--- title: "Biden leads Trump narrowly in Florida on eve of election -Reuters/Ipsos" description: "WASHINGTON, Nov 2 (Reuters) - Democrat Joe Biden appeared to take a narrow lead over President Donald Trump in Florida in the final days of the 2020 U.S. election campaign, with the two candidates locked in a dead heat in North Carolina and Arizona, according to Reuters/Ipsos opinion polls released on Monday." type: "NewsArticle" publisher: "Daily Maverick" site: "https://www.dailymaverick.co.za" section: "Newsdeck" author: "Reuters" author_url: "https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/author/reuters/" canonical_url: "https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2020-11-02-biden-leads-trump-narrowly-in-florida-on-eve-of-election-reuters-ipsos/" published: "2020-11-02T22:04:58" lang: "en-ZA" word_count: 695 --- # Biden leads Trump narrowly in Florida on eve of election -Reuters/Ipsos > WASHINGTON, Nov 2 (Reuters) - Democrat Joe Biden appeared to take a narrow lead over President Donald Trump in Florida in the final days of the 2020 U.S. election campaign, with the two candidates locked in a dead heat in North Carolina and Arizona, according to Reuters/Ipsos opinion polls released on Monday. By Reuters ยท Published 3 November 2020, 00:04 SAST ## Content By Jason Lange A week earlier, Reuters/Ipsos polls showed Trump and Biden in a statistical tie across the three states. Reuters/Ipsos polled likely voters in six states - Florida, Arizona, North Carolina, Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania - that will play critical roles in deciding whether Trump wins a second term in office or if Biden ousts him. Below is a state-by-state look at Reuters/Ipsos findings, based on the online responses of likely voters: FLORIDA (Oct. 27 - Nov. 1) - Voting for Biden: 50% - Voting for Trump: 46% - A prior poll showed Biden leading Trump 49%-47%, effectively a tie because the margin was within the poll's credibility interval. - 41% said they already had voted. - 47% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 44% said Trump would be better. - 53% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 42% said Biden would be better. ARIZONA (Oct. 27 - Nov. 1): - Voting for Biden: 49% - Voting for Trump: 47% - The two are statistically tied as the margin is within the survey's credibility interval. - A prior poll also showed a statistically even race, with 48% for Biden and 46% for Trump. - 49% said they already had voted. - 49% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 41% said Trump would be better. - 52% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 42% said Biden would be better. NORTH CAROLINA (Oct. 27 - Nov. 1): - Voting for Biden: 49% - Voting for Trump: 48% - Since the margin is within the poll's credibility interval, the race is statistically tied, as it was in the prior poll when Biden had 49% to Trump's 48%. - 43% said they already had voted. - 49% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 43% said Trump would be better. - 51% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 43% said Biden would be better. MICHIGAN (Oct. 27 - Nov. 1): - Voting for Biden: 52% - Voting for Trump: 42% - Biden was up 52%-43% the prior week. - 37% of adults said they already had voted. - 52% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 40% said Trump would be better. - 48% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 44% said Biden would be better. WISCONSIN (Oct. 27 - Nov. 1): - Voting for Biden: 53% - Voting for Trump: 43% - Biden was up 53%-44% the prior week. - 41% of adults said they already had voted. - 52% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 38% said Trump would be better. - 47% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 45% said Biden would be better. PENNSYLVANIA (Oct. 27 - Nov. 1): - Voting for Biden: 51% - Voting for Trump: 44% - Biden was up 50%-45% the prior week. - 25% of adults said they already had voted. - 51% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 40% said Trump would be better. - 48% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 46% said Biden would be better. NOTES The Reuters/Ipsos opinion polls are conducted online in all six states in English, as well as in Spanish in Arizona and Florida. - In Florida, from Oct. 27 to Nov. 1, it gathered responses from 1,011 adults, including 670 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points. - In Arizona, from Oct. 27 to Nov. 1, it gathered responses from 989 adults, including 610 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 5 percentage points. - In North Carolina, from Oct. 27 to Nov. 1, it gathered responses from 1,009 adults, including 707 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points. - In Michigan, from Oct. 27 to Nov. 1, it gathered responses from 1,007 adults, including 654 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points. - In Wisconsin, from Oct. 27 to Nov. 1, it gathered responses from 1,007 adults, including 696 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points. - In Pennsylvania, from Oct. 27 to Nov. 1, it gathered responses from 1,006 adults, including 673 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points. (Reporting by Jason Lange and Chris Kahn; Editing by Howard Goller)