This is not a paywall.

Register for free to continue reading.

We made a promise to you that we’ll never erect a paywall and we intend to keep that promise. We also want to continually improve your reading experience and you can help us do that by registering with us. It’s quick, easy and will cost you nothing.

Nearly there! Create a password to finish up registering with us:

Please enter your password or get a login link if you’ve forgotten

Open Sesame! Thanks for registering.

South Africa’s factory gate prices virtually hit a fi...

Business Maverick


South Africa’s factory gate prices virtually hit a five-year high in May

A cashier counts rand banknotes at the check out counter of a store in the Hatfield Plaza shopping center in Pretoria, South Africa, on Tuesday, Dec. 15, 2015. (Photo: Waldo Swiegers/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

South African factory gate prices raced to their highest level in almost five years in May, hitting 7.4% from 6.7% in April. But on a monthly basis, the Producer Price Index rose only 0.4% and food producer inflation continued to slow, factors that suggest that price pressures may start to ebb.

The data, released by Statistics South Africa (Stats SA) on Thursday, follows news that CPI in May hit a 30-month high of 5.2%. But many economists believe that consumer inflation may have scaled its current peak, with base effects among the key drivers after prices this time last year cooled as the economy imploded under lockdown. 

And the fact that PPI in May only rose 0.4% from April suggests that prices are hardly on the boil in the current environment. 

At 7.4%, Stats SA data shows this was the highest year-on-year PPI read since July 2016, when it was also at 7.4%. The statistical agency said that: 

“The main contributors to the headline PPI annual inflation rate were coke, petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products; food products, beverages and tobacco products; and metals, machinery, equipment and computing equipment.”  

Coke, petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products increased by 17.1% year on year. Oil prices have been fuelling inflation this year after collapsing into negative territory last year. 

Food inflation maintained its braking trend, slowing to 7.3% year on year in May from 7.9% in April, which is in line with the forecasts of agricultural economists, with further downside seen as South Africa harvests a bumper maize crop. And on a monthly basis, the increase was only 0.3%.

Still, production prices for some food items remain elevated. Meat producers have been passing the relatively high cost of livestock and poultry feed on to consumers and this is feeding through the price chain. Producer meat and meat products inflation in May was galloping at 15.1%. 

This explains some curious price spikes. On the consumer inflation front, Stats SA the other day put out a tweet detailing “some of the food and drink items that have become more expensive over the last year”. The list included beef offal, the price of which was 17.6% higher year on year. If you like your offal, that’s just awful. 

Overall, the headline PPI number looks concerning. But there are signs that it could also be nearing its peak. DM/BM


Comments - share your knowledge and experience

Please note you must be a Maverick Insider to comment. Sign up here or sign in if you are already an Insider.

Everybody has an opinion but not everyone has the knowledge and the experience to contribute meaningfully to a discussion. That’s what we want from our members. Help us learn with your expertise and insights on articles that we publish. We encourage different, respectful viewpoints to further our understanding of the world. View our comments policy here.

All Comments 1

  • The cost of electricity and water price hikes as well as electricity blackouts have still to impact on prices. Our CPI must go into double digits. So much for money policy keeping inflation in check. It’s the dream of every central bank governor to wear Superman underpants, but in my simple view Gerhard de Kock is probably the only one that has achieved that. But then things were simpler then.

  • Please peer review 3 community comments before your comment can be posted