Business Maverick

Business Maverick

Zambia Starts Talks With Bondholders Over Standstill Request

People shop at an open air market on Patrice Lumumba road in Lusaka. Photographer: Gianluigi Guercia/AFP/Getty Images

Zambia has started talks with its bondholders a day after an investor committee rejected the country’s request for an interest-payment standstill, saying it needed more information on restructuring plans.

Dialog has commenced between representatives of some of the Eurobond holders and Lazard Freres SAS and White & Case LLP, which are advising Zambia’s government, according to two people familiar with matter, who asked not to be identified as the talks are sensitive. While Zambia’s Finance Minister addressed creditors in a webcast on Sept. 29, he didn’t allow questions, making this is the first discussions with Eurobond holders since they formed a committee in June.

Assurances from Zambia’s finance ministry that the southern African nation won’t default and has budgeted to meet interest payments have so far failed to ease fears among holders of the notes, which extended declines on Thursday to trade at less than half their face value. The government asked for a six-month suspension of coupon payments of as much as $120 million.

Zambia’s finance ministry and Lazard didn’t respond to messages and telephone calls seeking comment. Rafael Molina, managing partner at Newstate Partners LLP which is advising the bondholders, declined to comment.

Budget Details

The government will spend 4.7 billion kwacha ($230 million) on Eurobond payments in 2021, according to the so-called Yellow Book, which provides a more detailed version of the budget than Finance Minister Bwalya Ng’andu presented on Sept. 25. That accounts for nearly half of the total 10.3 billion kwacha set aside for external interest payments.

The government budgeted for Eurobond coupon payments for 2021 in case bondholders rejected its proposed payment standstill, Ng’andu told state television Sunday.

Still, given other fiscal pressures, Zambia would struggle to meet payments during the grace period it’s seeking, according to Irmgard Erasmus, an analyst at NKC African Economics in South Africa. Zambia’s $1 billion Eurobonds due 2024 fell a ninth straight day and were down 0.9% at 48.845 cents on the dollar by 4:57 p.m. in London.

Zambia's 2024 Eurobonds slide to a three-month low

“We believe that a distressed-debt exchange for Eurobond holders is inevitable, but considering the short time frame, Zambia has less than two months before being officially classified by rating agencies as being in default,” Erasmus wrote in a report. “In addition to the very short time period, complications may arise due to the absence of a collective action clause on two of the outstanding Eurobonds, which makes holdouts more likely.”

The copper-exporting nation ran up nearly $12 billion in external debt over the past decade, ignoring warnings from the International Monetary Fund over the past three years that it was at high risk of debt distress.

Zambia plans to ask holders of its three Eurobonds totaling $3 billion on Oct. 20 to agree formally to the six-month interest payment suspension, starting on Oct. 14. A coupon payment of $42.5 million is due on that date, though the country has no principal payments due until September 2022, when a $750 million note matures.


Comments - Please in order to comment.

Please peer review 3 community comments before your comment can be posted


This article is free to read.

Sign up for free or sign in to continue reading.

Unlike our competitors, we don’t force you to pay to read the news but we do need your email address to make your experience better.

Nearly there! Create a password to finish signing up with us:

Please enter your password or get a sign in link if you’ve forgotten

Open Sesame! Thanks for signing up.

We would like our readers to start paying for Daily Maverick...

…but we are not going to force you to. Over 10 million users come to us each month for the news. We have not put it behind a paywall because the truth should not be a luxury.

Instead we ask our readers who can afford to contribute, even a small amount each month, to do so.

If you appreciate it and want to see us keep going then please consider contributing whatever you can.

Support Daily Maverick→
Payment options

Daily Maverick Elections Toolbox

Feeling powerless in politics?

Equip yourself with the tools you need for an informed decision this election. Get the Elections Toolbox with shareable party manifesto guide.