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ROAD TO 2024 ELECTIONS

How the community that formed around the alleged RET ‘Guptabots’ migrated overnight to Zuma’s MK party

The uMkhonto Wesizwe (MK) party, led by former president Jacob Zuma, has swiftly gained online support from the Radical Economic Transformation (RET) community, prompting questions about the authenticity of its rise to prominence and its potential impact on upcoming elections, as revealed in a report by the Centre for Analytics and Behavioural Change.
How the community that formed around the alleged RET ‘Guptabots’ migrated overnight to Zuma’s MK party Jacob Zuma's MK party has swiftly gathered online support from the RET community, which took over from the Guptabots, according to a new report.(Photos: Ihsaan Haffejee / AFP, Gallo Images and Freepik)

The uMkhonto Wesizwe (MK ) party has garnered online support from the Radical Economic Transformation (RET) community, which took over from the infamous Guptabots.

This is according to a report by the Centre for Analytics and Behavioural Change (CABC), released on Friday, 17 May.

 

MK was formally launched in December 2023 and its face is former president Jacob Zuma.

Read more in Daily Maverick: MK party manifesto and Zuma 2.0 — nationalise it all and scrap the Constitution

According to the report, the popularity of the MK party was detected by researchers at the CABC who track instances of online manipulation, as usage of MK party-specific hashtags appeared in large volumes overnight.

This led to questions about how a newly formed political party gained popularity “so quickly” when little canvassing had been done between its formation and the rise in the hashtag trends. Another question was about the authenticity of the rise of the party’s online presence.

By examining different online communities over different periods, the CABC found community links back to anti-Ramaphosa social media communities on X (formerly known as Twitter).

The report showed how the RET forces, which took over from the Guptabots — led by anonymous accounts — showed a level of support for the Economic Freedom Fighters before the launch of MK.

“At this point, the community switched wholesale over to promoting the MK party,” read the report. Through analysing online communities, the authors found a new community “rapidly” formed during December 2023. Zuma formally announced his alliance with MK on 16 December 2023.

In the months since, the party has had leadership disputes and ongoing court cases between it and Zuma’s former political home, the ANC.

“The newly formed community, the ‘MK party community’, appeared to have an immediate surge in interactions and engagement online, backed by a large number of followers,” the CABC report reads.

“For anyone who has created a social media account, they would know that growing engagement and followers organically is not a quick nor a straightforward task.”

According to the report, the MK party appeared to have mobilised by co-opting wholesale a community that existed for years — a community defined by anonymous accounts which rose to prominence in the wake of the Guptabots.

Some of its key members have been accused of supporting the July 2021 unrest and of having links to geopolitical players known to meddle in other countries’ social media landscapes and elections, such as Russia. According to the CABC report, “This raises issues of authenticity”.

Discourses and payments

The report questions whether the posters are getting paid. “If so, should such benefits be disclosed to the public, much like party funding is made public or how paid influencers are required to disclose that they are advertising products they endorse?”

According to the report, “When it comes to backing political candidates and parties, authentic communications and clear statements of financial gain should be equally, if not more important than when advertising a product or a service, given the potential to influence election outcomes.”

According to the CABC report, “It is both difficult to explain and understand how it is that a group that was frequently making use of EFF hashtags, including one that was a call to register to vote for that party, could flip allegiances overnight and drive the campaign hashtag of another political formation, urging their same network to vote for another party.

“This behaviour also points to a need to further understand the extent of the relationship that exists between the EFF and the MK party and what the implications of that relationship may be.”

Impact on elections 

According to the report, the authenticity of online political representation is important to determine, particularly in the lead-up to the elections.

These spaces or communities require close attention from electoral bodies, civil society and other aligned organisations that seek to preserve the integrity of democratic institutions.

“This is even more important where democratic elections and electoral outcomes are concerned … the authenticity of the MK party mobilisation is of importance to understand because the stakes with this strategy are extremely high in that they have the potential to influence voting outcomes.”

The CABC, Daily Maverick and City Press are currently involved in legal proceedings initiated by Sphithiphithi Evaluator (@_AfricanSoil), Thabo Makwakwa (@ThaboMakwakwa), Modibe Modiba (@mmodiba10) and Izwe Lethu (@LandNoli) who seek to review and set aside two previous reports: Online RET Network Analysis; and The Dirty Dozen & the Amplification of Incendiary Content during the Outbreak of Unrest in South Africa in July 2021.

The CABC, Daily Maverick and City Press seek to have the proceedings set aside with costs. DM

Comments (10)

Grumpy Old Man May 17, 2024, 08:41 AM

I lasted less than six months on Twitter (as it was then known) and included the time of the July 2021 riots. In that time I was exposed to the content of some of the Influencer accounts listed below. There was absolutely no doubt in my mind that they were not only 'complicit' but were part of a well co-ordinated, wider network apparatus. Duduzile Zuma was central to this with her 'We see you' hashtag. It also occurred to me (at that time) that elements within the NIA needed to be complicit. In this regard it was impossible for them not to be aware of this online community and equally inconceivable for them not to have identified them as a potential threat to national security. When it was over it was termed by Mr Ramaphosa to have been an insurrection (or words to that extent) but we are still waiting, to this day, to find out who the masterminds behind it all were. It is difficult to arrive at any other conclusion that July 2021 was an 'inside job' initiated by RET forces - and that the whole episode, like so many other things in this country, has been conveniently swept under the carpet. What this article demonstrates is that none of it went away and I agree with Sune of the probable links between the EFF and MK. One cannot underestimate the influence of social media nor ignore how this is used to facilitate 'ground level' discontent and mobilization at community level. For all intents and purposes it is an extension of the ANC branch system - and is a very effective mobilization and propaganda tool.

marc36 May 17, 2024, 02:31 PM

This is fascinating. Why don't we see more of this research?

Grumpy Old Man May 18, 2024, 06:53 AM

My comments are not based on any research and nor on any particular source. DM have run a number of pieces (very similar to this) over the years, looking at 'bot' activity. That they did was probably due to the fact that a number of their Journalists were (and remain) targets of these bots. These same 'bots' helped fuel and gave momentum to the July riots. If DM knew about them - why not the NIA? Again, my view is nothing more than a theory. DM will I am sure have theories of their own - and far more accurate and compelling data in support of these

Philemon Solomon May 18, 2024, 08:44 PM

Watch "The Great Hack", your theories certainly are not baseless...

Beyond Fedup May 17, 2024, 08:58 AM

Scumbags of a feather flock together - irrespective of whether it is eff, anc, mk, atm - all the same thieving, racist, inept, bullying and criminal rubbish! Imagine to what heights of success and prosperity SA would enjoy if it wasn't for these parasites!

Kenneth FAKUDE May 17, 2024, 09:48 AM

you nailed it BF

raborifeletanta8@gmail.com May 17, 2024, 09:32 AM

Laduma MK

masangolinda87@gmail.com May 17, 2024, 10:36 AM

It is not surprising for the Saxonworld patron to jump and others will jump suit in the form of Gugaba,Magashule and Zwane the list is endless

David Mathebula May 17, 2024, 11:22 AM

MK Party is a group of thugs who want to pretend that their personal interests are national interests.

cimacanalysis@gmail.com May 17, 2024, 12:45 PM

Good service

Philemon Solomon May 17, 2024, 06:55 PM

Watch "The Great Hack" people, is/was on Netflix. Be aware of what is actually going on in the world. Cambridge Analytica, Bell Pottinger, names we should all know, and understand that thing's are not always what they seem. True democracy may already be on it's death bed... Very real possibility that MK is all contrived...

Denise Smit May 18, 2024, 07:49 AM

Similar bot influencers busy with various agendas around the world. Ukraine Russia, China Russia and the West, North versus South, Gaza and Israel, Islamic religion versus other religions, Trump versus Biden, UK Labour Party versus Conservative Party. Be carefull what you read or expose yourself to

peddledavid7 May 19, 2024, 02:23 PM

Well I can easily believe what has been proposed, ie that the online supporters and online influencers have switched to the MK grouping. That the thought being pushed is that MK is more radical, than EFF and ANC were, is possibly also true. However the elephant in the room, is that these people doing this, require funding to a greater or lesser extent, so where does this come from? Who is this Soros of SA who is busy with a devious plan to achieve some evil left wing plan? Somebody is putting together this e-plan to give credence to the ever greater popularity of MK and so sweeping up credulous fools to run with the pack!

Anthony Krijger May 20, 2024, 12:22 PM

I can see a war of the bots coming.....