Anti-government protesters during a demonstration in Nairobi on June 25. “Bringing the opposition into the government could ensure broader buy-in for reforms, but it could also water down Ruto’s reform agenda,” said Patrick Curran, senior economist at Tellimer Ltd. “It shows Ruto is taking the protests seriously, and underscores how difficult it will be to implement the fiscal consolidation needed to set debt on a sustainable path.”
Read more: How Anti-Tax Protests Have Shaken Up Kenyan Politics: QuickTake
Earlier this week, Moody’s reduced Kenya’s rating one notch to Caa1 from B3, joining countries including Iraq, Nigeria and Egypt at the level. The rating assessor doesn’t expect the government to introduce significant revenue-raising measures in the foreseeable future, given heightened social tensions.
The government had planned to introduce new taxes to help raise an additional 346 billion shillings ($2.7 billion) in the fiscal year that began on July 1, part of a plan to get more financing from the International Monetary Fund. Instead, the Treasury will reduce expenditure by 177 billion shillings and borrow the balance.
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The IMF is committed to working with Kenya and is confident it can find a “balanced path forward” for its economy, spokeswoman Julie Kozack said Thursday.
The new administration will implement “radical measures and programs to deal with the burden of debt, to explore raising domestic resources and revenues, expanding job opportunities, eliminating wastage and unnecessary duplication,” Ruto said. It will help in “slaying the dragon of corruption consequently, making the government of Kenya lean, inexpensive, effective and efficient,” he said.
The yield on Kenya’s eurobonds maturing in 2031 fell 12 basis points to 10.35%. That brought the price of the bond up 0.5 cents to 97.5 cents on the dollar at 2:14 p.m. in London. The price for dollar bonds due 2032 and 2048 also advanced.
The shilling dropped as much as 0.3% to the lowest since June 28.
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Kenya’s outlook remains negative, reflecting downside risks related to government liquidity, according to Moody’s.
The last time Kenya had a cabinet comprising members from both the ruling party and the opposition was after a disputed election in 2007 when more than 1,100 people died and 350,000 were forced to flee their homes.
Mwai Kibaki was declared winner of that vote, which was challenged by opposition leader Raila Odinga. Two years before the elections, Kibaki dissolved his cabinet after the government lost a referendum on a proposed new constitution.