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ANALYSIS

All eyes on Ramaphosa to see who gets which Cabinet positions

When President Cyril Ramaphosa announces his Cabinet sometime after his inauguration on Wednesday, it will signal the seriousness of shaping this much-talked-about national unity government – and who holds power where.
All eyes on Ramaphosa to see who gets which Cabinet positions South African National Memorial, Union Buildings, Pretoria. (Photo: Wikimedia / Bernard Gagnon) | President Cyril Ramaphosa. (Photo: Gallo Images)

In 2019, fresh from an election that gave the ANC a substantial 57% majority and two years after a tight contest for ANC leadership, President Cyril Ramaphosa took four days to announce his Cabinet. This was an unusually long time, but was explained away by the need to consult with ANC alliance partners, Cosatu and the South African Communist Party. 

Ramaphosa’s presidential predecessors Thabo Mbeki and Jacob Zuma had announced their cabinets, including changes to the portfolios, the day after their inaugurations.

Section 94 of the Constitution ends the terms of ministers and deputy ministers when the new president is sworn in. However, departments continue their work based on the annual performance and strategic plans already submitted to Parliament.

In 2024, Ramaphosa is two years into a decisively won ANC presidency, but at the helm of an ANC that plummeted to 40.2% at the polls – costing the party its governing majority. 

Talks with other political parties like the DA, IFP, Patriotic Alliance (PA) and Good over more than a week led to a national unity government statement of intent signed as MPs were sworn in on Friday, 14 June. 

Ramaphosa was duly re-elected, while ANC MP Thoko Didiza was elected National Assembly Speaker and DA MP Annelie Lotriet her deputy on the back of combined DA, IFP and ANC numbers.

Ramaphosa could take even longer to announce his new Cabinet than he did in 2019. Just like getting over the dotted line of the cooperation deal last Friday, talks on national executive posts may push out timelines. Talks had not started properly by Monday, it’s understood. Consultations would not only include ANC alliance partners, but also the leaders of political parties that are now part of this national unity government, in line with their cooperation agreement.

Let’s be blunt – a coalition by any other name is still a coalition. But if calling it a government of national unity (GNU) means capturing the historic moment in South African politics when South African voters broke the ANC’s grip on uncontested power, so be it.

Balancing act

Ramaphosa’s GNU Cabinet faces immediate challenges. The ANC is unlikely to let go of defence and international relations – and most if not all economic ministries – as both incumbent ministers Thandi Modise and Naledi Pandor are effectively out of a job once Ramaphosa swears the oath of office at the Union Buildings on Wednesday. They did not make it back to Parliament because they were too low on the ANC candidates lists.

However, Ramaphosa could use his constitutional discretion to appoint both Modise and Pandor as the two ministers from outside the National Assembly, according to Section 91(3)(c) of the Constitution.

But this could tether his hand elsewhere in the consultations. This could, for example, include getting outgoing police minister Bheki Cele back into Cabinet. Cele, who, despite widespread public criticism, is said to enjoy support among the current executive, also missed the cut-off to make it back to Parliament.

There’s speculation that the DA could get five Cabinet posts and the IFP two or three. At least a couple would go to the PA and one to Good, whose leader Patricia de Lille is the current tourism minister.

Read more in Daily Maverick: Five-party pact — PA and Good join government of national unity

In past cooperative cabinets, ANC presidents included the opposition as tourism and public works ministers – like De Lille in Ramaphosa’s administration – while under Mbeki, Azapo leader Mosibudi Mangena held the science and technology portfolio. In Zuma’s first executive, then Freedom Front Plus leader Pieter Mulder was deputy agriculture minister. 

If the FF+ agrees to join the 2024 national unity government, it will, like the IFP, be its second stint in such a cooperative governance arrangement.

In the 1994 GNU, required by the interim constitution until at least the final supreme law was in place, the IFP held the ministries of home affairs, correctional services and arts, culture, technology and science. The National Party held tourism, environmental affairs, social development and minerals and energy – the last portfolio held by apartheid’s longest-serving foreign affairs minister, Pik Botha.

If history is an indicator, the 2024 partners in South Africa could share among them some serious ministries which could have an impact on South Africa’s socioeconomic development. However, it is understood the ANC would be unlikely to give up the security cluster ministries like defence, police, state security and home affairs – and the heavyweight economic ministries like finance, labour and perhaps trade and industry.

Reinflating Cabinet

Currently, there are 30 ministries and 36 deputy ministries. That’s more than the 28 ministries Ramaphosa had in his 2019 Cabinet which was reduced from 36 ministries by merging several portfolios like mineral resources and energy, higher education and science and technology, and environmental affairs and forestry and fisheries.

In the March 2023 Cabinet reshuffle, Ramaphosa appointed in his Presidency a new electricity minister and made planning, monitoring and evaluation a full ministry. 

In the August 2021 reshuffle, the state security ministry was abolished and the function was assigned to the minister in the Presidency, while human settlements and water and sanitation – that merged in 2019 – were again separated.

In the February 2023 State of the Nation Address (Sona), the president had undertaken a reduction of the executive in an echo of his 2019 pledge to restructure the size and shape of government.

“... I have instructed the Presidency and National Treasury to work together to rationalise government departments, entities and programmes over the next three years. National Treasury estimates that we could achieve a potential saving of R27-billion in the medium term if we deal with overlapping mandates, close ineffective programmes and consolidate entities where appropriate,” said Ramaphosa in the 2023 Sona.

In June 2024, ANC Secretary-General Fikile Mbalula raised the possibility of a larger Cabinet to accommodate all cooperation partners. ActionSA and the South African Medical Association raised concerns over reinflating the size of the executive.

ActionSA... urges the ruling coalition to reduce the number of government departments to approximately 20 and to eliminate unnecessary deputy minister positions in all departments. We believe this will free up funds to be redirected towards critical areas like service delivery and the maintenance of critical economic infrastructure,” said the party’s parliamentary leader Athol Trollip in a statement at the weekend.

Ramaphosa’s Cabinet and executive, including deputy ministers, will get the GNU officially on the road and test the much-touted new way of doing politics and governance in South Africa’s 30-year-old constitutional democracy. DM

Comments

Kevin Venter Jun 19, 2024, 06:50 AM

Don't really care as long as 1) the corrupt are finally held accountable for their theft from the poor 2) The assigned ministers are held accountable for the delivery of their portfolio. The country is f&*ed thanks to the ANC cadre deployment resulting in theft and uselessness.

Old Man Jun 19, 2024, 07:25 AM

Rule number 1 - No more cadres Rule number 2 - Same as Rule number 1 - no more cadres by any party

Johan Buys Jun 19, 2024, 07:58 AM

Move Mantashe to VP, making Mashatile Moscow ambassador or anywhere. Problem : cadre sources may change, but which DA/IFP cadres are truly capable and equipped to run MRE, SOE, Trade & Industry, Health for example? It will take years to shed the incompetents in DG and DDG posts.

Bonzo Gibbon Jun 19, 2024, 09:22 AM

The DA has many years experience of successful government in the Western Cape. I am sure they have competent individuals who can translate that experience to federal government.

D'Esprit Dan Jun 20, 2024, 09:30 AM

Move Mantashe to Health, since he seems to be Cyril's backbone in the ANC. Given that under him there has been absolutely no meaningful investment in mining, and energy only because Cyril forced him to, NHI will be dead in the water.

Allrite Jack Jun 19, 2024, 08:12 AM

It hasn't made any difference in the last 20 years which ANC mafia affirmative is appointed to any post. The outcome is ineviably failure, with a few more apparatchiks enriched.

Jun 19, 2024, 08:46 AM

Unions are not government. This new cabinet must side line Cosatu, NUM, AMCU etc and start running the country as a government not as a buddy buying union votes. Ramaphosa will now have solid backing from a cabinet in making decisions without currying favour. You can now be a leader Mr. Ramaphosa.

TP Mudau Jun 19, 2024, 09:14 AM

Knowing Ramaphosa, lets give him at least 3 months to eventually come up with a cabinet. We waited 2 weeks for his cabinet reshuffle in 2022 and he made 4 changes. Lets not hold our breath.

Sydney Kaye Jun 19, 2024, 09:18 AM

Good has hardly any support. Neither do the PAC and UDM who just rushed in from Fear of Missing Out. None need feature. PA was a bit quicker to see which way the wind was blowing but hardly deserve anything more than a minor position.

Greg de Bruyn Jun 19, 2024, 09:31 AM

I understood posts would be awarded according to seats in parliament. The ratio of 159/87/39 for the big 3's 285 means 9 seats for a post. None of the smaller parties came close to this. In a cabinet of 30, the division should be 17/9/4. The DA should feel cheated with 5 minor posts.

chr Jun 19, 2024, 12:44 PM

Absolutely! They are not essential king-makers, so give them only what they deserve. (Which is?)

General K Jun 19, 2024, 01:05 PM

A seat on governing party benches!

chr Jun 19, 2024, 12:49 PM

Quite right!

Greeff Kotzé Jun 20, 2024, 04:06 AM

And, arguably, a one-seat party like GOOD and PAC should have their single MP active in Parliament, debating on a range of issues of national importance, not tied up in an inconsequential cabinet post. Anything else betrays the voters that elected them and makes a farce of representative democracy.

Phil Baker Jun 19, 2024, 09:54 AM

so this is what chat GPT has to say "What would be the ideal cabinet for Cyril ramaphosa to choose who’s abilities would be for the best of the people of South Africa and why" "As an AI assistant, I do not take sides or make political judgments."

Phil Baker Jun 19, 2024, 09:55 AM

However, I can suggest that Cyril Ramaphosa should select a diverse group of individuals with different backgrounds, experiences, and expertise to form a cabinet that represents the people of South Africa's interests and needs.

Phil Baker Jun 19, 2024, 09:55 AM

The cabinet should consist of qualified and competent individuals who have a track record of success in their respective fields, a passion for serving the community, and a commitment to transparency, integrity, and accountability.

Middle aged Mike Jun 19, 2024, 10:11 AM

If only shoulds were woulds.

General K Jun 19, 2024, 11:45 AM

I believe Cyril does not have control over DA, IFP, PA puts in the portfolio allocated to them. Let's hope all parties bring their best personnel. The task at hand is not easy. Kudos to ANC/ DA for taking the risk that can serve the country or destroy one or both parties. Don't wish to Jonh or Cyril

Ray.macxt Jun 19, 2024, 12:18 PM

Until politicians are forced to use the same services they deliver ... ie education and health as example ... well always be stuck here.

General K Jun 19, 2024, 01:14 PM

Yoooo... they won't survive. I went to the clinic. I was told I have to see a Doctor. I was asked to come back after 3 weeks. He examined me and said my case needed a specialist. Reffered to Tembisa hospital. Asked to come back after 2 months. I eventually decided to get medical aid.

Gerrie Pretorius Jun 20, 2024, 08:15 AM

There should be a law that forces MPs to make use of public everything, from transport to hospitals to schools and and …

dexmoodl Jun 20, 2024, 02:04 PM

and live in the community that elected them.

peddledavid7 Jun 19, 2024, 01:32 PM

The President has sole authority to appoint DGs. He can appoint a street sweeper to the DG post of Minerals and Energy if he so wishes! Consequently until that power is handed over to the relevant minister, the departments will remain the same. The DA took years to rid the WC and CT of the ANC clutterbucks entrenched in the departments, and I suspect there are still a few moles drifting about. The point is not your party affiliation but capability to efficiently do your job. The EU is eg overrun with coalitions and they sort of work at the political level, the difference is the ability of the civil service to manage the country!!

tshiggo Jun 19, 2024, 04:40 PM

Don't be surprised if he appoints ANC cadres named in the Zondo state capture report and others named in corruption investigations... they've been in cabinet till a week ago, why would he get a sudden burst of integrity

Gerrie Pretorius Jun 20, 2024, 08:34 AM

I for one will not be surprised at all. We all know that cr has no b&11s to address corruption. He has been part of it for far too long. Been in anc inner circles since mandela.

Greeff Kotzé Jun 20, 2024, 04:16 AM

He should absolutely give Home Affairs to the DA. There can be no better stress test of their vaunted administration capabilities than the unfathomable tangle that is DHA. Plus the position should go to a party that has neither been lax nor inflammatory about illegal immigration.

Nick Griffon Jun 20, 2024, 06:36 AM

Surely you can’t have a bank robbera cabinet partition

elvissmith820 Jun 20, 2024, 07:58 AM

Cosatu is a workers union not a political party why must they be consulted for anything that has to do with the government? That is why a lot of countries are doing away with unions because they interfere to much in politics instead of fighting for their workers a lot still needs to change in S.A.

megapode Jun 20, 2024, 10:04 AM

Any government has to be aware of sentiments from outside of Parliament and Party. They will always pay attention to unions, to religious groups, to environmental groups, to the gay community etc. These are voters, and if you annoy enough of them they can make life difficult for you.

Hilary Morris Jun 20, 2024, 09:32 AM

"Naledi Pandor is effectively out of a job" has a beautiful ring to it. Let's keep it that way. She is a completely biased, one sided (yes I know it's the same), danger to our country. A more balanced approach should come with a more balanced government.

D'Esprit Dan Jun 20, 2024, 09:37 AM

In a perfect world, posts such as Minerals and Energy, Trade and Industry, Transport and Telecommunications would go to the DA and/or IFP, to bring in some sensible policy and implementation, implementation, implementation. We need the pillars of our economy on steroids to deliver jobs and taxes.

Geoff Coles Jun 20, 2024, 11:49 AM

Sigh, don't see why the PAC should be considered for a Cabinet position as they have no MP's.... or indeed Good with only the one in National Parliament.

robertdixon.newsletters Jun 20, 2024, 01:41 PM

The size of cabinet should be dramatically reduced to rational proportions BEFORE selecting members of cabinet Once cabinet is selected the actions to be taken to reverse the disaster since 1994 must be made public - both for dritical appraisal and as a yardstick to measure performance

jcscholtz123 Jun 20, 2024, 04:41 PM

5 posts translates to only 16% of posts far below the nearly 1/3 of votes DA brings to the coalition. Why the rats and mice like Good even need to be there I do not know.