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Oil, Gold Cede Gains After Biden, Putin Accept Summit P...

Business Maverick

International Finance

Oil, Gold Cede Gains After Biden, Putin Accept Summit Proposal

A tanker at the at the BP Plc Cherry Point Refinery near Blaine, Washington, U.S., on Friday, Nov. 19, 2021. Photographer: James MacDonald/Bloomberg
By Bloomberg
21 Feb 2022 0

Oil gave up early gains in Asia, along with gold, after the U.S. and Russian presidents agreed to a summit meeting over Ukraine. 

West Texas Intermediate plunged as much as 0.8%, reversing a more than 2% advance, after Joe Biden and Vladimir Putin agreed in principle to a proposal for a summit meeting from French President Emmanuel Macron. Earlier, the U.S. told allies that any Russian invasion would potentially see it target multiple cities beyond the capital, Kyiv. Moscow, which has repeatedly denied it plans an invasion, said over the weekend that its forces would remain in Belarus indefinitely.

Conflicting news over the situation on the Russia-Ukraine border has roiled commodity markets. Renewed warnings from the U.S. over the weekend initially pushed up oil prices on Monday, following the first weekly decline this year on  signs of an easing stand-off and hopes of a revival of Iran’s nuclear deal. Meanwhile, bullion fell back below $1,900 an ounce after earlier hitting an eight-month high.

Oil, gold crash after Biden, Putin agree in-principle to a summit proposal

Global commodity markets have been in thrall to the prolonged standoff over Ukraine, which comes at a time of already robust demand, surging prices and concern over fast-depleting inventories. Raw materials are trading close to a record, boosting inflation and complicating the task for central banks as they seek to tame the pace of price gains without derailing the recovery.

Macron will work with stakeholders to prepare summit talks between Biden and Putin to discuss “security and strategic stability in Europe,” the French government said in an emailed statement. The timing and format of the summit are still to be determined, and it will be called off if Russia invades Ukraine, according to a U.S. official who asked not to be identified.

Any attack from multiple locations could essentially fence Ukraine in, potentially upending commodity markets as regional flows are disrupted and possibly targeted by Western sanctions. Traders are also tracking wheat, which both Ukraine and Russia export, as well as aluminum and nickel.

  • WTI for March delivery slipped 0.4% to $90.73 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 10:30 a.m. in Singapore.
    • March futures expire on Tuesday. The more-active April contract fell 0.8% to $89.52.
  • Brent for April settlement declined 0.8% to $92.84 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange.
  • Spot gold slipped 0.1% to $1,896.26 an ounce, after earlier hitting the highest intraday level since June 3.

Oil investors, meanwhile, were following negotiations to rekindle Iran’s 2015 nuclear agreement, which remain bogged down. Germany’s chancellor warned that it’s now or never to save the accord, which could usher in a return to the world market of official oil supplies from the Persian Gulf nation.

Oil could be set for a “prolonged period” above $100 a barrel this year, with world demand poised to expand to a record, Vitol Group Chief Executive Officer Russell Hardy told Bloomberg Television. The head of the world’s largest independent oil trader said that the market will get tighter, with daily consumption set to rise well above pre-Covid levels by the end of 2022.

In a signal of the crude market’s bullishness, nearby contracts for WTI and Brent are commanding significant premiums over those further out, indicating that traders are clamoring for barrels right now. In Asia, refiners are seeking to ramp up their run rates to benefit from healthy margins.

Related coverage:
  • OPEC+ must stay together for the long-term stability of the oil market, said Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman.
  • Soaring gasoline prices are fanning inflation and causing a headache for governments and central banks worldwide. In countries with elections coming up, they’re an extra headwind for the incumbents.
  • A nuclear deal with Iran could have big implications for oil markets and a knock-on effect on fuel prices, according to Bloomberg oil strategist Julian Lee.

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