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Want to win the Rugby World Cup? Don’t trail at half...

Defend Truth

2019 Rugby World Cup

Want to win the Rugby World Cup? Don’t trail at half time

Faf de Klerk of South Africa kicks during the Rugby World Cup 2019 semi final match between South Africa and Wales at the International Stadium Yokohama in Yokohama City, Japan, 27 October 2019. EPA-EFE/MARK R. CRISTINO

Get ready for an almighty scrap in the 2019 Rugby World Cup final. And don’t trail at half-time, according to history.

First published by Extra Time Media

Finals are known for being a big old scrap – dominated by kicks and penalties, and relatively low-scoring. They’re also unlikely to deliver a comeback win.

No Rugby World Cup winning team has ever trailed at half-time and gone on to win the trophy.

Over the last two editions, however, the losing team has scored more points in the second half of the match than the loser. That might be down to New Zealand doing New Zealand things, though.

On average, overall, the winning teams have scored marginally more points (nine) compared to the losing sides (eight) in the second half. Australia’s barnstorming second half against the All Blacks at the 2015 Rugby World Cup is the highest number of points (14) scored by a losing team in a final to date.

France came closest to erasing the deficit in the second half when they lost by just one point against New Zealand in the great bar fight of a match back in 2011.

But things will be tight, regardless. On just three occasions has a team won by a margin of 10 or more (New Zealand in 1987 and 2015 and Australia in 1999). The average points difference at full-time in Rugby World Cup finals is 10. DM

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