RENEWABLE ENERGY PROGRAMME
SA signs agreements with three independent power producers, but is it too little, too late?
The government has signed agreements for three projects and 420MW of wind power in the Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Programme — but this is out of more than 2,500MW and 25 projects that were meant to be already on the grid this year. With a desperate need for more energy generation capacity - why the delay?
“Given load shedding that we’re experiencing, we need this capacity like yesterday, so there’s really no need for us to delay any further,” said Segomoco Scheppers, the group executive for transmission at Eskom.
“While the current plant is receiving attention, it’s clearly important that we invest in capacity, and this is a key milestone for us making a contribution on that journey.”
Scheppers was speaking at the signing ceremony for three projects from Bid Window 5 of the Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Programme (REIPPPP), hosted by the Department of Mineral Resources and Energy (DMRE) on Thursday at the office of the independent power producers in Centurion, Gauteng.
At the ceremony, the minister of mineral resources and energy, Gwede Mantashe, said he was on the board of Eskom from 1993 to 1997 when the utility was performing well. Eskom had warned the government that if it didn’t build new power stations by 2007 the country would have an electricity shortfall, but “nobody listened”.
Mantashe said many people had advocated for the government to depend on the private sector for its energy supplies, but he was not one of them.
“I am not yet a convert to that. I want the private sector to grow, but we need a strong state so the private sector can thrive. I believe in the state — a strong state is good for the private sector — [it’s] not a competitor, it is a facilitator.
“What I want to see happening is a situation where the debate on energy becomes less polarised … [and the state and the private sector] work together to ensure security of supply.”
However, agreements with only three of the total 25 preferred bidders in Bid Window 5 have been signed — which will produce 420MW out of the total 2,583MW of contracted capacity meant to be procured in this bid window.
The three projects all offer onshore wind energy technologies, with a contracted capacity of 140MW, and will sell power to Eskom for 20 years.
The projects are Coleskop Wind Power in the Eastern Cape, coming in at R601.17 per megawatt hour, and San Kraal and Phezukomoya wind energy facilities in the Northern Cape, both coming in at R564.45 per megawatt-hour.
“These projects are located at the boundary between the Eastern Cape and the Northern Cape and they benefit from a fantastic wind resource,” said Tristan de Drouas, the CEO of EDF Renewables, the main developer of the projects, which has partnered with GIBB-Crede.
“It’s a gift and it enabled us to offer this very competitive price for electricity.”
The average level of generation, where the output is predicted to be exceeded by 50% over the project’s life (otherwise known as P50), of the three wind farms is between 1.7 and 1.8 terawatt-hours per year.
“Which is enormous … less than a 50% load factor, which shows the fantastic resource of the site,” said De Drouas.
The projects have R11-billion worth of investment, and De Drouas said 40% of the value of the project would be spent locally, “which is quite a challenge”.
The bulk of the 2,230 job-years and 2,250 jobs that will be created (globally, as EDF is a French company) through the life cycle of the projects will occur during the two years of construction. However, De Drouas said long-term jobs would be created in South Africa for the operation phase to maintain the 78 turbines and the various substations, and there had been a commitment of R543-million towards socioeconomic development and enterprise development in areas where the projects are located.
Mineral Resources and Energy Minister Gwede Mantashe with his deputy minister and IPP Office officials, and CEO of preferred bidder EFG Renewables Tristan de Drouas (right), signing power purchase agreements, 22 September 2022. (Photo: Julia Evans)
Visit Daily Maverick’s home page for more news, analysis and investigations
Why the delay?
The DMRE said the roll-out of this bid window was guided by the Integrated Resource Plan (IRP2019) and associated ministerial determinations.
But according to the IRP, the 2,583MW of renewable energy from this bid window was meant to be connected to the grid by this year.
Mantashe said: “The IRP is actually a framework that propagates the development of mixed technologies. We think that you need a lot of renewables, you need to scale down on coal … systematically, because if you are reckless in moving out of coal you are going to cause more disasters.
“We’re busy reviewing IRP and maybe we come with different conclusions.”
Following the signing on Thursday, the energy providers have 60 days to reach a financial close, after which they have up to 24 months to build the infrastructure.
Energy expert Clyde Mallinson told Our Burning Planet: “If the REIPPPP process had not stalled in 2015, and if we had a fit-for-purpose IRP, we could have had at least 10GW of wind by now. And yes, if Bid Window 5 was announced when it should have been, we would have had at least 1,600+MW of additional wind, already online, right now.”
“One aspect that the ministry likes to try to sidestep is that they are way behind schedule with the implementation of the REIPPPP,” said Hartmut Winkler, a physics professor at the University of Johannesburg.
Winkler said that given that the Bid Window 5 projects were supposed to be finished this year, the process should have been initiated with a call for bids in 2019.
When asked why the request for proposals (RFP) for Bid Window 5 was only released in 2021, and not 2019 as soon as the 2019 IRP came out, Jacob Mbele, the director-general at the DMRE, said that after an IRP is promulgated, a determination has to be issued, which goes to the energy regulator, Nersa, for concurrence, and Nersa is required to do public consultation.
Mbele said as this determination was the first one issued after the updated 2019 IRP, it took Nersa six to eight months to finally concur.
Following Nersa’s concurrence, the ministerial determination for 2,600MW of capacity was gazetted on 25 September 2020. The request for proposals under Bid Window 5 was launched on 12 April 2021, and the announcement of the successful bidders was made on 28 October 2021.
After that, the DMRE develops a request for proposals, which Eskom, as the buyer, has to be part of.
Mbele said the process needed to be streamlined.
Grid tied up
The signing of these projects was meant to happen in April this year but was delayed because of challenges in the grid.
“We are in discussions with the rest of the preferred bidders, and we want to complete this process by October 2022,” said Tshifhiwa Bernard Magoro, the head of the IPP office, at the signing ceremony.
Magoro said the office had a deadline of the end of October to conclude the signing of the agreements for the remaining 22 Bid Window 5 projects and was planning to release requests for proposals for the battery storage bid window by the end of this month.
South Africa has huge renewable potential, and as this bid window and new research has found, renewables are becoming increasingly cost-competitive.
Our Burning Planet previously reported that the lowest-priced wind project in Bid Window 5 was R0.34 per kilowatt-hour, while the highest was about R0.62.
However, the problem is that South Africa’s power generation has come from Mpumalanga and Limpopo, which is where most of the grid networks are.
Scheppers said: “The reality is that where we find the best renewable resources in the Northern, Eastern and Western Cape, the network is not adequately developed.
“It’s a legacy matter, given that our base of energy has been coal,” which is in Mpumalanga and Limpopo.
Scheppers said that while renewable energy projects don’t take long to build — up to 18 months — linear infrastructure takes a lot more time at two to three years.
Additionally, they need to comply with legislation and environmental compliance matters and reach agreements with landowners over whose property the lines pass.
“We’re working hard to develop the networks to the southern parts of the country, the Northern Cape, Eastern Cape, but we have to go through the EIAs [environmental impact assessments], we have to acquire the servitudes, and so on, before we even get to building, so a lot of work is happening to also unlock those parts of the country,” said Scheppers.
He said Eskom had received support from the government to try to fast-track these processes.
Rolling blackouts
Meanwhile, Eskom announced that 4,098MW of capacity were on planned maintenance and another 17,121MW unavailable because of breakdowns.
“It’s a painfully high number. If half of that was available, we would not be here,” said Scheppers. “If we were not having these high levels of breakdowns, we would not be having load shedding today.”
Mantashe said: “If we can improve and make Eskom operate optimally, we would not have load shedding.” He said Eskom needed to service and maintain the units that are not providing energy and to invest in skills and resources.
With this, Mantashe said, “We will see a difference in terms of a shortfall in energy and we may resolve the energy crisis.” DM/OBP
Become an Insider
If Eskom was a private company operating against competitors we wouldn’t have been in the position we’re in. Capital would have been raised in the markets early 2000s, and renewable and other power sources would have been running for 10+ years now. SA would have enjoyed a steady supply of affordable electricity. If anyone still believe a larger state is the answer they truly live in lala-land.
Wa lala wa sala (unfortunately we all loose). And there seems to be no waking up for these guys “in charge” in the foreseeable future.
“a strong state is good for the private sector”
Too bad the state is weak as hell and getting weaker everywhere except the Western Cape.
8 large ads interspersed through this article, plus another half-page ad at the bottom of the page AND another banner ad at the bottom of the page.
Seems there is no real benefit to being a logged-in subscriber…
Install an adblocker. They work wonders.
Apparently it’s a problem with browsing on a phone aka android. If you use a PC and are logged in, then no ads. Beyond me why the mobile version is so hard to sort out. I try to minimise browsing the site on my cell because if the ads, even though I’m a paid subscriber.
I am a subscriber. My subscription is up to date. Why am I suddenly seeing multiple ads in articles?
Why have you decided to screw over your supporters, DM?
In your DM profile you have the option to turn ads off if you want to.
Tried that. Switched them on then off. Worked until I went to the next article!
Come on, DM, sort this out!
420 Mw is ca 66% of just 1 of the 6 Units at each of the 13 6-pack coal plants ( Duvha, Matla, Kriel, etc.)-drop in the ocean-do the maths to work out how many renewable plants at 150 Mw each are needed( clue 312 each with 60+ wind turbines ).Plus the renewable plants can’t provide base load and are situated away from the big consumer areas and existing transmission infrastructure. The quickest and least expensive way of digging out of Eskom’s existential problem is to bring the neglected coal plants back on line using the expertise and skills of the willing specialists ( not just 18 but teams of 30-50 per unit to fix and mentor). Technically very feasible. Typical government dithering and ideology is driving SA to the brink. There is not 2 years left to save the situation!
5 years ago I met a guy who was here with a consortium meeting government to do exactly this. What happened to that, oh yes the cadres were still busy trying to extract something for themselves. And here were are, Eskom is even worse, with two multi billion dollar useless power stations that were badly designed and over looted.
I don’t know why, but he reminds me of Rumpelstiltskin.
The issue is that he can sign 50 IPP agreements but the reality is that we have rolling blackouts and it does not help the situation we are in. These are just public relation theatrics that the ANC government engages in regularly but never really solve any problems. We need the fixing of Eskom with its coal and nuclear fleet. We need to get rid of the clowns running Eskom and get people who are competent and fit for the job. The Minister, the board and the CEO must be shown the door. Pravin did the same thing and allowed SAA to fail and he is doing the same thing to Eskom. We have a crisis in the airline industry because of him and we are keeping an eye on Takatso deal with has some rancour. To measure a country whether it is failing you must look at its airline industry and energy availability. We have a failing state thanks to Pravin.
I now ask again: Why has Eskom stalled the building of the other six hydro-electrical pump stations that locations were identified for in the Drakensbergs, Lebombo mountains and the Eastern Cape? I see they speak of battery storage. But battery storage is very expensive as the batteries has a limited lifespan, while such pump stations can last a lot longer. The same applies to the idea of hydrogen storage systems – a lot of practical problems exist with such systems. But the one pump station that was built, Ingula, has a capacity of 1300+ MW for something like 16 hours if the top dam is full at the beginning. If you have seven of those, you would be looking at about 10 GW of capacity which would last for 16 hours (or of course if you use less, say 1 GW, then it will last 160 hours). Are we not making too much of all the modern technology while sometimes the old ways are even better? I am not saying that no battery storage and/or hydrogen must be provided; what I am saying that such pump stations will be more reliable and cost-effective on the long run.
It’s quite clear that having the DMRE as Piggy in the Middle is adding a quite unnecessary TWO YEARS to the whole process. First DMRE does some bull*****ing of the public, then they solicit tenders, then pick the “best” ones, then they go through ANOTHER tender process to see how Eskom feels about it.
REALLY?
Why doesn’t Eskom simply ask for expressions of interest from any IRP? Why don’t they keep the whole process open, permanently, instead of having “windows” which may be delayed by years?
As far as I can see, the whole effort seems to be solely constructed to: –
1. Make it as slow as possible;
2. Allow as many opportunities as possible for ANC cadres to get their sticky fingers on all that lovely lolly; and ,
3. Allow the Stalinists to continue with their fantasy of controlling the “levers of power”.