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December 2: Five things to know to start the day

Demonstrators hold US National Flags during a rally in support of the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act in Hong Kong, China, on Monday, Oct. 14, 2019. Protesters gathered in the city's central district in a police-sanctioned rally in support of the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act, a bill proposed in the U.S. to impose sanctions on the city. Photographer: Chan Long Hei/Bloomberg

Clashes return to Hong Kong, China’s central bank is ready to act, and a look at the global debt binge. Here are some of the things people in markets are talking about today.

Unrest Returns

Police fired tear gas as thousands of protesters marched in Hong Kong’s tourist district Tsim Sha Tsui on Sunday. Tensions re-emerged after the euphoria of pro-democracy victories at district elections last weekend. Protesters also marched to the U.S. consulate in a rally to express gratitude after President Donald Trump  signed legislation last week expressing support for the demonstrators. Unrest had been brewing since late Saturday, when a group blocked roads and set fire to a subway station entrance. The weekend ended with the now-familiar pattern of shops being vandalized, roads being blocked and some protesters hurling bricks at police, who responded with more tear gas.

Ready to Act

China’s monetary policy should remain prudent with room for adjustment as a prolonged downturn in the global economy is likely, central bank Governor Yi Gang said. The People’s Bank of China should be prepared for a “mid- and long-distance race” and stick to conventional policy as long as possible, Yi wrote in an article published Sunday on the WeChat account of Qiushi, the Communist Party’s flagship magazine. Yi’s comments come ahead of a high level economic meeting expected this month where top leaders and senior officials will lay out growth targets for 2020.

Market Open

Stocks in Asia were set for a muted start to December as investors weighed data on China’s economy that showed a bright spot for manufacturing and the latest news on the trade front. The Australian dollar rose. Futures pointed marginally higher in Tokyo and Hong Kong. The S&P 500 Index dipped on Friday. Oil was in focus after Iraq said OPEC and its allies will consider deeper production cuts. On the data docket this week, China’s Caixin PMI manufacturing is out on Monday, and Friday brings the U.S. jobs report, where estimates are for nonfarm payrolls to rise by 190,000 in November.

Debt Binge

Zombie companies in China. Crippling student bills in America. Sky-high mortgages in Australia. Another default scare in Argentina. A decade of easy money has left the world with a record $250 trillion of government, corporate and household debt. That’s almost three times global economic output and equates to about $32,500 for every man, woman and child on earth. Much of that legacy stems from policy makers’ deliberate efforts to use borrowing to keep the global economy afloat in the wake of the financial crisis. Now, as policy makers grapple with the slowest growth since that era, a suite of options on how to revive their economies share a common denominator: yet more debt.

On the Line

Chancellor Angela Merkel’s government was thrown into crisis after Germany’s Social Democrats redrew the country’s political map by electing a new leadership seen as a threat to the survival of her coalition. Merkel’s SPD vice chancellor, Olaf Scholz, suffered a stinging defeat in his bid to lead the party, as party members voted to install Norbert Walter-Borjans and lawmaker Saskia Esken, a duo supported by a restive party base that has been vocal in opposing the unloved alliance with Merkel. The rebellion against the SPD establishment pushes Merkel a step closer to the exit after 14 years in power and leaves Europe’s biggest economy approaching a crossroads.

What we’ve been reading

This is what’s caught our eye over the last 24 hours.


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