Business Maverick

Business Maverick

S&P 500 Wipes Out 2020 Loss With a Historic Rally: Markets Wrap

Pedestrians are reflected in an electronic stock board outside a securities firm in Tokyo, Japan, on Tuesday, Feb. 6, 2018. Japan's broad Topix index and blue-chip Nikkei 225 Stock Average were poised to enter a correction as the nation's shares headed for the biggest decline since June 2016, following U.S. peers lower amid rising concern that inflation will force interest rates higher. Photographer: Noriko Hayashi/Bloomberg

The torrid rally in U.S. stocks pushed the S&P 500 into the green for the year as easing lockdowns bolstered economic optimism. The dollar fell.

A jump to a 15-week high on Monday extended the benchmark’s surge from its March low to almost 45%. Energy shares drove the advance as Occidental Petroleum Corp. soared after Bloomberg News reported the company is reviewing options for its Middle Eastern assets. The Nasdaq 100 rose to a record high, and Boeing Co. led gains in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The dollar posted its longest slide in almost a decade, while Treasuries increased. Oil sank as Saudi Arabia said it wouldn’t continue its additional, deeper output curbs after June.

Read: S&P’s Big Comeback Leaves Yardeni Doubting It Was a Bear Market

The S&P 500 erased its 2020 losses as easing lockdowns boost economic prospects

U.S. equities extended gains as many parts of the country came out of the shutdowns that brought the world’s largest economy to a standstill amid the coronavirus pandemic. To Citigroup’s strategists including Tobias Levkovich, positioning may be overly extended, and investors may not be factoring all the potential risks. Meanwhile, Stan Druckenmiller — who last month warned about owning stocks — said on Monday that he now believes he was “far too cautious” during the current market rally.

“As long as the data is improving and the market has the tailwind of liquidity at it’s back, it’s probably going to continue to rise,” said Ed Campbell, portfolio manager and managing director at QMA. “I wouldn’t be betting against equities at this point.”

The dollar fell for an eighth straight day, down to the level before the coronavirus crisis sparked a rush to haven assets. Where it goes from here mostly depends on the Federal Reserve, which will probably welcome all signs of recovery in its statement at the conclusion of this week’s meeting. But policy makers may be wary of an unruly increase in borrowing costs that could add to strains on businesses and households, and raise the price tag of the government’s rescue efforts.

What to watch this week:

  • The Fed’s next policy decision is Wednesday. Officials are expected to leave rates above zero.
  • OECD releases its economic outlook Wednesday, a twice-yearly analysis of the economic prospects of member countries
  • Euro-area finance ministers meet Thursday to discuss the EU’s recovery package and Eurogroup presidency succession.

These are some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

  • The S&P 500 increased 1.2% as of 4 p.m. New York time.
  • The Stoxx Europe 600 Index fell 0.3%.
  • The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 1%.

Currencies

  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.5%.
  • The euro was little changed at $1.1293.
  • The Japanese yen appreciated 1.1% to 108.40 per dollar.

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries decreased two basis points to 0.87%.
  • Germany’s 10-year yield decreased four basis points to -0.32%.
  • Britain’s 10-year yield declined two basis points to 0.334%.

Commodities

  • The Bloomberg Commodity Index decreased 0.1%.
  • West Texas Intermediate crude decreased 3.4% to $38.21 a barrel.
  • Gold surged 1.4% to $1,706.10 an ounce.
Gallery

Please peer review 3 community comments before your comment can be posted

[%% img-description %%]

The Spy Bill: An autocratic roadmap to State Capture 2.0

Join Heidi Swart in conversation with Anton Harber and Marianne Merten as they discuss a concerning push to pass a controversial “Spy Bill” into law by May 2024. Tues 5 Dec at 12pm, live, online and free of charge.

A South African Hero: You

There’s a 99.8% chance that this isn’t for you. Only 0.2% of our readers have responded to this call for action.

Those 0.2% of our readers are our hidden heroes, who are fuelling our work and impacting the lives of every South African in doing so. They’re the people who contribute to keep Daily Maverick free for all, including you.

The equation is quite simple: the more members we have, the more reporting and investigations we can do, and the greater the impact on the country.

Be part of that 0.2%. Be a Maverick. Be a Maverick Insider.

Support Daily Maverick→
Payment options