as in many, many, many, many men walk away.

Malcolm McManus Jul 22, 2024, 03:51 PM

So with abortion just as many woman can can walk away. The only problem is when there's a man willing to carry the responsibility of bringing up an unplanned child, where does he stand. What are his rights. A difficult topic abortion. Many opinions.

D'Esprit Dan Jul 22, 2024, 08:54 PM

I didn't. 30 years later I'm still building a relationship with my child (adult now). Not all single fathers are delinquent and not all single mothers are blameless victims. Just for the record. That said, I 100% support abortion rights, given the dire situation many women are placed in.

Karen G Jul 23, 2024, 12:12 PM

Agreed not all fathers are delinquent, and some women are not fit to be mothers. My issue is with men or want to make rules for women, but don't take responsibility that it takes 2 people to make a baby.

Skinyela Jul 22, 2024, 10:20 AM

1. It makes sense to say that if Biden is not fit to run for the 2nd term he is also not fit to complete his current term... He must resign with immediate effect. 2. If the Democrats avoid an open convention, that will be undemocratic. Let them go for an open convention, invite Kennedy to run.

D'Esprit Dan Jul 22, 2024, 08:57 PM

It makes sense for a convicted felon and six time business failure to be barred from running for office too. One who's left a trail of billions of dollars of debt in his wake, whilst he was banging porn stars and using campaign money to hush it up.

Rob Kirk Jul 22, 2024, 10:43 AM

The Democrat Party's problem summarised: "... be unified around one crucial aim – to beat Donald Trump.." Their one crucial aim should be to govern their country. For 7 years their focus has been AGAINST one man, rather than FOR anything of consequence.

firstgraham Jul 22, 2024, 05:58 PM

Absolutely spot on Rob. From the day he took office and fueled by the left-wing media.

Gregory Scott Jul 22, 2024, 11:31 AM

The rich innovate and create the industry to make the goods and services available to the masses and in doing so create employment. A very simple concept

Andre Fourie Jul 22, 2024, 11:46 AM

Entrepreneurs innovate and create industries and employment. "The rich" extract resources and wealth (in the form of low-paid labour & 'shareholder value') to further enrich themselves, largely at the expense of lower- and middle classes, small businesses, and the environment.

J vN Jul 22, 2024, 12:21 PM

You typed this on a phone or laptop right? If it's the former, a rich guy, Steve Jobs, may have invented the phone you're using. If it's the latter, Bill Gates - extremely rich - came up with the operating system and Microsoft Office. You don't know what you're on about, clearly.

Werner Stoop Jul 22, 2024, 03:02 PM

Neither of them invented anything. Both were very good at extracting value from other people's inventions.

J vN Jul 22, 2024, 03:46 PM

Do read more. "Steve Jobs, former leader of the Apple, was the father of the iPhone. He designed and created the iPhone, which marked a new era for the cell phone industry. Steve Jobs was a perfectionist who placed great emphasis on the product design." A LOT more.

Andre Fourie Jul 22, 2024, 04:08 PM

Both those inventions are decades old. Today, those same companies profit by locking out competitors, buying up resources, engaging in anti-competitive monopolies and focusing on quarterly 'shareholder value' (read: profit maximisation) over innovation. So my point still stands - clearly.

Middle aged Mike Jul 22, 2024, 11:43 AM

Harris' word salad is arguably even more entertaining than Biden's delusional mutterings. I find it odd that only a few months back the same hacks who were looking the other way on Biden's very obvious and rapid decline suddenly turned on him after the debate. On balance I'd say it was far from his worst performance in public over the last couple of years it was just a live one that couldn't be ignored. It's almost like they they were propping up someone they knew wasn't up to the task.

Malcolm McManus Jul 22, 2024, 12:16 PM

Biden has a valid and age related medical explanation. Whats the story with Kamala? I suspect not medical. The outcome not likely to be any better. But if she is the choice, the hacks you refer to will follow her blindly into political oblivion. Hack updates can be followed most prominently on CNN.

Barbra Buys Jul 22, 2024, 12:14 PM

Alas, I don't believe Harris has what it takes to take Trump down. In her 4 years as VP she has remained completely invisible.

langeraa Jul 22, 2024, 01:48 PM

What concerns me is how the leader of the free world can come up with these two candidates for the two most powerful parties, to run the business on government in the USA. There is a helluva lot of better people around for the job, but I guess they just couldn't be bothered with politics.

Middle aged Mike Jul 22, 2024, 01:58 PM

I asked a couple of my more modern and up to date mates what makes Harris a good pick for president and both of them started off with "She's the first . . . " and didn't get to anything that she's best at. I found that interesting.

D'Esprit Dan Jul 22, 2024, 09:02 PM

She's a trained lawyer who irritated the left of the Dems through her hard line on crime as a prosecutor and is an advocate of big tech would be pretty obvious. Also, if your up to date mates need anything else, she isn't Donald Trump!

Middle aged Mike Jul 23, 2024, 08:05 AM

Those don't add up to best 'suited to run 25% of the globes economy's for me. Maybe I'm too picky for the age of identity politics.

D'Esprit Dan Jul 23, 2024, 09:18 AM

So a bloke who's gone into business rescue 6 times is better suited to run 25% of the globe's economy?

Middle aged Mike Jul 23, 2024, 09:27 AM

I didn't say, or even imply, that. Having said that the state of the US economy during his term would suggest that he might just be.

Tima Huntzrod Jul 22, 2024, 02:03 PM

Trump will reignite prejudices etc. just like he did the last time. Harris is nonsensical ??‍♀️ She’s become a meme because of the rubbish she lobs as answers… Both are unworthy of the seat.

Glyn Morgan Jul 22, 2024, 03:35 PM

It only takes time for one's age to catch up with you! Trump! You have been hoist with your own petard!!

Glyn Morgan Jul 22, 2024, 04:09 PM

I am anti-Trump! For one reason only. That reason is this... If Trump wins and stops aid to Ukraine, Russia will take Ukraine. There will be a heck of a bloodbath. It will not stop at the border... Moldova, the Baltic States, half of Poland, Georgia, Finland and and. "Vy ponimayete?" Understand?

louw.nic Jul 22, 2024, 04:14 PM

NO, it's not a "real race". That headline is clickbait and/or incorrect. A simple Google search indicates the lack of research in this "Analysis". As per the WSJ: "Bettors Still See High Chance of Trump Election Victory After Biden's Withdrawal" - Trump still at 61% chance of victory.

Rencia Cloete Jul 22, 2024, 08:12 PM

Yaaaay! Hope in the world. All is not lost! Maybe our GNU will surprise us too!

Rodshep Jul 23, 2024, 03:24 PM

Enough about Trump, he is an old doddering fool, I speak from experience being the same age. He will be given the keys to the big guns. (Nuclear). God help America and the world. His running mate is a dangerous power hungry kid. Knows nothing but ,knows everything.

Lisbeth Scalabrini Jul 28, 2024, 12:04 PM

Trump has been living on lies for most of his life and on cheating other people off their money while in business. Take the time to read about his various dirty tricks from those days or just ask his sister: "He has no principles nor ethics and you cannot trust him". His life before politics says all about what kind of man he is.

Mart Jul 28, 2024, 01:41 PM

The previous article by the same author was more readable. This one is worse than a one sided opinion piece IMHO an insult. To quote @john's no below "professionalism, neutrality . . . leaving the reader to reach their own conclusions". I fully agree and this article is 180 degrees from there.

Hugo Luyt Jul 29, 2024, 07:50 PM

I stopped paying for DM because of the bias in all recent world events.

alexdivo Jul 28, 2024, 07:29 PM

I didn't want to vote for Trump but Kamila Harris is so awful that I have been pushed into voting for Trump. I think it is going to be a landslide Trump victory. Go figure...