Business Maverick

Business Maverick

Biden’s car pollution crackdown to stamp out billions of barrels of oil demand

Biden’s car pollution crackdown to stamp out billions of barrels of oil demand
GMC Hummer electric vehicles on the production line at General Motors' Factory ZERO all-electric vehicle assembly plant in Detroit, Michigan, U.S., on Wednesday, 17 November 2021. (Photo: Emily Elconin/Bloomberg)

The Biden administration’s plan to stifle auto pollution and spur electric vehicles is expected to shrink US oil demand by an estimated 17 billion barrels through 2055. 

“We’re strengthening our energy security, we’re reducing our reliance on foreign oil,” and “we’re reducing our reliance on fossil fuels,” Environmental Protection Agency administrator Michael Regan said on Wednesday. 

The EPA estimated that its proposal, slated to be finalised next year, would curb US oil imports by as much as 16 billion barrels through 2055. And though the projected demand reductions would escalate over time, they translate to a 1.6 million barrel per day decline between 2027 and 2055 — roughly 10.2% from current levels, according to Bloomberg calculations. 

While the proposal is a potential boon for EV car manufacturers, the expected reduction in liquid fuel demand comes at the expense of crude refiners as well as biodiesel and ethanol producers. 

The plan poses “significant downside risk to US gasoline demand” and will leave US refiners more exposed to the export market, potentially forcing some plants to close, said Alan Gelder, vice president of refining, chemical and oil markets at Wood Mackenzie.

The American Fuel and Petrochemical Manufacturers association issued a scathing critique of the proposal, saying the EPA erred by fixating on tailpipe emissions, rather than creating opportunities to lower the carbon intensity of fuels through carbon capture systems, renewable production and other technology.  

Even with the EPA’s expectation that EVs will represent two out of every three cars and light trucks sold by 2032, conventional gasoline-powered cars will be on US roads for decades to come. Internal combustion engines will still occupy more than half of the light-duty vehicle marketplace by 2040, said Emily Skor, chief executive officer of the pro-ethanol group Growth Energy. 

“The proposal puts a thumb on the scale for one technology at the expense of others,” Skor said, “rather than giving car manufacturers the flexibility to pursue innovative strategies for decarbonising light-duty vehicles.” BM/DM


Comments - Please in order to comment.

  • Peter Glendinning says:

    DM, love your reporters’ reporting on RSA. However, when you simply cut and paste an article from Bloomberg propaganda service (not a news source of any credibility) on the USA, you do your readers no service.

    Here are the facts. The EPA’s proposed rules would make China stronger and America weaker because China, a totalitarian regime that uses forced labor and coal-fired power plants, makes most of the worlds batteries and is among its biggest polluters (America has 225 coal-fired power plants and China has 1,118, half of all the coal-fired plants in the world). Concerned about Africa? Ask the 8 year old kids who are essentially slaves in Congo, digging cobalt by hand to supply the electric battery manufacturers.

    China has increased carbon emissions by more than 5,000 million metric tons over the past 16 years. In contrast, America’s carbon emissions have declined by more than 1,000 million metric tons over the same period due to the use of clean natural gas.

    The Biden Administration’s plan will cost the American economy trillions of dollars, eliminate jobs, weaken the USA and strengthen China. We here in the USA are trying to figure out what the motivation for that is.

Please peer review 3 community comments before your comment can be posted

[%% img-description %%]

The Spy Bill: An autocratic roadmap to State Capture 2.0

Join Heidi Swart in conversation with Anton Harber and Marianne Merten as they discuss a concerning push to pass a controversial “Spy Bill” into law by May 2024. Tues 5 Dec at 12pm, live, online and free of charge.

A South African Hero: You

There’s a 99.8% chance that this isn’t for you. Only 0.2% of our readers have responded to this call for action.

Those 0.2% of our readers are our hidden heroes, who are fuelling our work and impacting the lives of every South African in doing so. They’re the people who contribute to keep Daily Maverick free for all, including you.

The equation is quite simple: the more members we have, the more reporting and investigations we can do, and the greater the impact on the country.

Be part of that 0.2%. Be a Maverick. Be a Maverick Insider.

Support Daily Maverick→
Payment options