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UKRAINE UPDATE: 18 AUGUST 2022

Zelensky warns citizens to stay away from Kremlin-occupied bases; Russian missiles strike southern Odesa

Zelensky warns citizens to stay away from Kremlin-occupied bases; Russian missiles strike southern Odesa
A handout photo made available by the Ukrainian Presidential Press Service shows Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky (centre) with former UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon (left) and former president of Colombia and 2016 Nobel Peace Prize laureate Juan Manuel Santos in Kyiv, Ukraine, 16 August 2022. (Photo: EPA-EFE / Ukrainian Presidential Press Service)

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky urged citizens to keep away from military facilities in areas occupied by Kremlin forces, including in Crimea, following Tuesday’s explosions at a Russian ammunition depot on the Black Sea peninsula.

“The fewer opportunities the occupiers have to do evil and kill Ukrainians, the sooner we will be able to end this war and liberate our country,” Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said in his evening address. 

Blasts near the town of Dzhankoy in northern Crimea — a week after explosions at an air base on the peninsula destroyed fighter jets — mark the beginning of a series of attacks, according to a Zelensky adviser. Russia attributed them to an act of sabotage.

Zelensky is due to meet with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres in Lviv in western Ukraine on Thursday. A statement from the Turkish presidency said they would discuss “possible steps to end the Ukraine-Russia war through diplomatic means”. 

Key developments  

On the ground

Russia struck the southern Odesa region with missiles overnight, destroying a recreation centre and several private houses, Interfax-Ukraine reported, citing a spokesman for the regional military administration. Three people were wounded in the attack, according to preliminary information quoted in the Interfax report. Shelling continued in the east of Ukraine, including near Slovyansk, Kramatorsk and Bakhmut, Ukraine’s general staff said in its regular morning statement on Facebook. The “most intense” fighting was raging around several settlements close to the city of Donetsk, the commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian army, Valeriy Zaluzhnyi, said on Facebook. 

Nato urges Russia to allow nuclear inspectors  

Nato Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg called on Russia to allow urgent inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency at the Ukrainian nuclear facilities in Zaporizhzhia, saying Russian forces there “raise the risk of a nuclear accident or incident”.

“The seizure of the Zaporizhzhia plant by Russian forces poses a serious threat to the safety and security of this facility,” Stoltenberg said following a meeting with Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic in Brussels.

Stoltenberg said the topic of the Ukraine war came up during his conversation with Vucic, adding it was “important the international community stands united in opposing Russia’s unprovoked aggression and that we all take steps to convince Russia to end this war”. Vucic has had close ties to Russian President Vladimir Putin and Serbia has not imposed sanctions against Moscow over the invasion.

Read in Daily Maverick: “Russia welcomes ‘friendly state’ SA’s support – but do we also support invasion, bombardment and war crimes in Ukraine?”

Ukrainian port expects five more vessels to be loaded with grain 

The Ukrainian port of Chornomorsk expected five new vessels to be loaded with grain and vegetable oil on Wednesday, reports Interfax-Ukraine, which cited the Facebook statement of the Ukrainian Sea Ports Authority. 

This number of vessels within a day is a record since the grain corridor started. Ships are to be loaded with a combined total of 70,000 tonnes of wheat, bran, sunflower oil and maize. The goal is to boost the sea export indicators up to three million tonnes of grain and other products with the number of vessels up to 100 per month.

European coal prices jump to record 

European coal prices, which have risen more than threefold this year, surged to a record as Russian cuts in gas supply boost demand to help prevent blackouts. Benchmark futures for next year rose as much as 4.9% to $307 per tonne on the ICE Futures Europe exchange.

Why Europe is crippled by a wartime energy crisis: QuickTake

While coal’s revival is hampering efforts to cut pollution, it underscores the critical energy situation in Europe, with limited gas supplies, France’s nuclear plants operating at half capacity, rivers running dry and a lack of wind.

 

 

 

Crimea blast impact on tourism seen as slight  

Rail disruptions from this week’s explosions in Crimea may only reduce the number of tourists visiting the peninsula by 5%-10% because most visitors arrive by car, the Association of Tour Operators of Russia said in a statement.

However, some companies have reported a decline in new bookings by as much as a quarter, Interfax reported, citing a spokeswoman for a separate industry group. The number of tourists in the summer season may fall by as much as half because flights have been suspended, Interfax quoted the spokeswoman for the Russian Tourism Union as saying.

There have been long lines of cars seeking to leave Crimea since last week’s air base explosion. RIA Novosti reported a record 38,000 cars travelling both ways on a bridge linking Crimea to Russia on Monday even before the most recent blast, which led to a temporary halt in rail traffic.

Russia struggles to ship record harvest  

Analysts have progressively raised estimates for Russia’s wheat harvest as yields were buoyed by good weather, with the crop expected to reach an all-time high, but sales so far are running well behind the norm.

Read more: Russia struggles to ship record wheat harvest as war drags on

Russian wheat exports in July and August are estimated at 5.8 million tonnes, a “painfully slow” rate and 28% behind last year, according to research firm SovEcon. The invasion of Ukraine hasn’t triggered sanctions on food and agriculture, but has fostered logistical and financial constraints, with some banks and shipping companies opting to shun the region.

Erdoğan to table diplomatic solution to war 

As well as possible diplomatic efforts to halt the war, Zelensky, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and UN Secretary-General António Guterres will discuss increasing exports of Ukrainian grain to world markets, according to a Turkish statement.

Guterres will travel to the port city of Odesa on Friday and will later visit Istanbul before returning to New York, Stephane Dujarric, a spokesman for the secretary-general, said at a press briefing. 

 

 

 

Uniper loss shows depth of energy crisis 

Uniper provided more evidence of the scale of Europe’s energy crisis, with the bailed-out German utility reporting a net loss of more than €12-billion  in the first half of the year.  

“Uniper has for months been playing a crucial role in stabilising Germany’s gas supply — at the cost of billions in losses resulting from the sharp drop in gas deliveries from Russia,” Chief Executive Officer Klaus-Dieter Maubach said in the firm’s earnings statement.

First World Food Programme vessel leaves Ukraine for Africa  

The World Food Programme (WFP) said the first shipment by sea of Ukrainian wheat for humanitarian operations left the port of Pivdennyi Tuesday with 23,000 tonnes of grain for the famine-threatened Horn of Africa region. 

“It will take more than grain ships out of Ukraine to stop world hunger, but with Ukrainian grain back on global markets we have a chance to stop this global food crisis from spiralling even further,” WFP Executive Director David Beasley said on the programme’s website. The UN organisation says that a record 345 million people in 82 countries face “acute food insecurity”.

US donates $68m to World Food Programme 

Secretary of State Antony Blinken said the US will contribute $68-million to the WFP to buy Ukrainian wheat to help “address the world’s pressing food crisis”. 

“We’re committed to supporting global food security for the most vulnerable and call on all countries to follow suit,” Blinken said in a tweet. DM

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