Africa, Politics

Opposition wants to stop Mubarak from passing ‘throne’ on to son

Opposition wants to stop Mubarak from passing ‘throne’ on to son

One of Egypt’s most prominent opposition figures has announced he will campaign to prevent long-time Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak from passing on the presidency to his son, Gamal.

Ayman Nour, who ran a very distant second to Mubarak in the 2005 presidential vote – and was promptly put in jail for three years on forgery charges – said he was joining up with Islamists and liberals in a new, consolidated opposition movement. Nour said, “One of the goals of the campaign is to get rid of this ghost of succession, oppression and corruption. The preparatory committee that founded the campaign realises its position is not against a specific person, but above all else it is against stolen constitutional rights.”

The 81-year-old Mubarak has been in power since 1981, taking over after Anwar Sadat was assassinated.  He continues to evade public commitments about whether or not he will ultimately seek his sixth six-year term.  He has never tipped his hand about a successor and this is fuelling speculation that his son, Gamal, will become the “anointed one” for 2011.

University professor Hassan Nafaa, another leader in the anti-succession campaign, said campaign supporters would begin holding peaceful protests against succession in Egypt.

Meanwhile, Egyptian Prime Minister Ahmed Nazif has said the ruling party would be unlikely to pick a candidate at its national convention.  This would leave the decision up to Mubarak as to whether he will stand again or handpick a successor. Analysts say the rules governing elections in Egypt make it virtually impossible for the ruling party to be opposed by a serious challenger in a general election so the real action would be within Mubarak’s own party.  Nour cannot run because he was convicted of forgery, even though he says the whole thing was a fabrication. 

As a result, the view on the street is that Mubarak’s son Gamal, 45, a former investment banker, is being groomed to take over – a view underscored by the fact that he already heads the policy secretariat in the ruling party. But this succession is not a foregone conclusion. Gamal may not have the power base within the party to pull it off and he has no military background, unlike former presidents Nasser and Sadat, or his father.  

Another possible candidate then might be Omar Suleiman, Egypt’s intelligence chief, a man with great experience in Middle East peace efforts. 

Mubarak’s succession points to the larger, mostly unsettled question of succession in Middle Eastern nations.  In some, succession has been through a royal line, although few such lines have entirely stable traditions or unquestioned legitimacy.  In others, succession has been muddled by long-term regimes such as in Libya, Syria or Egypt where family succession is mooted or has already taken place. For other nations – Algeria, Iraq and Lebanon come to mind – succession has been through military intervention, either internally or externally, as in the case of Iraq.

By Brooks Spector


Please peer review 3 community comments before your comment can be posted


This article is free to read.

Sign up for free or sign in to continue reading.

Unlike our competitors, we don’t force you to pay to read the news but we do need your email address to make your experience better.

Nearly there! Create a password to finish signing up with us:

Please enter your password or get a sign in link if you’ve forgotten

Open Sesame! Thanks for signing up.

We would like our readers to start paying for Daily Maverick...

…but we are not going to force you to. Over 10 million users come to us each month for the news. We have not put it behind a paywall because the truth should not be a luxury.

Instead we ask our readers who can afford to contribute, even a small amount each month, to do so.

If you appreciate it and want to see us keep going then please consider contributing whatever you can.

Support Daily Maverick→
Payment options

MavericKids vol 3

How can a child learn to read if they don't have a book?

As the school year starts again, thousands of children will not have the basics (like books) to learn from.

81% of children aged 10 cannot read for meaning in South Africa.

For every copy of MavericKids sold from the Daily Maverick shop, we will donate a copy to Gift of the Givers for learners in need. If you don't have a child in your life, you can donate both copies.

Small effort, big impact.