ANC support slips, new MK Party makes inroads, EFF backing slumps - Ipsos poll

It is scary that one in five South Africans support MK and EFF. That support should be looney fringe levels of one in twenty.

It is more important for all South Africans who want change and accountable governance, to vote now than ever. The ANC won't get 50%, but was is within reach is ANC + EFF below 50%. Realistically the ANC will still be part of a government, as the Multi Party Alliance will not get 50% on their own. That is not ideal but a step in the right direction. Let's hope and pray the reasonable parties can work together and put South Africa first. Voters will have to do their part, as 1% this side or that side for or against the ANC (and the uber radical EFF and MK) can make a lot of difference in what alliances are possible.

Registered voters? Likely voters? Number of participants? Margin of error? Date Performed? What portion of participants refused to say/were unsure? Modelling on turnout scenarios? Without this info, you might as well be publishing the lotto numbers.

The rainbow nation is going to vote out all the State Capture comrades.

There are about 27 million registered voters. In the last election about 17,5m voted. Out of that 17,5 million, the minority of media-aware voters is probably about 5%. How many read the DM? About 0,5%? How many are politically savvy and how many simply follow the leader? I would say that out of the about 12mn, it's traditional tribal affiliations. So I don't expect the DA to make much headway, but rather the split for possible coalitions will be ANC, EFF, IFP and MK. Unfortunately....

So the options for us is either an ANC-EFF coalition, or an ANC-DA coalition. An ANC-MK coalition may be possible, but then one or two of the smaller political parties like Al-Jamaaha or the ATM will also have to be part of it. You make your pick: which one would you prefer? Because all the MPC parties together can't make the cut; the ANC, EFF & MK together gets over 60% and none of them are part of the MPC. In fact, the MPC all together does not even get more than the ANC on its' own.

The ANC must realise that a coalition with the EFF will do SA no good as Malema will be a major stumbling block with his pig headed persona. An ANC/MK coalition is unlikely due to Zuma's hatred of Ramaphosa and furthermore there are too many sane comrades in the ANC to even think of MK having any say in government due to their loony manifesto. An ANC/DA would work providing the DA is able to assist Ramaphosa in getting rid of the rotten eggs in his cabinet. This is exactly what Ramaphosa needs to offset his timid reliance on these 'comrades' to keep him in the hot seat. If he and John Steenhuisen could form a working relationship and clean up our fractured parliament and put an end to corruption, South Africa would prosper greatly as the billions lost to theft and wasteful expenditure would instead be channelled into rescuing the SOE's and in creating a market which is attractive to foreign investors. The DA's business acumen and the ANC's close relationship with the black community would bring about mutually beneficial results in all levels of endeavour in this country. We live in hope...

The scary part is the horse-trading coalitions, with the only desire being to "be in power" with nary a thought given to the best interests of the citizens or the stability and future of the country. ANC and EFF are likely to be able to get a combined majority no matter what happens. We have seen how effective and stable that combination has not been at Metro level. Any coalition government where more time and effort is spent on internal squabbles and motions of no confidence, and resulting court cases, will do even further damage to our economy and the Rand will plummet. The DA support is simply too small nationally, as they are seen as a "white party", and this country works almost entirely on racial demographics. There are way too many political parties, splitting the "remaining vote" into too many slivers of pie to truly satisfy anyone. Whatever the election outcome we are in for a 5 year rollercoaster ride .

An ANC/DA alliance will spell the death of the DA simply because the ANC is too arrogant to accept they have failed. And too arrogant to listen. Witness local govt's where there has been tried. They simply ignore the DA and carry on as usual even though they know they're destroying everything. There is no "Ubuntu". It's every man for themselves. They'll never give that up.

For anyone who has read the Manifestos of the MK and EFF, should be afraid - very afraid. They both paint a doomsday scenario should they obtain significant support. We are truly stuffed in one of the parties or a coalition of the two parties gains power, though how they would pay for the ridiculous grants and incomes is beyond me!